Llaneros
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Llaneros’s results
Primera AClausura - 11THE MATCH CENTRELlaneros vs Atletico Nacional match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Yorleys Mena15′
Frank Castaneda34′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 21 Sep 01:03 UK.
Odds updated 21 Sep 01:02 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LlanerosAtletico Nacional
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target5
8Total Shots19
21%Ball Possession79%
4Corner Kicks9
14Fouls11
5Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
137Total passes533
78Passes accurate474
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Llaneros 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Atletico Nacional 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 21 Sep, 01:58 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico Nacional
9/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Nacional’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Llaneros
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Internacional de BogotaAway · Primera A2–3Deportes TolimaHome · Primera A1–2QuindioAway · Copa Colombia1–1Independiente MedellinAway · Primera A1–2MillonariosHome · Primera A0–2Deportivo PastoAway · Primera A1–0Fortaleza FCHome · Primera A3–1BucaramangaAway · Primera A1–1Deportivo PereiraHome · Primera A1–0ChicoAway · Copa Colombia1–0
Atletico Nacional
10 matchesResults9 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Internacional de BogotaAway · Primera A3–2Águilas DoradasHome · Primera A2–0Deportivo CaliHome · Copa Colombia3–0Alianza ValleduparAway · Primera A5–1Deportivo CaliHome · Primera A2–1Fortaleza FCAway · Primera A2–1JaguaresAway · Primera A3–0Tigres FCAway · Copa Colombia2–0Tigres FCHome · Copa Colombia2–0Deportivo Tachira FCHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Llaneros at home with Atletico Nacional away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:13 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera A · 2026/27 · all league matches
LlanerosAtletico Nacional
28Matches played32
33Points earned73
7Wins24
1.0Goals scored / match2.1
1.1Goals conceded / match0.8
8Clean sheets11
7Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Llaneros at home with Atletico Nacional away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
3 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Llaneros
0wins3MEETINGS
Atletico Nacional
3winsMay 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Llaneros
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1J. García
- 22
R. RomañaG - 26
D. QuinteroD - 2
H. MenaD - 21
F. MezaD - 94
J. MedrandaD - 32
F. CastañedaM - 95
J. VásquezM - 10
N. OspinaM - 13
J. CastillaM - 7
L. MirandaM - 17
Y. MenaF
Substitutes (9)
70 · J. Contreras
9 · C. Cortés
12 · J. Loaiza
19 · D. Mantilla
23 · A. Moralez
33 · K. Osorio
8 · J. RamÃrez
14 · Kevin Rincón
36 · Alisson Sánchez
Atletico Nacional
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1L. González
- 25
L. MarquinezG - 6
A. RománD - 3
N. ParraD - 4
C. HaydarD - 20
M. CascoD - 80
J. ZapataM - 31
X. RiosM - 7
M. MorenoM - 19
J. RengifoM - 29
A. SarmientoM - 17
C. ArangoF
Substitutes (9)
99 · I. Poveda
15 · A. Reyes
23 · J. Rodríguez
24 · J. Rosa
30 · K. Parra
21 · J. Campuzano
22 · E. Cabrera
44 · E. Zea
27 · Y. Perlaza
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Llaneros
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Romaña | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
| D. Quintero | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| H. Mena | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 |
| F. Meza | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 |
| J. Medranda | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
| F. Castañeda | 75 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| L. Miranda | 83 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Alisson Sánchez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Rincón | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. RamÃrez | 7 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| K. Osorio | 45 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| A. Moralez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Mantilla | 15 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| J. Loaiza | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Cortés | 31 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| J. Contreras | 45 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| J. Vásquez | 45 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| N. Ospina | 45 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| J. Castilla | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| Y. Mena | 59 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Atletico Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Zea | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Cabrera | 45 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| J. Campuzano | 45 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| K. Parra | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Perlaza | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| I. Poveda | 32 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| A. Reyes | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Rodríguez | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
| J. Rosa | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Marquinez | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| A. Román | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| N. Parra | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 69 | 1 |
| C. Haydar | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 2 |
| M. Casco | 72 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 0 |
| J. Zapata | 45 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 0 |
| X. Rios | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 |
| M. Moreno | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 0 |
| J. Rengifo | 45 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
| A. Sarmiento | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| C. Arango | 58 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primera A table
Current standings · Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 | WLDDL |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | WWDLD |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 | LWLLW |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 | LWWDW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | LLWDD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 | WWWDD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | WDLWW |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | DLDDD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 | WDWDD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | WLLLL |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 | LDDLD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | LWWLL |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 | LLWWD |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | LLDLW |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | DLDLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Llaneros | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.40 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 3.56 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
Snapshot from 21 Sep 2026, 01:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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