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De Graafschap vs Almere City FC match centre

De Graafschap badgeDe GraafschapHome · 18 in league
WLDLL
Momentum↘ Falling21/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:4
UK time · Europe/London
Almere City FC badgeAlmere City FCAway · 2 in league
WLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Kania45′
F. Druijf28′
F. Druijf70′
E. Cornelisse80′
O. de Nijs86′
De Vijverberg · DoetinchemSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
9Corner Kicks5
6Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
445Total passes374
358Passes accurate281

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

De Graafschap 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Almere City FC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

De Graafschap

2/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
3.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect De Graafschap’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Almere City FC

6/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Almere City FC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare De Graafschap at home with Almere City FC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches

De GraafschapAlmere City FC
7Matches played7
4Points earned16
1Wins5
1.1Goals scored / match2.3
2.9Goals conceded / match0.6
0Clean sheets3
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares De Graafschap at home with Almere City FC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

De Graafschap

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Thomas Duivenvoorden
  1. 1T. WieggersG
  2. 4J. HardemanD
  3. 3R. BesselinkD
  4. 15T. KokD
  5. 14G. BolkD
  6. 8D. WarmerdamM
  7. 20G. FinocchiaroM
  8. 24J. MeerstadtM
  9. 27N. AhmetiM
  10. 11T. MeroM
  11. 9J. KaniaF
Substitutes (10)

23 · R. Jonkers

31 · S. Bouwman

34 · N. Hartgers

32 · T. Grotenhuis

38 · M. Smits

36 · T. Braem

18 · D. Eijken

7 · B. van Zijl

17 · N. Kaninda

40 · K. Kwint

Almere City FC

Confirmed formation4-3-3Anoush Dastgir
  1. 1W. SpeelG
  2. 3J. JacobsD
  3. 22E. van de BlaakD
  4. 4J. LawrenceD
  5. 5T. BijleveldD
  6. 14M. HoedemakersM
  7. 21H. el DahriM
  8. 6E. CornelisseM
  9. 17E. PokuF
  10. 9F. Druijf
  11. 11M. DorsF
Substitutes (11)

24 · M. Mateyo

30 · J. van der Wilt

44 · D. van Bruggen

2 · M. Wasinski

33 · J. van Gom

8 · M. de Haan

19 · O. de Nijs

20 · J. Kalisvaart

7 · B. Burgering

18 · B. Huisman

25 · I. Ghogli

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

De Graafschap

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ties Wieggers907.2—0—48—
Joran Hardeman116.6—0—3—
Rowan Besselink905.9—0—501
Thomas Kok906.2—01691
Gijs Bolk905.9—02501
Donny Warmerdam907.3—01483
Gabriele Finocchiaro747.2—0113—
Jason Meerstadt836.6—0—244
Nart Ahmeti906.6—01443
Toivo Mero906.9—0142—
Julian Kania747.310515—
Tygo Grotenhuis726.9—0—284
Kyano Kwint166.7—0—4—
Bjorn van Zijl166.6—015—
Denzel Eijken116.3—0—2—
Nathan Kaninda116.3—0———
Rick Jonkers———————
Sam Bouwman———————
Nic Hartgers———————
Milan Smits———————
Tim Braem———————

Almere City FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Wessel Speel908.3—0—41—
Joey Jacobs906.6—01323
Emmanuel van de Blaak456.6—0—351
James Lawrence846.5—0—592
Teun Bijleveld906.3—0—30—
Mees Hoedemakers636.2—0—362
Hamza El Dahri626.3—0119—
Enzo Cornelisse908.011135—
Emanuel Poku907.9—1213—
Ferdy Druijf909.5214151
Marley Dors776.9—0220—
Damian van Bruggen456.6—0—17—
Olivier De Nijs288.511291
Milan de Haan276.5—0171
Jereno van Gom136.9—0—31
Martin Wasinski106.9—0—3—
Malcolm Mateyo———————
Joel Van der Wilt———————
Job Kalisvaart———————
Byron Burgering———————
Immanuel Goghli———————
Bas Huisman———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Eerste Divisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heracles870126101621
WLWWW
2Almere City FC85121871116
LWWLW
3MVV85121215-316
WLLDW
4VVV Venlo85032114715
LWWLW
5Roda843195415
WDWDD
6Emmen85031817115
WLLWL
7Waalwijk83411811713
LWWWD
8Vitesse84131311213
LWLWW
9NAC Breda84131717013
WWLLD
10Jong AZ94142217513
WDLWW
11FC Volendam84042016412
WLWLW
12Jong PSV U2193331416-212
LDLWD
13FC Eindhoven83141317-410
LWWDL
14Helmond Sport82241314-18
LLWWL
15Jong Ajax92251322-98
DLLWD
16Den Bosch82151217-57
LWLLL
17Dordrecht82151223-117
WLLLL
18De Graafschap8215920-117
WLWLL
19Jong Utrecht92161521-67
LWWDL
20FC OSS8206813-56
LWLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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