Togo
1/5Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Togo’s results
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTRETogo vs Burundi match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Dermane Karim17′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 25 Sep 13:37 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
TogoBurundi
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target5
12Total Shots15
52%Ball Possession48%
9Corner Kicks6
22Fouls20
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
321Total passes312
251Passes accurate234
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Togo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Burundi 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Burundi
1/4Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Burundi’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Togo
5 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored3 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
Burundi
4 matchesResults1 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 4
Both teams scored0 of 4
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Togo at home with Burundi away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 2027/28 · all league matches
TogoBurundi
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Togo at home with Burundi away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Togo
Confirmed formation3-4-3P. Neveu
- 16
M. BarcolaG - 5
S. NadorD - 2
K. BomaD - 21
D. DakonamD - 19
H. KoudossouM - 15
K. AziangbeM - 8Abdoul Sabourh BodeM
- 11
S. ZuberuM - 17
D. KarimF - 10
K. DenkeyF - 13Komlavi KomiF
Substitutes (12)
22 · Y. Annor
4 · G. Akueson
12 · Atte youssifou
3 · L. Bessilé
20 · S. Fofana
9 · K. Laba
1 · S. Mensah
7 · P. Nadjombe
6 · S. Ouro
14 · M. Ouro-Tagba
23 · Achirafou Yaya
18 · I. Akakpo
Burundi
Confirmed formation4-3-3P. Sangwa
- 1
J. NahimanaG - 13
C. NiyukuriD - 15Omar MoussaD
- 4A. MuderiD
- 22
C. NduwarugiraD - 8Mokono Elie EldhinoM
- 14
Y. NdayishimiyeM - 6Abdoul Karim MpawenimanaM
- 7J. GirumugishaF
- 12
B. BimenyimanaF - 10
S. NtibazonkizaF
Substitutes (11)
9 · S. Abdallah
11 · M. Amissi
17 · Cedric Amissi
3 · K. Icoyitungiye
20 · B. Kanakimana
5 · H. Msanga
2 · D. Mukombozi
21 · Asman ndikumana
18 · Mossi Nduwumwe
19 · F. Nsabiyumva
23 · O. Onésime
2027/28 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table
Current standings · Group I. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Algeria
ZambiaTHE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Togo | Draw | Burundi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.62 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 3.49 | 6.43 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.30 | 6.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.62 | 5.85 |
Snapshot from 25 Sep 2026, 13:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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