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HNLMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 match centre

HNK Rijeka badgeHNK RijekaHome · 5 in league
WWDLL
Momentum↘ Falling38/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Istra 1961 badgeIstra 1961Away · 6 in league
WDLDW
Momentum↗ Rising53/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Nasraoui18′ (og)
J. Puljic43′
T. Fruk53′
H. Jaganjac71′
E. Frederiksen90′
Stadion HNK Rijeka · RijekaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
HNK RijekaIstra 1961
6Corner Kicks4
10Fouls11
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves6
620Total passes427
537Passes accurate358

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

HNK Rijeka 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Istra 1961 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

HNK Rijeka

7/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect HNK Rijeka’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Istra 1961

4/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Istra 1961’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare HNK Rijeka at home with Istra 1961 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

HNL · 2026/27 · all league matches

HNK RijekaIstra 1961
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares HNK Rijeka at home with Istra 1961 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

HNK Rijeka

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Matjaz Kek
  1. 99A. TodorovicG
  2. 22A. OrecD
  3. 45A. MajstorovicD
  4. 51A. HusicD
  5. 23J. LasickasD
  6. 8I. CubelicM
  7. 26T. DantasM
  8. 19S. VignatoM
  9. 10T. FrukM
  10. 4N. JankovicM
  11. 21J. PuljicF
Substitutes (12)

13 · I. Vekic

1 · V. Kovac

34 · M. Devetak

3 · M. Zivkovic

91 · N. Bodetic

14 · A. Gojak

6 · B. Pavic

5 · A. Barco

7 · Y. Kabadayi

11 · G. Rukavina

77 · A. Juric

18 · D. Adu Adjei

Istra 1961

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Javi Cabello
  1. 1F. KolicG
  2. 97A. KadusicD
  3. 3M. NasraouiD
  4. 4R. KumarD
  5. 13N. SepicD
  6. 88D. DoumbiaM
  7. 8A. MauricM
  8. 22E. FrederiksenM
  9. 80I. SaranicM
  10. 30N. Skafar ZuzicM
  11. 94H. JaganjacF
Substitutes (12)

40 · J. Paus-Kunst

16 · S. Miettinen

24 · F. Taraba

44 · R. Hrvatin

20 · D. Ahmeti

25 · G. Albarracin

34 · M. Kablar

9 · Isaac

27 · D. Celija

11 · S. Gorican

7 · V. Rozic

39 · T. Brajkovic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

HNK Rijeka

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Aleksa Todorović906.2—0—21—
Ante Oreč906.6—01671
Ante Majstorović906.9—0—782
Anel Husić726.9—0—582
Justas Lasickas906.7—0—562
Ivan Ćubelić607.0—0—552
Tiago Dantas907.7—1—99—
Samuele Vignato606.6—0—26—
Toni Fruk907.310449—
Niko Janković845.9—03341
Jakov Puljić726.3103181
Branko Pavić306.6—0—212
Amer Gojak306.9—0—231
Alfonso Barco186.2—015—
Daniel Adu-Adjei186.5—0—6—
Mladen Devetak116.2—0—4—
Vito Kovač———————
Igor Vekić———————
Moreno Živković———————
Noel Bodetić———————
Yusuf Kabadayi———————
Gabriel Rukavina———————
Ante Matej Jurić———————

Istra 1961

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Franko Kolić908.0—0—20—
Advan Kadušić616.3—0—214
Mohamed Nasraoui905.3—0167—
Raul Kumar906.5—01661
Niko Šepić906.2—0—401
Daouda Doumbia616.5—0—313
Antonio Maurić726.5—0—38—
Emil Frederiksen907.5103271
Ivan Šaranić786.5—0—22—
Nik Škafar Žužić616.7—01122
Hamza Jaganjac907.5102173
Rene Hrvatin297.0—0—151
Vinko Rozić296.3—0191
Gustavo Albarracín296.9—0—18—
Dukan Ahmeti187.2—1—9—
Matija Kablar126.5—0—15—
Jan Paus-Kunšt———————
Samuli Miettinen———————
Filip Taraba———————
Silvio Goričan———————
Dominik Celija———————
Isaac———————
Toni Brajković———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

HNL table

League centre ↗

Current standings · HNL. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Dinamo Zagreb7511179816
WLWDW
2HNK Hajduk Split8512168816
LWWWW
3NK Osijek85121711616
DWLWL
4NK Varazdin8431137615
DDDWL
5HNK Rijeka7421137614
WDWDW
6Istra 19618233141319
LWDDL
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb82151116-57
LDLLL
8NK Slaven Belupo8215716-97
DLWLW
9HNK Gorica8125512-75
WDLDL
10Rudes81161024-144
DLLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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