Sudan
2/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Sudan’s results
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTRESudan vs Ethiopia match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Scorer pending86′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 25 Sep 13:37 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
SudanEthiopia
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Sudan 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ethiopia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ethiopia
3/5Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Ethiopia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Sudan
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SenegalAway · Africa Cup of Nations1–3Burkina FasoHome · Africa Cup of Nations0–2Equatorial GuineaAway · Africa Cup of Nations1–0AlgeriaAway · Africa Cup of Nations0–3BahrainAway · Arab Cup1–3IraqHome · Arab Cup0–2AlgeriaAway · Arab Cup0–0LebanonHome · Arab Cup2–1Oman U23Away · Friendlies0–0OmanAway · Friendlies0–2
Ethiopia
5 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sudan at home with Ethiopia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 2027/28 · all league matches
SudanEthiopia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sudan at home with Ethiopia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Sudan
3wins5MEETINGS
Ethiopia
1winsAug 2017 – Dec 2024 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Sudan first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Sudan
Confirmed formation4-4-2K. Appiah
- 99Mohamed MustafaG
- 96
S. BarglanD - 97A. KukuD
- 98Mustafa KarshomD
- 95Bakhit KhamisD
- 89
Aamir Yunis AbdallahM - 94Ammar Kamaleldin TaifourM
- 92Walieldin KhidirM
- 93Abdelrazig OmerM
- 91
M. EisaF - 90Musa Hussein AliF
Ethiopia
Confirmed formation4-4-2Y. Sahle
- 1abubakar nuriG
- 4B. BerhaneD
- 14S YohanesD
- 16Yared BayehD
- 9Mesfin TafesseM
- 6Gathouch PanomM
- 21Habtamu Gezahegn TekesteM
- 19C. GugsaM
- 10Abed YalewF
- 8Canaan MarknehF
Substitutes (7)
20 · Bereket Wolde Waza
11 · F Gebre
3 · Ramkel James
22 · Said Habtamu
23 · F. Getahun
7 · Binyam Belay
12 · Dukele Dawa Hotessa
2027/28 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table
Current standings · Group J. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 2 |  Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WD |
| 3 | Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Sudan | Draw | Ethiopia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.22 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.21 | 4.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.22 | 4.27 |
Snapshot from 25 Sep 2026, 13:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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