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Ligue 2Matchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

PAU vs Dunkerque match centre

PAU badgePAUHome · 10 in league
WLDDL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Dunkerque badgeDunkerqueAway · 12 in league
DLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising38/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Jessy Benet49′ (pen)
Abdoulaye Mbaye88′
Nouste Camp · PauSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 18:32 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 18:23 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.25Our model 33.9%Market 39.5% Draw3.10Our model 25.8%Market 28.7% Away win2.80Our model 40.3%Market 31.8% Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 18:23 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PAUDunkerque
6Corner Kicks2
16Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
540Total passes283
480Passes accurate209

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

PAU 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Dunkerque 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 17:10 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

PAU

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect PAU’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Dunkerque

5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Dunkerque’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare PAU at home with Dunkerque away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 2 · 2026/27 · all league matches

PAUDunkerque
6Matches played6
5Points earned8
1Wins2
0.7Goals scored / match1.7
1.0Goals conceded / match1.7
1Clean sheets0
3Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares PAU at home with Dunkerque away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

PAU

0wins
1 draw

Dunkerque

3wins

Sep 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with PAU first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

PAU

Confirmed formation5-3-2Thierry Debes
  1. 1B. MaubleuG
  2. 2T. PouillyD
  3. 29G. PaquiezD
  4. 23A. BriançonD
  5. 88A. BambaD
  6. 97A. AbdallahD
  7. 6C. FallM
  8. 21J. BenetM
  9. 18J. SebasM
  10. 9B. LeyeF
  11. 19T. SaettelF
Substitutes (9)

8 · S. Basse

10 · B. Brahimi

4 · A. Dodote

27 · L. Gadegbeku

11 · A. Lefebvre

56 · Abdoulaye Mbaye

5 · L. Rajot

30 · E. Salles

39 · M. Tourraine

Dunkerque

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Albert Sánchez
  1. 73Moha AiramG
  2. 27A. LinguetD
  3. 26Opa SangantéD
  4. 22V. MayelaD
  5. 24L. VallierD
  6. 6J. MorelM
  7. 18Théna MassockM
  8. 7K. AyariM
  9. 19S. KeitaM
  10. 11E. PrutsevM
  11. 9G. RobailF
Substitutes (9)

30 · Abner

16 · M. Prévot

33 · Noah Nemorin

94 · E. Mayilla

4 · B. Lagae

21 · L. Loussilaho

17 · P. M. Dieng

25 · Franck Atoen

2 · O. Touré

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Dunkerque

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
O. Touré236.4001121
Franck Atoen136.2000101
P. M. Dieng136.100050
L. Loussilaho00.000000
B. Lagae735.9001291
E. Mayilla226.000030
Noah Nemorin00.000000
M. Prévot00.000000
Abner00.000000
Moha Airam907.4000390
A. Linguet906.1000231
Opa Sanganté906.3001440
V. Mayela115.3000150
L. Vallier906.7000282
J. Morel676.7000211
Théna Massock776.2000132
K. Ayari906.6001153
S. Keita776.5002141
E. Prutsev686.400191
G. Robail176.000060

PAU

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
M. Tourraine00.000000
E. Salles00.000000
L. Rajot77.201270
Abdoulaye Mbaye247.710270
A. Lefebvre00.000000
L. Gadegbeku00.000000
A. Dodote327.5000212
B. Brahimi00.000000
S. Basse237.1000132
B. Maubleu907.1000150
T. Pouilly907.6001660
G. Paquiez907.90001022
A. Briançon907.7004814
A. Bamba587.6000481
A. Abdallah677.0000372
C. Fall907.0004491
J. Benet907.8104713
J. Sebas666.300271
B. Leye906.6001170
T. Saettel836.7002171
2026/27 STANDINGS

Ligue 2 table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Ligue 2. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Saint Etienne75111981116
DLWWW
2RED Star FC 93742197214
WWWLD
3Reims7340159613
DWDWW
4Montpellier733165112
DWLDW
5Metz7241107310
DLWDD
6Nancy731387110
WLLWW
7Annecy731399010
LLWDL
8Sochaux724145-110
DWDDW
9Dijon7232101009
WWDLD
10PAU72236608
WLDDL
11Guingamp72231012-28
LWDDL
12Dunkerque72231012-28
LWDLL
13Grenoble7223811-38
DWLWL
14Rodez72141416-27
LLLDW
15Nantes7214913-47
WLWDL
16Clermont Foot706146-26
DDDDD
17Boulogne705235-25
LDDDD
18Laval7124814-65
DLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerPAUDrawDunkerque
William Hill2.383.202.80
Bet3652.253.102.80
Marathonbet2.333.382.86
Betfair2.403.202.88
BetVictor2.383.402.80

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 18:23 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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