Once Caldas
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Once Caldas’s results
Primera AClausura - 7THE MATCH CENTREOnce Caldas vs Deportes Tolima match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Dayro Moreno8′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 21:28 UK.
Odds updated 16 Sep 21:07 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Once CaldasDeportes Tolima
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target3
13Total Shots17
36%Ball Possession64%
3Corner Kicks6
15Fouls9
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
314Total passes561
242Passes accurate489
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Once Caldas 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Deportes Tolima 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 16 Sep, 23:50 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Deportes Tolima
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Deportes Tolima’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Once Caldas
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Deportes Tolima
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Santa FeAway · Primera A0–1LlanerosAway · Primera A2–1CucutaHome · Primera A2–1Independiente del ValleAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–3BucaramangaHome · Primera A0–0Independiente del ValleHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–1Internacional de BogotaHome · Primera A2–1Independiente MedellinHome · Primera A2–3Alianza ValleduparAway · Primera A2–1QuindioAway · Copa Colombia1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Once Caldas at home with Deportes Tolima away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:56 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera A · 2026/27 · all league matches
Once CaldasDeportes Tolima
29Matches played31
43Points earned53
10Wins15
1.6Goals scored / match1.4
1.2Goals conceded / match0.9
4Clean sheets10
4Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Once Caldas at home with Deportes Tolima away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Once Caldas
0wins4MEETINGS
Deportes Tolima
4winsDec 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Once Caldas first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Once Caldas
Confirmed formation4-3-3H. Herrera
- 99
J. ParraG - 22
J. CuestaD - 16
J. CastañoD - 30
D. LondoñoD - 3
A. CorreaD - 23
A. ColoradoM - 20
A. RoaM - 42
J. QuiñónesM - 7
M. BarriosF - 17
D. MorenoF - 28
M. ZuletaF
Substitutes (9)
15 · J. Alvarado
31 · Jorman Beltran
12 · J. Camargo
21 · H. Guzman
6 · D. Marmolejo
5 · J. Nieto
33 · J. Patiño
29 · E. Torres
14 · J. Zapata
Deportes Tolima
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1S. Oliveros
- 1
Neto VolpiG - 28
E. LópezD - 3
J. AnguloD - 2
A. AnguloD - 20
J. HernándezD - 32
S. GuzmánM - 14
H. MartínezM - 8
E. ValenciaM - 10
L. SánchezM - 18
K. FlórezM - 7
J. CabezasF
Substitutes (9)
16 · V. Reyes
4 · D. Pedrozo
71 · Y. Osorio
13 · M. Ortega
33 · J. Mosquera
19 · Joven Santiago
25 · Santiago Cabezas Ulchur
30 · S. P. Barbosa Gomez
11 · J. Valencia
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Deportes Tolima
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Valencia | 18 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| S. P. Barbosa Gomez | 6 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Santiago Cabezas Ulchur | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joven Santiago | 6 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| J. Mosquera | 17 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| M. Ortega | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Osorio | 17 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| D. Pedrozo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Reyes | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Neto Volpi | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
| E. López | 73 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| J. Angulo | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 1 |
| A. Angulo | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| J. Hernández | 84 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 52 | 4 |
| S. Guzmán | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 2 |
| H. Martínez | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 2 |
| E. Valencia | 84 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 64 | 1 |
| L. Sánchez | 73 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 0 |
| K. Flórez | 72 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
| J. Cabezas | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
Once Caldas
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Zapata | 11 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| E. Torres | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Patiño | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Nieto | 11 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| D. Marmolejo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Guzman | 24 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| J. Camargo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jorman Beltran | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Alvarado | 24 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| J. Parra | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| J. Cuesta | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 3 |
| J. Castaño | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 3 |
| D. Londoño | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
| A. Correa | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 |
| A. Colorado | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| A. Roa | 79 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
| J. Quiñónes | 66 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| M. Barrios | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| D. Moreno | 79 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| M. Zuleta | 66 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primera A table
Current standings · Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 | WLDDL |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | WWDLD |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 | LWLLW |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 | LWWDW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | LLWDD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 | WWWDD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | WDLWW |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | DLDDD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 | WDWDD |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | WLLLL |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 | LDDLD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | LWWLL |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 | LLWWD |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | LLDLW |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | DLDLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Once Caldas | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.12 | 3.24 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 21:07 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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