A. BernabeInjury
Reported out
Serie AMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREParma vs Genoa match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Romero38′
P. Almqvist80′
M. Osmajic70′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 12:06 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ParmaGenoa
0.320Expected goals · API-Football0.760
2Shots on target5
4Total Shots12
42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks5
15Fouls12
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves0
319Total passes429
251Passes accurate362
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Parma 3 reported
H. Nicolussi CavigliaGroin Injury
Reported out
L. ValentiCoach's decision
Reported out
Genoa 3 reported
E. HavelAnkle Injury
Reported out
J. VasquezRed Card
Reported out
L. VenturinoKnee Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 10:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Parma
1/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Parma’s resultsGenoa
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Genoa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Parma
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals1 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Genoa
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SudtirolHome · Coppa Italia1–0FrosinoneHome · Serie A1–1ComoHome · Serie A1–4LazioAway · Serie A0–1NapoliHome · Serie A0–2AscoliHome · Coppa Italia4–1Deportivo La CorunaHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1BournemouthAway · Friendlies Clubs1–10LeicesterAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0Vicenza VirtusHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Parma at home with Genoa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
ParmaGenoa
4Matches played4
1Points earned1
0Wins0
0.5Goals scored / match0.5
1.5Goals conceded / match2.0
0Clean sheets0
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Parma at home with Genoa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Parma
1wins5MEETINGS
Genoa
2winsFeb 2023 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Parma
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Carlos Cuesta
- 40
Edoardo CorviG - 15
Enrico DelpratoD - 34
Diego CarlosD - 37
Mariano TroiloD - 72
Dominik DrobnicM - 4
Vincent SierroM - 16
Mandela KeitaM - 14
Emanuele ValeriM - 76
Simone LontaniF - 19
El Bilal TouréF - 9
David RomeroF
Substitutes (13)
30 · Giovanni Daffara
22 · Simone Ghidotti
27 · Sascha Britschgi
3 · Abdoulaye Ndiaye
47 · Abdou-Salam Konate
32 · Christian Ordoñez
8 · Benjamin Cremaschi
80 · Giovanni Fabbian
29 · Franco Carboni
7 · Ousmane Diallo
23 · Nesta Elphege
20 · Matija Frigan
11 · Pontus Almqvist
Genoa
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Daniele De Rossi
- 1
Justin BijlowG - 27
Alessandro MarcandalliD - 5
Leo ØstigårdD - 34
Sebastian OtoaD - 3
Kingsley EhizibueM - 32
Morten FrendrupM - 97
Djibril SowM - 77
Mikael EllertssonM - 10
Junior MessiasF - 8
Tommaso BaldanziF - 18
Milutin OsmajićF
Substitutes (13)
99 · Franz Stolz
39 · Daniele Sommariva
31 · David Puczka
2 · Mario Mitaj
16 · Cody Drameh
4 · Alexsandro Amorim
71 · Samuel Wiafe
11 · Franz-Ethan Meichtry
25 · Hamed Junior Traorè
20 · Stefano Sabelli
29 · Lorenzo Colombo
9 · Vitinha
92 · Stephan El Shaarawy
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Parma
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edoardo Corvi | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 41 | — |
| Diego Carlos | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 38 | 3 |
| Mariano Troilo | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 47 | — |
| Dominik Drobnic | 96 | 5.6 | — | — | — | 40 | — |
| Enrico Delprato | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 24 | — |
| Vincent Sierro | 81 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Mandela Keita | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 30 | 1 |
| Emanuele Valeri | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Simone Lontani | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 13 | 2 |
| El Bilal Touré | 57 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 |
| David Romero | 57 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | — |
| Nesta Elphege | 39 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 11 | — |
| Pontus Almqvist | 39 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Sascha Britschgi | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 3 | 1 |
| Christian Ordoñez | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Giovanni Daffara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Ghidotti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdou-Salam Konate | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Cremaschi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Carboni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diallo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matija Frigan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Genoa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bijlow | 96 | 5.7 | — | — | — | 29 | — |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 54 | 1 |
| Leo Østigård | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 3 |
| Sebastian Otoa | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 35 | 3 |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 29 | — |
| Morten Frendrup | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 50 | 2 |
| Djibril Sow | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 47 | 1 |
| Mikael Ellertsson | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 24 | 2 |
| Junior Messias | 85 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 6 |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Milutin Osmajić | 96 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | — |
| David Puczka | 36 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 24 | 1 |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | 36 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 21 | 3 |
| Lorenzo Colombo | 27 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Hamed Junior Traorè | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 13 | — |
| Vitinha | 11 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Franz Stolz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Sommariva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Mitaj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Drameh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Wiafe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefano Sabelli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | LLLWW |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Parma | Draw | Genoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 2.98 | 2.53 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 2.88 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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