P. CiurriaInactive
Reported out
Serie AMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREMonza vs Sassuolo match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
G. Varela51′
G. Varela63′ (pen)
V. Adzic88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 16:21 UK.
Odds updated 18 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MonzaSassuolo
1.450Expected goals · API-Football1.580
6Shots on target8
15Total Shots19
36%Ball Possession64%
7Corner Kicks5
12Fouls6
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
7Goalkeeper Saves4
311Total passes563
248Passes accurate499
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Monza 4 reported
M. PessinaKnee Injury
Reported out
I. ToureContusion
Reported out
J. ZiolkowskiFoot Injury
Reported out
Sassuolo 8 reported
D. BolocaMuscle Injury
Reported out
F. CandeKnee Injury
Reported out
J. IdzesMuscle Injury
Reported out
I. KoneBroken Leg
Reported out
Y. PazKnee Injury
Reported out
E. PieragnoloKnee Injury
Reported out
C. VolpatoThigh Injury
Reported out
S. WalukiewiczMuscle Injury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 17:12 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Monza
4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Monza’s resultsSassuolo
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Sassuolo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Monza
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sassuolo
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
JuventusHome · Serie A3–2BolognaAway · Serie A2–2FrosinoneHome · Coppa Italia1–1TorinoHome · Serie A2–1AtalantaAway · Serie A1–2CesenaHome · Coppa Italia3–0FC AugsburgAway · Friendlies Clubs2–3Celta VigoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–4Folgore CarateseHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0TrentoAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Monza at home with Sassuolo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
MonzaSassuolo
4Matches played5
1Points earned7
0Wins2
1.5Goals scored / match1.8
2.8Goals conceded / match1.8
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Monza at home with Sassuolo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Monza
3wins4MEETINGS
Sassuolo
0winsMay 2023 – Aug 2024 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Monza first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Monza
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ivan Juric
- 1
Noel TörnqvistG - 60
Eddy KouadioD - 3
Lorenzo LucchesiD - 44
Andrea CarboniD - 19
Samuele BirindelliM - 90
Michael FolorunshoM - 14
Ebenezer AkinsanmiroM - 7
Ricardo MangasM - 10
Patrick CutroneF - 46
Jay RobinsonF - 9
Gustavo VarelaF
Substitutes (14)
43 · Aljaz Strajnar
20 · Demba Thiam
6 · Valentin Antov
2 · Saba Goglichidze
24 · Adam Bakoune
5 · Yvan Maye
80 · Mathis Mout
21 · Leonardo Colombo
8 · Manga Foe Ondoa
11 · Omari Forson
22 · Exequiel Zeballos
16 · Cyril Ngonge
28 · Andrea Colpani
47 · Dany Mota
Sassuolo
Confirmed formation4-3-3Alberto Aquilani
- 49
Arijanet MurićG - 46
Simone CinquegranoD - 16
Fedde LeysenD - 15
Duje Ćaleta-CarD - 3
Josh DoigD - 42
Kristian ThorstvedtM - 18
Nemanja MatićM - 50
Darryl BakolaM - 10
Domenico BerardiF - 94
Sebastiano EspositoF - 45
Armand LaurientéF
Substitutes (13)
80 · Stefano Turati
12 · Giacomo Satalino
20 · Ignace Van der Brempt
26 · Cas Odenthal
17 · Vasilije Adžić
8 · Andrea Ghion
33 · Rafael Obrador
25 · Benjamín Domínguez
35 · Luca Lipani
55 · Ibrahim Sulemana
9 · Kieron Bowie
19 · Laurs Skjellerup
77 · Nicholas Pierini
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Monza
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noel Törnqvist | 93 | 7.6 | — | — | — | 38 | — |
| Eddy Kouadio | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Lorenzo Lucchesi | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| Andrea Carboni | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 42 | 3 |
| Samuele Birindelli | 93 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 3 |
| Michael Folorunsho | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 24 | 3 |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro | 56 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 21 | 2 |
| Ricardo Mangas | 56 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 13 | — |
| Patrick Cutrone | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 17 | — |
| Jay Robinson | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Gustavo Varela | 93 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 2 | 21 | — |
| Adam Bakoune | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 5 | 7 |
| Manga Foe Ondoa | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Dany Mota | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Mathis Mout | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yvan Maye | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aljaz Strajnar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Demba Thiam | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentin Antov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saba Goglichidze | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Colombo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omari Forson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cyril Ngonge | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrea Colpani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sassuolo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arijanet Murić | 93 | 7.7 | — | — | — | 38 | — |
| Simone Cinquegrano | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 2 |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 66 | 3 |
| Fedde Leysen | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 3 |
| Josh Doig | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 45 | — |
| Kristian Thorstvedt | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 38 | — |
| Nemanja Matić | 64 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 2 |
| Darryl Bakola | 82 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 7 |
| Domenico Berardi | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 1 |
| Sebastiano Esposito | 72 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 38 | — |
| Armand Laurienté | 93 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 53 | — |
| Luca Lipani | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 |
| Kieron Bowie | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Vasilije Adžić | 21 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 3 |
| Benjamín Domínguez | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 7 | — |
| Laurs Skjellerup | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Stefano Turati | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Satalino | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignace Van der Brempt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cas Odenthal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrea Ghion | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Obrador | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Sulemana | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Pierini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | LLLWW |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.85 | 3.32 | 2.63 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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