Likeliest match result
Atletico Grau to win57.9% market implied
Stored odds 1.64 · Pinnacle
Primera DivisiónClausura - 11THE MATCH CENTREAtletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas match centre
Match Postponed
21:30
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Pre-match research only
Either team to win (no draw)
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance76.2%
Best stored price1.25Bet365
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 80.0%.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals51.5% market implied
Stored odds 1.88 · Pinnacle
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes50.8% market implied
Stored odds 1.85 · Betano
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw81.7% market implied
Stored odds 1.17 · Betano
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 2 Oct 04:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico Grau 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
See the match forecast for model details.API-Football
Provider model estimate
Provider forecast under review
Provider percentages are missing or invalid.
Provider team identities do not match this fixture.
Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.
Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
FROM OUR STORED RESULTS
Experimental researchKickoff Edge history fallback
The provider forecast failed our quality checks and a verified primary forecast is unavailable. This separate estimate uses Atletico Grau’s 20 and Club Deportivo Los Chankas’s 20 prior completed games across competitions.
Atletico Grau45.0%
Draw25.2%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas29.9%
Up to 20 stored results per team in the previous year; 180-day decay; five-match prior at 1.35 goals; joint Poisson score model. No opponent-strength, lineup or xG adjustment; not calibrated or eligible for tips. The bookmaker comparison is a quality check; odds do not enter this model. Inspect the recorded results.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico Grau
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Grau’s resultsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Club Deportivo Los Chankas’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico Grau
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sporting CristalAway · Primera División1–3Alianza AtleticoHome · Primera División3–1Deportivo GarcilasoAway · Primera División2–4FBC MelgarHome · Primera División1–0Sport BoysHome · Copa De La Liga2–2FC CajamarcaAway · Primera División3–1Comerciantes UnidosHome · Primera División1–0Juan Pablo II CollegeAway · Primera División0–0Sport BoysHome · Primera División0–1Sport HuancayoAway · Primera División0–2
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CiencianoAway · Primera División1–1FC CajamarcaHome · Primera División1–2Sporting CristalAway · Primera División0–5Juan Pablo II CollegeHome · Primera División3–4UniversitarioAway · Primera División0–3FBC MelgarHome · Primera División0–3Sport HuancayoAway · Primera División1–1Comerciantes UnidosHome · Primera División3–2Alianza AtleticoAway · Primera División1–3Sport BoysHome · Primera División1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico Grau at home with Club Deportivo Los Chankas away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:33 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches
Atletico GrauClub Deportivo Los Chankas
27Matches played27
32Points earned42
9Wins12
0.9Goals scored / match1.3
1.2Goals conceded / match1.7
9Clean sheets6
12Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico Grau at home with Club Deportivo Los Chankas away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Atletico Grau
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primera División table
Current standings · Primera Division: Tabla Anual. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 | WLDLD |
| 2 |  Universitario | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 49 | LWDWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 48 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  FBC Melgar | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 46 | DWWLD |
| 5 |  Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 45 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 41 | LLLLL |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 40 | WLLDL |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 40 | WLWWW |
| 9 |  Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 38 | WWWLL |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 11 |  Sport Huancayo | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 35 | WWWWL |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 34 | WWDWW |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 30 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 27 | LWLWL |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 | LLLLW |
| 17 |  ADT | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 22 | LLLLD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 15 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Atletico Grau | Draw | Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.86 | 5.05 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 3.77 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
Snapshot from 2 Oct 2026, 04:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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