Kenya
2/7Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Kenya’s results
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREKenya vs Eritrea match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Rambok Ryan Wesley Ogam87′
Nahom Girmai36′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 26 Sep 13:49 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
KenyaEritrea
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target6
28Total Shots10
68%Ball Possession32%
8Corner Kicks0
12Fouls7
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves5
509Total passes280
447Passes accurate214
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Kenya 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Eritrea 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Eritrea
1/1Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.
Inspect Eritrea’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Kenya
7 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 7
Both teams scored2 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Eritrea
1 matchesOldest newest
Results1 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.0
Games with 3+ goals0 of 1
Both teams scored0 of 1
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Kenya at home with Eritrea away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:27 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 2027/28 · all league matches
KenyaEritrea
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Kenya at home with Eritrea away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
1 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Kenya
0wins1MEETINGS
Eritrea
1winsDec 2019 – Dec 2019 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Kenya first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Kenya
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Benni McCarthy
- 23B. OdhiamboG
- 2H. WesongaD
- 5
F. OdhiamboD - 3O. KhamisD
- 16
R. OnyangoD - 20
M. OkwaroM - 8
Duke Ooga AbuyaM - 22
M. ObieroM - 10
T. OumaM - 19
J. OchiengM - 15
R. OgamF
Substitutes (12)
7 · mohammed bajaber
14 · A. Wanjala
11 · Shariff Sirengo
1 · Farouk Shikalo
21 · S. Wilson
24 · Ben Stanley Omondi
13 · Javan Omondi Ochieng
18 · B. Bwire
6 · M. Omondi
4 · M. Kibwage
17 · V. Harper
12 · C. Erambo
Eritrea
Confirmed formationPendingHesham Yakan
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2027/28 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table
Current standings · Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Africa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 | LD |
| 3 | Kenya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 4 |  Guinea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Kenya | Draw | Eritrea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 4.45 | 9.10 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.10 | 8.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 4.37 | 9.79 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 3.87 | 7.34 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.00 | 9.00 |
Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 13:49 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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