VVV Venlo
5/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect VVV Venlo’s results
Eerste DivisieMatchweek 11THE MATCH CENTREVVV Venlo vs Jong AZ match centre
Pre-match
19:00
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
VVV Venlo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Jong AZ 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
See the match forecast for model details.API-Football
Provider model estimate
Provider forecast under review
Provider percentages are missing or invalid.
Provider team identities do not match this fixture.
Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.
Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
FROM OUR STORED RESULTS
Experimental researchKickoff Edge history fallback
The provider forecast failed our quality checks and a verified primary forecast is unavailable. This separate estimate uses VVV Venlo’s 20 and Jong AZ’s 20 prior completed games across competitions.
VVV Venlo36.0%
Draw21.4%
Jong AZ42.6%
Up to 20 stored results per team in the previous year; 180-day decay; five-match prior at 1.35 goals; joint Poisson score model. No opponent-strength, lineup or xG adjustment; not calibrated or eligible for tips. The bookmaker comparison is a quality check; odds do not enter this model. Inspect the recorded results.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Jong AZ
5/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Jong AZ’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
VVV Venlo
10 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC VolendamAway · Eerste Divisie2–3Jong UtrechtAway · Eerste Divisie3–1FC OSSHome · Eerste Divisie3–1Helmond SportAway · Eerste Divisie2–4EmmenHome · Eerste Divisie4–0De GraafschapHome · Eerste Divisie2–1NAC BredaAway · Eerste Divisie2–0HeraclesHome · Eerste Divisie3–4AS EupenHome · Friendlies Clubs2–3Fortuna KölnHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1
Jong AZ
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.9
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC VolendamHome · Eerste Divisie4–1Jong PSV U21Away · Eerste Divisie1–1HeraclesAway · Eerste Divisie2–3DordrechtAway · Eerste Divisie6–3Jong UtrechtHome · Eerste Divisie2–1MVVHome · Eerste Divisie1–2EmmenAway · Eerste Divisie1–3De GraafschapAway · Eerste Divisie5–2FC EindhovenHome · Eerste Divisie0–1IjsselmeervogelsAway · Friendlies Clubs7–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VVV Venlo at home with Jong AZ away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 18:35 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches
VVV VenloJong AZ
7Matches played—
15Points earned—
5Wins—
2.7Goals scored / match—
1.6Goals conceded / match—
2Clean sheets—
0Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VVV Venlo at home with Jong AZ away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
VVV Venlo
2wins4MEETINGS
Jong AZ
2winsJul 2024 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with VVV Venlo first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
VVV Venlo
Most-used league formation4-2-3-14 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Jong AZ
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eerste Divisie table
Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Almere City FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  MVV | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 4 | VVV Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 7 |  Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 9 |  NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | WWLLD |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  FC Eindhoven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 | LLWWL |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 20 |  FC OSS | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →