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Primera AClausura - 11THE MATCH CENTRE

Millonarios vs Chico match centre

Millonarios badgeMillonariosHome · 10 in league
LDDW
Momentum↗ Rising47/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Chico badgeChicoAway · 18 in league
DWWL
Momentum→ Steady56/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Francisco Chaverra29′
Andrey Estupinan71′
Andrey Estupinan90+4′
Estadio El Campin · BogotaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 15:54 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 17:16 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.25Our model 65.2%Market 75.5% Draw6.50Our model 22.5%Market 14.5% Away win9.50Our model 12.2%Market 9.9% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 17:16 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MillonariosChico
6Corner Kicks6
11Fouls10
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves8
433Total passes320
362Passes accurate239

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Millonarios 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Chico 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 22:00 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Millonarios

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Millonarios’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Chico

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Chico’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Millonarios at home with Chico away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:05 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera A · 2026/27 · all league matches

MillonariosChico
29Matches played27
42Points earned25
11Wins7
1.5Goals scored / match0.8
1.1Goals conceded / match1.7
10Clean sheets6
5Failed to score15

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Millonarios at home with Chico away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Millonarios

2wins
1 draw

Chico

1wins

May 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Millonarios

Confirmed formation4-3-3F. Bustos
  1. 1J. BurraiG
  2. 2C. SarabiaD
  3. 4S. BarreiroD
  4. 6S. MosqueraD
  5. 22Sebastián Valencia IsazaD
  6. 30S. del CastilloM
  7. 10D. RuizM
  8. 18R. UreñaM
  9. 24J. AnguloF
  10. 27R. ContrerasF
  11. 13F. ChaverraF
Substitutes (9)

35 · Sebastián Mosquera

12 · J. Aguirre

20 · D. Banguero

11 · A. Estupiñán

19 · M. García

26 · A. Llinás

15 · Yeiner Matias Romero Pino

14 · D. Silva

28 · S. Vega

Chico

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1J. Gómez
  1. 1D. AgudeloG
  2. 24C. MosqueraD
  3. 5J. AlomíaD
  4. 4J. MenaD
  5. 14C. BlancoD
  6. 6J. DíazM
  7. 17E. SarriaM
  8. 8S. SalazarM
  9. 20Sebastián ViverosM
  10. 16S. MeraM
  11. 21J. PimentelF
Substitutes (9)

12 · B. Zapata

7 · F. Cifuentes

10 · Y. Cabrera

30 · Mateo Gomez

15 · S. Navarro

19 · J. Pimentel Betancourt

2 · D. Polanco

11 · D. Ramírez

28 · Jesús Cárdenas

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Chico

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
D. Agudelo907.2000331
C. Mosquera655.9000151
J. Mena906.8001392
J. Alomía906.2000281
C. Blanco905.1000432
S. Mera906.4002230
B. Zapata00.000000
D. Ramírez00.000000
D. Polanco00.000000
J. Pimentel Betancourt00.000000
S. Navarro355.9000111
Mateo Gomez00.000000
Y. Cabrera456.1001260
F. Cifuentes256.300120
E. Sarria906.6001161
S. Salazar905.6000322
J. Díaz906.0000350
Sebastián Viveros455.8000111
J. Pimentel555.800060
Jesús Cárdenas00.000000

Millonarios

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Sebastián Mosquera00.000000
A. Llinás36.500050
M. García00.000000
A. Estupiñán688.8205200
D. Banguero00.000000
J. Aguirre00.000000
J. Burrai907.2000220
C. Sarabia796.6000202
S. Barreiro907.0001601
S. Mosquera907.2000482
S. del Castillo877.7012392
Sebastián Valencia Isaza907.0002390
F. Chaverra908.2105321
R. Ureña906.6001630
J. Angulo456.6000110
D. Ruiz877.7013360
R. Contreras226.400130
Yeiner Matias Romero Pino36.900100
D. Silva457.4012280
S. Vega116.800080
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primera A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535152040
LWWWW
2Junior1911263124735
WLDDL
3Deportivo Pasto1910452925434
WWDLD
4America de Cali19103625151033
DLWDW
5Once Caldas198923122933
LWLLW
6Deportes Tolima1987427171031
DLLWW
7Santa Fe197842922729
LWWDW
8Internacional de Bogota197752626028
LLWDD
9Deportivo Cali197662016427
WWWDD
10Millonarios197573123826
WWDDL
11Independiente Medellin197572624226
WDLWW
12Águilas Doradas197572025-526
DLDDD
13Bucaramanga195862620623
WDWDD
14Llaneros1941051720-322
WLLLL
15Fortaleza FC195772227-522
LDDLD
16Jaguares1953112033-1318
LDDDW
17Alianza Valledupar193881327-1417
LWWLL
18Chico1952121532-1717
LLWWD
19Cucuta193792235-1316
LLDLW
20Deportivo Pereira1917111532-1710
DLDLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMillonariosDrawChico
William Hill1.255.0011.00
Bet3651.256.509.50
Marathonbet1.225.4012.25
BetVictor1.225.5012.00
Pinnacle1.265.7412.40

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 17:16 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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