Lazio
9/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lazio’s results
Serie AMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRELazio vs AC Milan match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Cancellieri10′
T. Noslin39′
D. Moreira65′
D. Moreira67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LazioAC Milan
2.010Expected goals · API-Football1.250
6Shots on target7
8Total Shots16
34%Ball Possession66%
2Corner Kicks5
15Fouls14
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves4
317Total passes625
261Passes accurate569
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lazio 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
AC Milan 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AC Milan
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect AC Milan’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lazio
10 matchesResults9 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AC Milan
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lazio at home with AC Milan away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:00 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
LazioAC Milan
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lazio at home with AC Milan away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lazio
Confirmed formation4-3-3Gennaro Gattuso
- 35
C. MandasG - 15
R. FlorianiD - 37
J. SutaloD - 25
O. ProvstgaardD - 17
N. TavaresD - 16
D. FrattesiM - 21
R. BelahyaneM - 24
K. TaylorM - 22
M. CancellieriF - 14
T. NoslinF - 10
M. ZaccagniF
Substitutes (13)
47 · D. Renzetti
40 · E. Motta
2 · D. Leite
23 · A. Pedraza
33 · R. Bordon
29 · M. Lazzari
32 · D. Cataldi
71 · V. Farcomeni
80 · A. Gudmundsson
9 · A. Pinamonti
63 · F. Serra
11 · G. Isaksen
28 · A. Przyborek
AC Milan
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ruben Amorim
- 16
M. MaignanG - 34
M. GilaD - 5
K. De WinterD - 31
S. PavlovicD - 21
S. ChukwuezeM - 14
L. ModricM - 12
A. RabiotM - 2
P. EstupinanM - 8
R. Loftus-CheekF - 70
A. CisseF - 9
G. RamosF
Substitutes (15)
1 · P. Terracciano
96 · L. Torriani
23 · F. Tomori
33 · D. Bartesaghi
46 · M. Gabbia
13 · S. Diawara
56 · A. Saelemaekers
80 · Y. Musah
42 · F. Terracciano
22 · D. Moreira
30 · A. Jashari
28 · C. Comotto
73 · F. Camarda
11 · C. Pulisic
20 · O. Hutchinson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lazio
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Mandas | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | 84 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 3 |
| Josip Šutalo | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Oliver Provstgaard | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Nuno Tavares | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Davide Frattesi | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
| Reda Belahyane | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 4 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 74 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Matteo Cancellieri | 58 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| Tijjani Noslin | 58 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Mattia Zaccagni | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 30 | 2 |
| Gustav Isaksen | 32 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Andrea Pinamonti | 32 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Albert Guðmundsson | 16 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Manuel Lazzari | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Diogo Leite | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Davide Renzetti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Motta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Bordon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Pedraza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valerio Farcomeni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Przyborek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo Cataldi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Serra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AC Milan
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Mario Gila | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 73 | 3 |
| Koni De Winter | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 79 | 1 |
| Strahinja Pavlović | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 90 | 1 |
| Samuel Chukwueze | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 61 | — |
| Luka Modrić | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Adrien Rabiot | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | 63 | — |
| Pervis Estupiñán | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Alphadjo Cissè | 77 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | 85 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 |
| Diego Moreira | 45 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | — |
| Yunus Musah | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Christian Pulišić | 45 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Omari Hutchinson | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Francesco Camarda | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Lorenzo Torriani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pietro Terracciano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sankhoun Diawara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Gabbia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fikayo Tomori | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Comotto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Bartesaghi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ardon Jashari | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | LLLWW |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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