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FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau match centre

FC Winterthur badgeFC WinterthurHome · 2 in league
WDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising75/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
FC Aarau badgeFC AarauAway · 5 in league
LWDWD
Momentum↗ Rising55/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Marchesano15′ (pen)
T. Golliard76′
S. Muller40′ (pen)
Venue to be confirmed · WinterthurSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 19:02 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.91Our model 57.6%Market 48.4% Draw4.00Our model 21.4%Market 23.1% Away win3.25Our model 21.0%Market 28.5% Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FC WinterthurFC Aarau

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Winterthur 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FC Aarau 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Winterthur

5/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FC Winterthur’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FC Aarau

4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FC Aarau’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

FC Winterthur

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

FC Aarau

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Winterthur at home with FC Aarau away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:07 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Challenge League · 2026/27 · all league matches

FC WinterthurFC Aarau
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Winterthur at home with FC Aarau away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

FC Winterthur

4wins
0 draws

FC Aarau

0wins

Mar 2022 – Sep 2023 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with FC Winterthur first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

FC Winterthur

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

FC Aarau

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2026/27 STANDINGS

Challenge League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Challenge League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy96301731421
DWWWD
2FC Winterthur95311981118
WWWDD
3Yverdon Sport9441149516
DLWWD
4SC Kriens94231611514
WDLDW
5FC Aarau93331416-212
LDWDW
6Neuchatel Xamax FC94051217-512
LWLLL
7Rapperswil93151516-110
WWLDL
8Étoile Carouge9234812-49
LLDLW
9FC WIL 190092341521-69
WLDDD
10Stade Nyonnais9027623-172
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFC WinterthurDrawFC Aarau
William Hill1.913.703.10
Bet3651.914.003.25
Marathonbet1.903.743.08
Betfair1.913.803.10
BetVictor1.903.903.40

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

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