L. BuadesKnock
Reported out
Ligue 1Matchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRELe Mans vs Lorient match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Adil Bourabaa3′
Habib Diallo57′
Isak Jensen78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 19:32 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 18:27 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Le MansLorient
0.920Expected goals · API-Football0.970
6Shots on target2
9Total Shots9
51%Ball Possession49%
1Corner Kicks3
15Fouls15
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
459Total passes439
371Passes accurate362
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Le Mans 2 reported
E. ColasInjury
Reported out
Lorient 3 reported
B. FadigaInjury
Reported out
N. MbambaMuscle Injury
Doubtful
A. TosinIllness
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 21:44 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Le Mans
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Le Mans’s resultsLorient
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lorient’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Le Mans
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Lorient
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Le Mans at home with Lorient away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:45 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
Le MansLorient
4Matches played4
3Points earned5
0Wins1
1.8Goals scored / match1.0
2.0Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets2
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Le Mans at home with Lorient away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Le Mans
1wins4MEETINGS
Lorient
3winsJan 2012 – Feb 2020 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Le Mans
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2P. Videira
- 98
N. KocikG - 19
D. SidibéD - 17
S. YohouD - 5
H. VoyerD - 29
L. BretelleM - 26
R. BambaM - 10
J. VercruysseM - 11
A. BourabaaM - 76
Y. LarouciM - 14
L. MafoutaF - 13
H. DialloF
Substitutes (9)
23 · D. Traoré
16 · Raúl Torrente
9 · A. Rabillard
8 · A. Lauray
1 · E. Hatfout
25 · D. Guèye
22 · L. Calodat
7 · B. Brahimi
15 · N. Boissé
Lorient
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1A. Dujeux
- 38
Y. MvogoG - 20
D. SyllaD - 3
M. TalbiD - 32
N. AdjeiD - 77
P. KatserisM - 8
N. CadiouM - 62
A. AvomM - 43
K. KouassiM - 33
G. BernardeauM - 17
J. MakengoM - 18
I. BaldéF
Substitutes (9)
95 · S. Touré
55 · N. Obaretin
11 · T. Le Bris
30 · S. Kuzmić
42 · M. Kone
21 · B. Kamara
10 · I. Jensen
2 · A. Georgen
19 · S. Faye
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lorient
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Mvogo | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| M. Talbi | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 1 |
| D. Sylla | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 3 |
| J. Makengo | 75 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
| K. Kouassi | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 1 |
| P. Katseris | 17 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| N. Cadiou | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 0 |
| G. Bernardeau | 65 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| I. Baldé | 65 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| A. Avom | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 1 |
| N. Adjei | 75 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 1 |
| S. Touré | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Obaretin | 15 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 |
| T. Le Bris | 73 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| S. Kuzmić | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Kone | 25 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| B. Kamara | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Jensen | 15 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| A. Georgen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Faye | 25 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
Le Mans
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Kocik | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| S. Yohou | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 2 |
| H. Voyer | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 1 |
| J. Vercruysse | 72 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 |
| D. Sidibé | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 3 |
| L. Mafouta | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| Y. Larouci | 58 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| H. Diallo | 59 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| L. Bretelle | 72 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 0 |
| A. Bourabaa | 85 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| R. Bamba | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 3 |
| D. Traoré | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Raúl Torrente | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Rabillard | 18 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| A. Lauray | 18 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| E. Hatfout | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Guèye | 31 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| L. Calodat | 32 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| B. Brahimi | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| N. Boissé | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Ligue 1 table
Current standings · Ligue 1. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 | WDDLD |
| 10 |  Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 | LDWLD |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 14 |  Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 | WLDLD |
| 15 |  Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Le Mans | Draw | Lorient |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.82 | 3.30 | 2.59 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 18:27 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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