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EredivisieMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior match centre

NEC Nijmegen badgeNEC NijmegenHome · 11 in league
LLWLD
Momentum→ Steady28/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Excelsior badgeExcelsiorAway · 7 in league
WLWWD
Momentum→ Steady66/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Tahaui11′
N. Lebreton90′
D. Garden43′
V. Sulzbacher73′
Goffertstadion · NijmegenSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
NEC NijmegenExcelsior
2Corner Kicks4
5Fouls16
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
677Total passes298
582Passes accurate213

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

NEC Nijmegen 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Excelsior 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

NEC Nijmegen

2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect NEC Nijmegen’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Excelsior

9/10Wins
3.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Excelsior’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare NEC Nijmegen at home with Excelsior away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eredivisie · 2026/27 · all league matches

NEC NijmegenExcelsior
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares NEC Nijmegen at home with Excelsior away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

NEC Nijmegen

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Dick Schreuder
  1. 12N. PolsterG
  2. 73G. BrasD
  3. 17B. NuytinckD
  4. 21T. StormD
  5. 19A. TahauiM
  6. 18D. GeigerM
  7. 35J. MonteiroM
  8. 77A. ThomasM
  9. 11W. T. WillumssonF
  10. 8I. Hansen-AaroenF
  11. 10D. TadicF
Substitutes (10)

1 · G. Crettaz

38 · J. Geneste

3 · P. Sandler

4 · P. Schuurs

66 · A. Kabar

9 · T. Chery

20 · N. Lebreton

14 · K. Sierhuis

99 · C. Bischoff

34 · K. Kers

Excelsior

Confirmed formation3-4-3Ruben den Uil
  1. 1S. van GasselG
  2. 3R. MeissenD
  3. 4C. WidellD
  4. 14J. PlugD
  5. 2E. da Silva MoreiraM
  6. 8I. YegoianM
  7. 20L. HartjesM
  8. 15S. JanssenM
  9. 21I. Silva TimasF
  10. 19D. Garden
  11. 30A. ThorsteinssonF
Substitutes (11)

16 · C. Biai

24 · G. Cairo

6 · D. van Vianen

18 · V. Sulzbacher

23 · Y. Finey

7 · A. Sliti

9 · M. Dominguez

11 · A. Jahanbakhsh

28 · N. Groen

12 · K. Bos

22 · O. Turay

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

NEC Nijmegen

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nikolas Polster906.6—0—65—
Gabriel Brás877.2—0—1002
Bram Nuytinck456.5—0—351
Tobias Storm907.0—0—773
Adam Tahaui908.2101391
Dennis Geiger637.0—0—432
Jamiro Monteiro456.6—0—322
Ayodele Thomas906.2—02392
Willum Thor Willumsson906.6—11491
Isak Hansen Aarøen636.5—0—301
Dušan Tadić906.9—0126—
Philippe Sandler456.9—0—59—
Perr Schuurs457.2—12462
Kevin Kers276.9—0—10—
Noé Lebreton277.2101181
Clement Bischoff86.9—0—9—
Joep Geneste———————
Gonzalo Crettaz———————
Almugera Kabar———————
Tjaronn Chery———————
Kaj Sierhuis———————

Excelsior

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Stijn van Gassel906.5—0—59—
Rick Meissen906.3—02323
Casper Widell906.3—0—482
Jan Plug906.5—0—295
Eric da Silva Moreira716.9—0—194
Irakli Yegoian906.6—14282
Lennard Hartjes906.0—0—22—
Simon Janssen456.6—0—71
Ilano Silva Timas817.2—0—163
David Garden677.710211—
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson677.2—0—11—
Kasey Bos456.9—0—73
Nesto Groen236.9—0131
Aymen Sliti236.7—1—31
Valentin Sulzbacher197.21012—
Alireza Jahanbakhsh96.6—0—11
Celton Biai———————
Giuliano Cairo———————
Osman Turay———————
Yaqub Finey———————
Daniel van Vianen———————
Mario Domínguez———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Eredivisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AZ Alkmaar76101861219
WDWWW
2Feyenoord75202571817
WWWDW
3PSV Eindhoven751124101416
LWWWW
4Twente7511157816
WWWDW
5Ajax74212191214
DWWLW
6Fortuna Sittard74121314-113
WLWWL
7Excelsior7322159611
DLDWW
8Groningen73221513211
WDDLL
9GO Ahead Eagles72411614210
DDDLW
10Heerenveen723211929
WDLDL
11NEC Nijmegen72231213-18
DLDLW
12Sparta Rotterdam71241017-75
LLDLD
13Telstar7124512-75
LDLDL
14Cambuur71241019-95
DWDLL
15Utrecht71241124-135
LWDLD
16PEC Zwolle7115620-144
LLDLW
17ADO Den Haag7025717-102
DLLDL
18Willem II7025620-142
LLDLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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