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Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk match centre

Helmond Sport badgeHelmond SportHome · 14 in league
LLWDL
Momentum→ Steady28/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Waalwijk badgeWaalwijkAway · 7 in league
LLWDD
Momentum→ Steady36/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Lenaerts18′
Y. van der Veen79′
GS Staalwerken Stadion · HelmondSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Helmond SportWaalwijk
3Corner Kicks4
20Fouls8
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves1
252Total passes558
174Passes accurate464

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Helmond Sport 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Waalwijk 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Helmond Sport

2/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Helmond Sport’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Waalwijk

2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Waalwijk’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Helmond Sport at home with Waalwijk away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches

Helmond SportWaalwijk
8Matches played7
8Points earned13
2Wins3
1.6Goals scored / match2.6
1.8Goals conceded / match1.3
0Clean sheets1
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Helmond Sport at home with Waalwijk away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Helmond Sport

Confirmed formation4-4-2Frederic Frans
  1. 1M. BergsenG
  2. 20S. DekkersD
  3. 4B. KoglinD
  4. 43T. LandheerD
  5. 17W. LantakiD
  6. 30K. EkoliM
  7. 6M. LudwigM
  8. 44X. van der VeldeM
  9. 19H. IngasonM
  10. 94M. Lenaerts
  11. 9L. BajramiF
Substitutes (9)

21 · W. Van der Heijden

23 · A. El Maach

26 · D. van Zutphen

2 · R. van Bree

8 · P. Llonch

47 · D. Geerts

34 · T. Essakkati

11 · L. Cicero

35 · N. Meissner

Waalwijk

Confirmed formation4-4-2Sander Duits
  1. 1N. SchiksG
  2. 33F. Al MazyaniD
  3. 4L. van GelderenD
  4. 30J. de WijsD
  5. 5J. Familia-CastilloD
  6. 7R. FageM
  7. 8J. NapM
  8. 6L. PostmaM
  9. 20K. VarelaM
  10. 10T. van LeeuwenF
  11. 9J. van de HaarF
Substitutes (11)

16 · M. Spenkelink

31 · L. Vogels

25 · N. Bakboord

55 · N. Held

3 · S. van der Plas

18 · R. van Hedel

45 · A. el Harchaoui

11 · Y. van der Veen

19 · H. van Gemert

27 · F. Stokkers

24 · A. Dkidak

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Helmond Sport

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Menno Bergsen906.9—0—39—
Sem Dekkers906.2—0—15—
Brian Koglin906.3—0—353
Tijn Landheer906.7—0132—
Wassim Lantaki907.2—0—382
Kiton Ekoli576.3—0—4—
Michel Ludwig876.2—0—232
Xander van der Velde906.5—0—14—
Helgi Fróði Ingason906.9—1—162
Mauro Lenaerts907.21016—
Labinot Bajrami676.5—0—6—
Livio Cicero336.3—0272
Pol Llonch236.7—0—151
Tarik Essakkati3——0—2—
Adam El Maach———————
Wessel van der Heijden———————
Diego van Zutphen———————
Rayen van Bree———————
Nico Meissner———————
Dayen Geerts———————

Waalwijk

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Niek Schiks907.2—0—36—
Faissal Al Mazyani906.3—1354—
Liam Van Gelderen907.2—0—771
Jordy de Wijs908.3—01843
Juan Familia-Castillo907.0—0—58—
Ryan Fage666.2—0131—
Jochem Nap906.5—0—612
Loek Postma757.3—0—491
Keyan Varela456.3—0114—
Thijs van Leeuwen757.3—03331
Jesse van de Haar877.2—0—142
Yorem van der Veen457.7101231
Finn Stokkers246.7—0—8—
Rein van Hedel156.3—0—91
Azzedine Dkidak156.6—0—71
Haye Van Gemert3——0———
Luuk Vogels———————
Mark Spenkelink———————
Sven van der Plas———————
Nazjir Held———————
Navajo Bakboord———————
Amin el Harchaoui———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Eerste Divisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heracles870126101621
WLWWW
2Almere City FC85121871116
LWWLW
3MVV85121215-316
WLLDW
4VVV Venlo85032114715
LWWLW
5Roda843195415
WDWDD
6Emmen85031817115
WLLWL
7Waalwijk83411811713
LWWWD
8Vitesse84131311213
LWLWW
9NAC Breda84131717013
WWLLD
10Jong AZ94142217513
WDLWW
11FC Volendam84042016412
WLWLW
12Jong PSV U2193331416-212
LDLWD
13FC Eindhoven83141317-410
LWWDL
14Helmond Sport82241314-18
LLWWL
15Jong Ajax92251322-98
DLLWD
16Den Bosch82151217-57
LWLLL
17Dordrecht82151223-117
WLLLL
18De Graafschap8215920-117
WLWLL
19Jong Utrecht92161521-67
LWWDL
20FC OSS8206813-56
LWLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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