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First LeagueMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRE

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia match centre

Lokomotiv Sofia badgeLokomotiv SofiaHome · 11 in league
LLDLD
Momentum↓ Low15/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
CSKA Sofia badgeCSKA SofiaAway · 2 in league
LWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising72/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
James Eto'o38′
Joel·Zwarts84′
Stadion Lokomotiv · SofiaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 16:53 UK.

Odds updated 16 Sep 13:40 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win7.50Our model 23.3%Market 12.5% Draw4.50Our model 22.3%Market 20.8% Away win1.40Our model 54.3%Market 66.8% Bet365 · Updated 16 Sep 13:40 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
3Corner Kicks4
—Fouls—
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lokomotiv Sofia 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

CSKA Sofia 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 16 Sep, 13:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

CSKA Sofia

6/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect CSKA Sofia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lokomotiv Sofia at home with CSKA Sofia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:13 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2026/27 · all league matches

Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
8Matches played8
4Points earned20
0Wins6
1.3Goals scored / match2.6
2.0Goals conceded / match0.7
0Clean sheets3
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lokomotiv Sofia at home with CSKA Sofia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Lokomotiv Sofia

0wins
1 draw

CSKA Sofia

3wins

Apr 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Lokomotiv Sofia first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lokomotiv Sofia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1L. Penev
  1. 99M. VelichkovG
  2. 14A. LyaskovD
  3. 91R. BidoungaD
  4. 3K. KostovD
  5. 6EirôD
  6. 31K. StanoevM
  7. 20D. KostadinovM
  8. 7S. DelevF
  9. 16M. MedfaiM
  10. 77Caue CaruzoF
  11. 29A. AralicaF
Substitutes (11)

8 · I. Yordanov

21 · K. Chachev

22 · R. Daskalov

5 · E. Dost

24 · A. Lyubenov

26 · K. Miloshev

9 · G. Minchev

42 · N. Neychev

17 · M. Papazov

71 · N. Penev

11 · A. Taoui

CSKA Sofia

Confirmed formation4-4-2Daniel Morales
  1. 21F. LapoukhovG
  2. 37B. CotterD
  3. 14T. IvanovD
  4. 4Dinis AlmeidaD
  5. 17Á. MartinoD
  6. 99J. Eto'oM
  7. 6Bruno JordãoM
  8. 7M. EbongM
  9. 38Léo PereiraF
  10. 9S. GodoyF
  11. 28I. PittasF
Substitutes (11)

25 · D. Evtimov

5 · J. Gbamin

67 · C. Itu

30 · P. Panayotov

2 · Pastor

32 · Facundo Santiago Rodríguez

8 · S. Sensi

94 · I. Solet Bomawoko

19 · A. Yordanov

10 · J. Zwarts

11 · M. Brahimi

2026/27 STANDINGS

First League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · A PFG. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Levski Sofia98102141725
DWWWW
2CSKA Sofia107302471724
DWWDW
3Ludogorets9720167923
WWDDW
4CSKA 1948107121910922
WWLWL
5Arda Kardzhali105231512317
DLLWW
6Botev Plovdiv105141614216
WWWLL
7Slavia Sofia1025398111
LDWLD
8Spartak Varna102441015-510
LDDDL
9Botev Vratsa10235919-109
DDWLW
10Septemvri Sofia10226818-108
LLLDW
11Lokomotiv Sofia101451118-77
WLDLD
12Lokomotiv Plovdiv10217513-87
DLWLL
13Cherno More Varna101361120-96
DDLLW
14Dunav Ruse101271019-95
DLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerLokomotiv SofiaDrawCSKA Sofia
William Hill5.804.001.44
Bet3657.504.501.40
Marathonbet6.554.551.40
Betfair6.504.601.36
BetVictor7.005.001.40

Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 13:40 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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