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Malawi vs South Sudan match centre

Malawi badgeMalawiHome · 2 in league
WDLLD
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
South Sudan badgeSouth SudanAway · 4 in league
LDLWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Adepoju adebare babatunde20′
lloyd njaliwa64′
joseph stephen dhata48′
Bingu National Stadium · LilongweSeason 2027/28Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated 25 Sep 13:37 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.60Our model PendingMarket 56.2% Draw3.20Our model PendingMarket 28.1% Away win5.75Our model PendingMarket 15.6% Bet365 · Updated 25 Sep 13:37 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MalawiSouth Sudan
2Corner Kicks0
1Fouls2
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
69Total passes36
55Passes accurate24

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Malawi 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

South Sudan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Malawi

1/6Wins
0.3Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Malawi’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

South Sudan

1/5Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect South Sudan’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

South Sudan

5 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored0 of 5

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Malawi at home with South Sudan away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 2027/28 · all league matches

MalawiSouth Sudan
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Malawi at home with South Sudan away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

3 recorded meetings

Malawi

2wins
0 draws

South Sudan

1wins

Nov 2015 – Mar 2021 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with Malawi first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Malawi

Confirmed formation4-3-3C. Pasuwa
  1. 16William Kilipota TholeG
  2. 2M. LameckD
  3. 3C. PetroD
  4. 5Chembezi DenisD
  5. 22Emmanuel NyirendaD
  6. 13Patrick MwaunguluM
  7. 6B. SinginiM
  8. 8lloyd njaliwaM
  9. 17Gaddie ChirwaF
  10. 14Adepoju adebare babatundeF
  11. 11chifundo mphasiF
Substitutes (9)

12 · Yankho Singo

4 · B. Mpokera

7 · Wisdom Mpinganjira

20 · M. Malango

10 · Francisco Madinga

24 · E. Kondowe

1 · G. Chokooka

15 · Gomezgani Chirwa

9 · Washali Jaziya

South Sudan

Confirmed formationPendingC. Nsengi-Biembe

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2027/28 STANDINGS

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Egypt21105054
WD
2Malawi11002113
W
3Angola10100001
D
4South Sudan200217-60
LL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMalawiDrawSouth Sudan
Marathonbet1.613.525.55
Betfair1.623.105.50
Pinnacle1.653.405.71
Bet3651.603.205.75
1xBet1.633.525.52

Snapshot from 25 Sep 2026, 13:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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