M. CoulibalyMuscle Injury
Reported out
Ligue 1Matchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREMonaco vs Lens match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Paris Brunner32′
Jonathan Gradit84′ (og)
Matthieu Udol57′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 16:21 UK.
Odds updated 18 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MonacoLens
1.750Expected goals · API-Football1.190
6Shots on target3
9Total Shots11
53%Ball Possession47%
2Corner Kicks8
12Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
530Total passes526
464Passes accurate451
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Monaco 7 reported
A. FatiCalf Injury
Reported out
S. IdumboGroin Injury
Reported out
A. SoubeirInjury
Reported out
J. TezeInjury
Reported out
F. BalogunInjury
Doubtful
T. MinaminoLacking Match Fitness
Doubtful
Lens 5 reported
S. AbdulhamidContusion
Reported out
S. BaidooKnee Injury
Reported out
J. ChavezThigh Injury
Reported out
M. NawrockiInjury
Reported out
Y. TitraouiInjury
Reported outFetched 18 Sep, 17:12 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Monaco
7/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Monaco’s resultsLens
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lens’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Monaco
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
StrasbourgAway · Ligue 11–1Paris Saint GermainAway · Ligue 12–1MarseilleHome · Ligue 12–0Gornik ZabrzeHome · UEFA Europa Conference League4–1Le HavreAway · Ligue 11–0Gornik ZabrzeAway · UEFA Europa Conference League3–2CoventryAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2LiverpoolAway · Friendlies Clubs3–2GetafeHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Cercle BruggeHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2
Lens
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Le MansAway · Ligue 12–2Slavia PrahaAway · UEFA Champions League3–2LorientHome · Ligue 10–1StrasbourgAway · Ligue 11–2AuxerreHome · Ligue 15–2Paris Saint GermainHome · Trophée des Champions1–0SunderlandHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2VillarrealHome · Como Cup3–1FamalicaoHome · Como Cup0–0Crystal PalaceAway · Como Cup3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Monaco at home with Lens away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 05:13 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
MonacoLens
4Matches played4
10Points earned4
3Wins1
1.5Goals scored / match2.0
0.5Goals conceded / match1.8
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Monaco at home with Lens away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Monaco
1wins4MEETINGS
Lens
2winsSep 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Monaco first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Monaco
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Filipe Luís
- 1
L. HrádeckýG - 72
Sadibou SanéD - 6
D. ZakariaD - 15
E. DierD - 2
VandersonM - 8
L. CamaraM - 37
E. DiopM - 20
Flávio NazinhoM - 11
M. AblineM - 10
A. GolovinM - 29
Paris Josua BrunnerF
Substitutes (9)
9 · F. Balogun
47 · S. Benzahra
19 · Pape Cabral
7 · M. Detourbet
16 · P. Köhn
13 · C. Mawissa Elebi
18 · T. Minamino
22 · M. Salisu
49 · I. Touré
Lens
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Yannick Cahuzac
- 40
R. RisserG - 2
R. AguilarD - 32
K. AntonioD - 20
J. TodiboD - 14
M. UdolD - 27
M. CuisanceM - 21
A. HaidaraM - 38
Mezian MesloubM - 10
F. ThauvinM - 28
J. KadileM - 19
A. SimaF
Substitutes (9)
7 · F. Sotoca
11 · O. Édouard
16 · M. Gorgelin
24 · J. Gradit
9 · T. Hazard
29 · F. Ivanović
31 · S. Sagnan
22 · M. Skóraś
5 · A. Bulatović
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Monaco
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Abline | 76 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| I. Touré | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Salisu | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Minamino | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Mawissa Elebi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Köhn | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Detourbet | 28 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
| Pape Cabral | 14 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| S. Benzahra | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Balogun | 14 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| L. Hrádecký | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
| Paris Josua Brunner | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| L. Camara | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 2 |
| E. Dier | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 0 |
| E. Diop | 62 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 2 |
| A. Golovin | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 4 |
| Flávio Nazinho | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 0 |
| Sadibou Sané | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1 |
| Vanderson | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 7 |
| D. Zakaria | 76 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 2 |
Lens
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Todibo | 45 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 3 |
| M. Udol | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 77 | 3 |
| F. Thauvin | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 0 |
| Mezian Mesloub | 58 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| A. Sima | 58 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| J. Kadile | 69 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| A. Haidara | 72 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| M. Cuisance | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 51 | 0 |
| K. Antonio | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 5 |
| R. Aguilar | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 2 |
| R. Risser | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 |
| F. Sotoca | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Édouard | 32 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| M. Gorgelin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Gradit | 45 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 1 |
| T. Hazard | 32 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| F. Ivanović | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Sagnan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Skóraś | 21 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| A. Bulatović | 18 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Ligue 1 table
Current standings · Ligue 1. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 9 |  Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 | WDDLD |
| 10 |  Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 12 |  Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 | LDWLD |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 14 |  Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 | WLDLD |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Monaco | Draw | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.84 | 3.86 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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