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EredivisieMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven match centre

Ajax badgeAjaxHome · 5 in league
DDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising79/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
PSV Eindhoven badgePSV EindhovenAway · 3 in league
LDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising74/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. Arokodare23′
R. Pepi5′
L. Geertruida45′
E. Bajraktarevic90′
Johan Cruijff Arena · AmsterdamSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AjaxPSV Eindhoven
1Corner Kicks1
6Fouls13
3Yellow Cards6
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves5
513Total passes446
427Passes accurate384

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ajax 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

PSV Eindhoven 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ajax

8/10Wins
3.1Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Ajax’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

PSV Eindhoven

6/10Wins
3.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect PSV Eindhoven’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ajax at home with PSV Eindhoven away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:27 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eredivisie · 2026/27 · all league matches

AjaxPSV Eindhoven
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ajax at home with PSV Eindhoven away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ajax

Confirmed formation4-3-3Michel
  1. 1M. ter StegenG
  2. 3A. GaaeiD
  3. 30A. BouwmanD
  4. 15Y. BaasD
  5. 12Caio HenriqueD
  6. 18D. KlaassenM
  7. 24J. MokioM
  8. 8J. BrandtM
  9. 23S. BerghuisF
  10. 99T. ArokodareF
  11. 10O. GloukhF
Substitutes (12)

26 · M. Paes

5 · O. Wijndal

36 · D. Janse

21 · J. Torrents

6 · T. Kehrer

2 · L. Rosa

4 · S. Amrabat

68 · A. Ouazane

9 · K. Dolberg

11 · V. Tsygankov

20 · O. Edvardsen

38 · Marcos Leonardo

PSV Eindhoven

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Peter Bosz
  1. 32M. KovarG
  2. 8S. DestD
  3. 2L. GeertruidaD
  4. 4A. ObispoD
  5. 17Mauro JuniorD
  6. 24K. SanoM
  7. 31N. FernandezM
  8. 5I. PerisicM
  9. 20G. TilM
  10. 7R. van BommelM
  11. 9R. PepiF
Substitutes (10)

1 · N. Olij

41 · K. Ngom

6 · R. Flamingo

3 · Y. Gasiorowski

10 · P. Wanner

18 · F. Kostic

21 · S. Mijnans

35 · A. Santos

19 · E. Bajraktarevic

37 · A. Bouhamdi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Ajax

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marc-André Ter Stegen907.3—0—57—
Anton Gaaei906.2—0—305
Aaron Bouwman846.9—0—541
Youri Baas906.6—01642
Caio Henrique906.2—01472
Davy Klaassen546.3—01171
Jorthy Mokio737.3—01283
Julian Brandt907.2—0250—
Steven Berghuis616.9—02292
Tolu Arokodare617.2101241
Oscar Gloukh547.0—01223
Sofyan Amrabat366.9—0—371
Marcos Leonardo366.2—0—7—
Viktor Tsygankov296.7—01191
Kasper Dolberg296.6—0—52
Abdellah Ouazane176.9—0271
Thilo Kehrer146.2—0—16—
Maarten Paes———————
Lucas Rosa———————
Jofre Torrents ———————
Dies Janse———————
Owen Wijndal———————
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen———————

PSV Eindhoven

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matěj Kovář907.3—0—43—
Sergiño Dest907.5—0—513
Lutsharel Geertruida737.9101732
Armando Obispo887.3—0—305
Mauro Júnior736.9—0—423
Kodai Sano906.2—01461
Noah Fernandez456.3—0118—
Ivan Perišić637.0—01382
Guus Til906.6—01242
Ruben van Bommel907.2—1123—
Ricardo Pepi636.910291
Paul Wanner457.0—0—195
Sven Mijnans276.9—1263
Esmir Bajraktarević277.310110—
Ryan Flamingo176.9—0—5—
Filip Kostić176.2—0—5—
Yarek Gasiorowski106.9—0—41
Khadim Ngom———————
Nick Olij———————
Amir Bouhamdi———————
Ayoni Santos———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Eredivisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AZ Alkmaar76101861219
WDWWW
2Feyenoord75202571817
WWWDW
3PSV Eindhoven751124101416
LWWWW
4Twente7511157816
WWWDW
5Ajax74212191214
DWWLW
6Fortuna Sittard74121314-113
WLWWL
7Excelsior7322159611
DLDWW
8Groningen73221513211
WDDLL
9GO Ahead Eagles72411614210
DDDLW
10Heerenveen723211929
WDLDL
11NEC Nijmegen72231213-18
DLDLW
12Sparta Rotterdam71241017-75
LLDLD
13Telstar7124512-75
LDLDL
14Cambuur71241019-95
DWDLL
15Utrecht71241124-135
LWDLD
16PEC Zwolle7115620-144
LLDLW
17ADO Den Haag7025717-102
DLLDL
18Willem II7025620-142
LLDLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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