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EkstraklasaMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTRE

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa match centre

Korona Kielce badgeKorona KielceHome · 6 in league
WWDWL
Momentum↘ Falling61/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Raków Częstochowa badgeRaków CzęstochowaAway · 18 in league
LLLWL
Momentum↗ Rising23/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Mariusz Stępiński20′ (pen)
Camilo Mena33′
Mariusz Stępiński62′ (pen)
Lamine Diaby Fadiga58′
Bogdan·Mircetic82′
Suzuki Arena · KielceSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 10:38 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 10:37 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.15Our model 53.4%Market 41.8% Draw3.30Our model 23.4%Market 27.2% Away win2.90Our model 23.2%Market 31.0% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 10:37 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Korona KielceRaków Częstochowa
7Corner Kicks5
5Fouls13
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves8
311Total passes450
261Passes accurate384

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Korona Kielce 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Raków Częstochowa 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 22:24 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Korona Kielce

5/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Korona Kielce’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Korona Kielce at home with Raków Częstochowa away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ekstraklasa · 2026/27 · all league matches

Korona KielceRaków Częstochowa
7Matches played7
12Points earned3
3Wins1
1.3Goals scored / match1.2
0.9Goals conceded / match2.2
1Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Korona Kielce at home with Raków Częstochowa away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Korona Kielce

0wins
2 draws

Raków Częstochowa

2wins

Nov 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Korona Kielce first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Korona Kielce

Confirmed formation4-5-1J. Zielinski
  1. 1X. DziekońskiG
  2. 71W. DługoszD
  3. 23S. RubežićD
  4. 2A. MosórD
  5. 6M. PięczekD
  6. 30C. MenaM
  7. 35Kamil JakubczykM
  8. 32O. LingrM
  9. 18P. HellebrandM
  10. 19M. AmeyawM
  11. 14M. StępińskiF
Substitutes (12)

99 · Daniel Bak

67 · N. Barczak

7 · D. Błanik

21 · K. Ciszek

9 · S. Davidović

22 · M. Faßbender

86 · Simon Gustafson

87 · R. Mamla

10 · Nono

8 · M. Remacle

24 · B. Smolarczyk

44 · K. Sotiriou

Raków Częstochowa

Confirmed formation3-4-3T. Kaczmarek
  1. 1K. TrelowskiG
  2. 3A. BrorssonD
  3. 25B. RacovițanD
  4. 4S. SvarnasD
  5. 20Jean CarlosM
  6. 6O. RepkaM
  7. 5M. BulatM
  8. 21T. PieńkoM
  9. 80L. Diaby-FadigaF
  10. 11M. EmreliF
  11. 9P. MakuchF
Substitutes (12)

99 · Adam Basse

19 · N. Zätterström

39 · I. Brusberg

77 · D. Debohi

71 · T. Karić

15 · O. Kwiatkowski

44 · B. Mirčetić

88 · A. Molnar

36 · M. Perović

23 · K. Struski

22 · A. Ojo

17 · J. Jendryka

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Korona Kielce

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
M. Ameyaw907.2004141
K. Sotiriou00.000000
B. Smolarczyk00.000000
M. Remacle00.000000
Nono00.000000
R. Mamla00.000000
Simon Gustafson16.100000
M. Faßbender206.700213
S. Davidović00.000000
K. Ciszek00.000000
D. Błanik00.000000
N. Barczak206.300032
Daniel Bak106.500041
X. Dziekoński905.8000310
W. Długosz706.9010212
P. Hellebrand907.1003590
Kamil Jakubczyk906.8001391
O. Lingr896.3003200
C. Mena707.3102192
A. Mosór906.8001372
M. Pięczek906.5001191
S. Rubežić907.0001392
M. Stępiński807.5205161

Raków Częstochowa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Adam Basse236.400023
N. Zätterström00.000000
I. Brusberg106.500050
D. Debohi00.000000
T. Karić00.000000
O. Kwiatkowski00.000000
B. Mirčetić236.510150
A. Molnar105.800151
M. Perović225.6000101
K. Struski00.000000
M. Bulat806.8001402
A. Ojo00.000000
K. Trelowski907.1000310
A. Brorsson676.7000480
S. Svarnas906.3000732
Jean Carlos906.4002440
O. Repka907.1012500
B. Racovițan906.3000550
T. Pieńko686.1003392
P. Makuch676.6000200
M. Emreli806.3004250
L. Diaby-Fadiga907.9105201
J. Jendryka00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Ekstraklasa table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Ekstraklasa. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Gornik Zabrze9711168822
DWWWW
2Legia Warszawa95401981119
WDWDD
3Lech Poznan86111771019
WLWWW
4Wisla Krakow95221712517
WWDWD
5Pogon Szczecin8431126615
WWDDD
6Korona Kielce94321210215
WLWDW
7Zaglebie Lubin94321110115
LWWDD
8Piast Gliwice94141615113
LWWWD
9GKS Katowice84041613312
WLLWW
10Jagiellonia84041213-112
LLWLW
11Wisla Plock8323912-311
WWDLL
12Widzew Łódź9162131309
DDDLD
13Cracovia Krakow9225914-58
LLLLW
14Radomiak Radom9225720-138
LLDWD
15Slask Wroclaw91351115-46
LLLDD
16Motor Lublin9135915-66
DLLLD
17Wieczysta Kraków81251117-65
DLDLL
18Raków Częstochowa91081221-93
LLWLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerKorona KielceDrawRaków Częstochowa
William Hill2.203.302.90
Bet3652.153.302.90
Marathonbet2.183.403.00
BetVictor2.203.402.90
Pinnacle2.273.613.11

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 10:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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