E. MbembaInactive
Reported out
Ligue 1Matchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREParis FC vs Strasbourg match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Ilan Kebbal18′
Pablo Pagis57′
Moustapha Mbow88′ (og)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 12:56 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 14:33 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Paris FCStrasbourg
1.050Expected goals · API-Football0.240
7Shots on target1
17Total Shots4
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks0
15Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
558Total passes506
502Passes accurate444
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Paris FC 4 reported
OtavioInjury
Reported out
N. SanguiInjury
Reported out
T. De SmetInactive
Doubtful
Strasbourg 2 reported
M. GodoMuscle Injury
Reported out
J. PanichelliKnee Injury
Reported outFetched 18 Sep, 22:04 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Paris FC
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Paris FC’s resultsStrasbourg
2/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Strasbourg’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Paris FC
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LyonHome · Ligue 10–0MarseilleAway · Ligue 13–2NiceHome · Ligue 13–0Estac TroyesAway · Ligue 10–0AngersAway · Friendlies Clubs2–3FSV Mainz 05Away · Friendlies Clubs0–4VfB StuttgartAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2ComoAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2ReimsHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Paris Saint GermainHome · Ligue 12–1
Strasbourg
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MonacoHome · Ligue 11–1Estac TroyesAway · Ligue 16–2LensHome · Ligue 12–1MarseilleAway · Ligue 10–4NewcastleAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1SC FreiburgAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2SV ElversbergHome · Friendlies Clubs2–5BrightonAway · Friendlies Clubs3–4BlackburnHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2Sporting CPAway · Friendlies Clubs0–7
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Paris FC at home with Strasbourg away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:45 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
Paris FCStrasbourg
4Matches played4
8Points earned7
2Wins2
1.5Goals scored / match2.3
0.5Goals conceded / match2.0
3Clean sheets0
2Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Paris FC at home with Strasbourg away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Paris FC
0wins4MEETINGS
Strasbourg
2winsAug 2014 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Paris FC first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Paris FC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1L. Rosenior
- 1
K. TrappG - 17
A. CamaraD - 5
M. MbowD - 42
D. CoppolaD - 14
H. TraoréD - 33
P. Lees-MelouM - 20
M. LopezM - 10
I. KebbalM - 7
P. PagisM - 15
L. KoleoshoM - 9
L. SinayokoF
Substitutes (9)
8 · E. Zabi
28 · T. De Smet
93 · J. Ikoné
11 · J. Krasso
4 · V. Marchetti
16 · O. Nkambadio
23 · R. Matondo
27 · M. Simon
25 · Y. Koré
Strasbourg
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hugo Oliveira
- 1
F. JörgensenG - 16
G. AntwiD - 4
J. MitchellD - 6
I. DoukouréD - 36
OsoD - 29
S. El MourabetM - 23
Diogo SousaM - 80
Gessime YassineM - 10
G. ReynaM - 11
S. NanasiM - 30
J. OrtegaF
Substitutes (9)
12 · M. Piekutowski
28 · Tyrese Noubissie
24 · L. Høgsberg
40 · C. Harder
35 · Yaya Dieme
21 · P. Diop
31 · Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
14 · Dário Essugo
7 · S. Amo-Ameyaw
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Strasbourg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Jörgensen | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 |
| Gessime Yassine | 87 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 |
| Diogo Sousa | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 |
| G. Reyna | 67 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| Oso | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 3 |
| J. Ortega | 58 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| S. Nanasi | 67 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 0 |
| J. Mitchell | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 2 |
| S. El Mourabet | 67 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| I. Doukouré | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 2 |
| G. Antwi | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 3 |
| M. Piekutowski | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrese Noubissie | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Høgsberg | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Harder | 32 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Yaya Dieme | 3 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| P. Diop | 23 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 |
| Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dário Essugo | 23 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| S. Amo-Ameyaw | 23 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Paris FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Trapp | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 |
| H. Traoré | 54 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 4 |
| L. Sinayoko | 87 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 |
| P. Pagis | 68 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 2 |
| M. Mbow | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 4 |
| M. Lopez | 86 | 7.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 81 | 1 |
| P. Lees-Melou | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 9 |
| L. Koleosho | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 3 |
| I. Kebbal | 68 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 49 | 2 |
| D. Coppola | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 |
| A. Camara | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 3 |
| E. Zabi | 3 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| T. De Smet | 36 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
| J. Ikoné | 22 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| J. Krasso | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Marchetti | 4 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Nkambadio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Matondo | 22 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| M. Simon | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Koré | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Ligue 1 table
Current standings · Ligue 1. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 9 |  Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 | WDDLD |
| 10 |  Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 12 |  Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 | LDWLD |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 14 |  Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 | WLDLD |
| 15 |  Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Paris FC | Draw | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.88 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.86 | 4.37 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 14:33 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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