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Serie AMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

AS Roma vs Atalanta match centre

AS Roma badgeAS RomaHome · 1 in league
LDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising74/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Atalanta badgeAtalantaAway · 11 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Hermoso89′
M. Soule90′
Ederson47′
Stadio Olimpico · RomeSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AS RomaAtalanta
14Corner Kicks1
9Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves9
615Total passes324
549Passes accurate254

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AS Roma 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Atalanta 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AS Roma

6/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect AS Roma’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Atalanta

6/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Atalanta’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AS Roma at home with Atalanta away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:03 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

AS RomaAtalanta
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AS Roma at home with Atalanta away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AS Roma

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Piero Gasperini Gian
  1. 99M. SvilarG
  2. 23G. ManciniD
  3. 5E. NdickaD
  4. 22M. HermosoD
  5. 77E. LulliM
  6. 4B. CristanteM
  7. 17M. KoneM
  8. 43Wesley FrancaM
  9. 86R. MoraF
  10. 21P. DybalaF
  11. 14D. MalenF
Substitutes (12)

70 · G. De Marzi

95 · P. Gollini

20 · N. Molina

3 · K. Koulierakis

26 · L. Balerdi

2 · D. Rensch

87 · D. Ghilardi

61 · N. Pisilli

15 · M. De Roon

9 · S. Castro

68 · A. Arena

18 · M. Soule

Atalanta

Confirmed formation4-3-3Maurizio Sarri
  1. 29M. CarnesecchiG
  2. 16R. BellanovaD
  3. 3O. KossounouD
  4. 42G. ScalviniD
  5. 23S. KolasinacD
  6. 10L. SamardzicM
  7. 70G. GaetanoM
  8. 13EdersonM
  9. 17C. De KetelaereF
  10. 9G. ScamaccaF
  11. 99E. ElmasF
Substitutes (12)

57 · M. Sportiello

22 · T. Pompei

77 · D. Zappacosta

40 · R. Obric

31 · T. Kristensen

47 · L. Bernasconi

8 · M. Pasalic

19 · F. Kessie

59 · N. Zalewski

18 · G. Raspadori

11 · J. Rowe

90 · N. Krstovic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AS Roma

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mile Svilar906.3—0—32—
Gianluca Mancini626.3—0246—
Evan Ndicka676.2—01421
Mario Hermoso908.5101771
Emanuele Lulli547.0—0—27—
Bryan Cristante907.5—02931
Manu Koné907.5—03652
Wesley908.0—0—512
Rodrigo Mora546.5—0419—
Paulo Dybala908.3—16492
Donyell Malen637.2—026—
Nahuel Molina367.3—0—311
Matías Soulé368.6115272
Daniele Ghilardi287.0—0—212
Santiago Castro276.0—046—
Leonardo Balerdi237.2—0—231
Giorgio De Marzi———————
Pierluigi Gollini———————
Konstantinos Koulierakis———————
Marten de Roon———————
Niccolò Pisilli———————
Devyne Rensch———————
Antonio Arena———————

Atalanta

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marco Carnesecchi909.2—0—55—
Raoul Bellanova907.2—0—251
Odilon Kossounou906.9—01342
Giorgio Scalvini906.9—0—213
Sead Kolašinac737.2—0—201
Lazar Samardžić666.5—01161
Gianluca Gaetano906.9—0—271
Éderson797.510127—
Charles De Ketelaere907.2—0—302
Gianluca Scamacca456.6—018—
Eljif Elmas666.5—0—121
Nikola Krstović456.5—0118—
Nicola Zalewski246.3—0—91
Mario Pašalić246.2—0—6—
Davide Zappacosta175.9—0—8—
Franck Kessié116.3—0—8—
Thomas Pompei———————
Marco Sportiello———————
Thomas Kristensen———————
Relja Obrić———————
Lorenzo Bernasconi———————
Jonathan Rowe———————
Giacomo Raspadori———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AS Roma54101431113
DWWWW
2Inter5410158713
DWWWW
3Lazio541083513
WDWWW
4Cagliari540152312
WWWLW
5AC Milan5320104611
WDDWW
6Frosinone531194510
WDWWL
7Juventus531184410
WLDWW
8Como531196310
LWWWD
9Napoli52127617
DWLLW
10Sassuolo52129907
LWDWL
11Atalanta520357-26
LLLWW
12Lecce5203510-56
LWLLW
13Udinese5113811-34
LLLWD
14Torino511358-34
DLWLL
15Parma511347-34
WLDLL
16Monza5113812-44
WLDLL
17Fiorentina5113612-64
DWLLL
18Bologna502336-32
DLDLL
19Genoa5014310-71
LDLLL
20Venezia5005413-90
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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