C. VestergaardKnee Injury
Reported out
SuperligaMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTREAC Horsens vs Aarhus match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Jakob Bonde Jensen89′
Ivan Milićević90+4′
Magnus Knudsen58′
Callum McCowatt68′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 13:28 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 14:03 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AC HorsensAarhus
1.190Expected goals · API-Football1.010
4Shots on target3
17Total Shots14
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks2
17Fouls5
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
481Total passes426
380Passes accurate339
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AC Horsens 1 reported
Aarhus 5 reported
N. PoulsenAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported out
K. YakobInactive
Reported out
O. HaugstrupInactive
Doubtful
T. KristjanssonInactive
Doubtful
G. LinksInactive
DoubtfulFetched 20 Sep, 10:36 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AC Horsens
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect AC Horsens’s resultsAarhus
1/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Aarhus’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AC Horsens
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Aarhus
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Skjold SæbyAway · DBU Pokalen6–1FC NordsjaellandAway · Superliga0–2SilkeborgHome · Superliga2–2FC MidtjyllandHome · Superliga0–2Randers FCAway · Superliga1–2BenficaHome · UEFA Europa League1–3OdenseHome · Superliga2–2BenficaAway · UEFA Europa League1–3ViborgAway · Superliga1–2Sabah FAAway · UEFA Champions League0–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AC Horsens at home with Aarhus away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Superliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
AC HorsensAarhus
8Matches played8
10Points earned4
3Wins0
1.7Goals scored / match1.2
1.8Goals conceded / match1.9
0Clean sheets0
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AC Horsens at home with Aarhus away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
AC Horsens
0wins4MEETINGS
Aarhus
4winsJul 2023 – Jul 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with AC Horsens first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AC Horsens
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Niki Zimling
- 1
M. DelačG - 26
V. PálssonD - 24
O. KolskogenD - 35
M. KupijbidaD - 28
A. SaineD - 16
A. MoroM - 17
A. HerdonssonM - 27
Y. OuorouM - 14
J. MadsenM - 15
A. JustinussenM - 11
K. EhibhatiomhanF
Substitutes (9)
22 · J. Batigi
41 · Kingsley Bimpong
6 · J. Bonde
30 · S. Doua
18 · J. Körkkö
20 · K. Lusavec
7 · I. Miličević
31 · A. Hoff
25 · Fallou Sene
Aarhus
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1J. Poulsen
- 21
M. Hedenstad ChristiansenG - 14
T. MølgaardD - 3
D. GrétarssonD - 25
C. RöslerD - 29
R. CarstensenM - 4
M. KnudsenM - 10
Kristian Fredrik Malt ArnstadM - 39
Frederik EmmeryM - 31
T. BechM - 23
M. AndersonM - 13
J. SerraF
Substitutes (9)
16 · J. Jønsson
18 · C. McCowatt
27 · S. Tchamche
33 · Luka Callø
28 · J. Bogere
5 · F. Tingager
26 · J. Andersen
8 · S. Jørgensen
1 · J. Hansen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AC Horsens
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Delač | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| V. Pálsson | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 1 |
| M. Kupijbida | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 1 |
| O. Kolskogen | 59 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| A. Saine | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| A. Herdonsson | 59 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
| Fallou Sene | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Hoff | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Miličević | 31 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| K. Lusavec | 31 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
| J. Körkkö | 13 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| S. Doua | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Bonde | 13 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| Kingsley Bimpong | 24 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| J. Batigi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Moro | 77 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 57 | 0 |
| Y. Ouorou | 66 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| J. Madsen | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 0 |
| A. Justinussen | 77 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 |
| K. Ehibhatiomhan | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 |
Aarhus
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jørgensen | 29 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| J. Andersen | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| F. Tingager | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| J. Bogere | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka Callø | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Hansen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Jønsson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. McCowatt | 23 | 6.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| S. Tchamche | 23 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| M. Hedenstad Christiansen | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 |
| C. Rösler | 84 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 0 |
| D. Grétarsson | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 3 |
| T. Mølgaard | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 64 | 1 |
| R. Carstensen | 84 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 0 |
| M. Knudsen | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 3 |
| Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| Frederik Emmery | 67 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| T. Bech | 61 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| M. Anderson | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| J. Serra | 67 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Superliga table
Current standings · Superliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 3 |  Viborg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 5 |  Brondby | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 | LLLLW |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 11 | DLWLW |
| 7 |  Silkeborg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 | WDDDL |
| 8 |  Randers FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 | LLWWL |
| 9 |  Odense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 10 |  Lyngby | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 | LDWDL |
| 11 | Aarhus | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 5 | WDLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | AC Horsens | Draw | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | 3.94 | 3.72 | 1.81 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:03 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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