Likeliest match result
Roasso Kumamoto to win38.4% market implied
Stored odds 2.45 · Pinnacle
J3 LeagueMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTREBiwako Shiga vs Roasso Kumamoto match centre
Pre-match
11:00
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Our model is Unavailable. This alternative view comes from margin-adjusted bookmaker prices.
No qualifying value at this price
Either team to win (no draw)
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance71.7%
Best stored price1.33William Hill
A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 75.2%.
Explore this lean in practice → Review the latest price before recording a virtual pick.
Goals forecast
Under 2.5 goals50.4% market implied
Stored odds 1.89 · 1xBet
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes55.1% market implied
Stored odds 1.67 · Marathonbet
Double chance
Either team to win (no draw)71.7% market implied
Stored odds 1.33 · William Hill
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:34 UK · Within the price-age checks. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Biwako Shiga 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Roasso Kumamoto 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
See the match forecast for model details.API-Football
Provider model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages are shown as supplied, including any 0% or 100% values; those are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Biwako Shiga
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Biwako Shiga’s resultsRoasso Kumamoto
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Roasso Kumamoto’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Biwako Shiga
10 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Nara ClubAway · J3 League1–4FC RyukyuHome · J3 League3–0Kagoshima UnitedHome · J3 League1–2Tokyo VerdyHome · J-League Cup0–1Kamatamare SanukiAway · J3 League3–0Gainare TottoriHome · J3 League0–1Gamba OsakaAway · Emperor Cup0–2Thespakusatsu GunmaAway · J3 League3–2Japan Soccer CollegeHome · Emperor Cup2–1Matsumoto YamagaAway · J3 League3–2
Roasso Kumamoto
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Kawasaki FrontaleHome · J-League Cup0–1Thespakusatsu GunmaAway · J3 League1–0Matsumoto YamagaHome · J3 League0–0Fukushima UnitedAway · J3 League2–1Nara ClubHome · J3 League2–2Oita TrinitaHome · J-League Cup2–0Kochi UnitedAway · J3 League2–0Parceiro NaganoHome · J3 League0–1Gainare TottoriAway · Emperor Cup1–1Tochigi SCHome · J3 League0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Biwako Shiga at home with Roasso Kumamoto away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
J3 League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Biwako ShigaRoasso Kumamoto
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Biwako Shiga at home with Roasso Kumamoto away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Biwako Shiga
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Roasso Kumamoto
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗J3 League table
Current standings · J3 League. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 3 |  Osaka | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 | WWDDD |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 5 | Biwako Shiga | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 |  Sagamihara | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 | LWDLW |
| 7 |  Parceiro Nagano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 | WDDLW |
| 8 |  Nara Club | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 | WWDDW |
| 9 |  FC Gifu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 10 | Roasso Kumamoto | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | DWDWL |
| 11 |  FC Ryukyu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 | LWWLW |
| 12 |  Gainare Tottori | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 13 |  Tochigi SC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | LDWLD |
| 14 |  Kanazawa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 15 |  Kitakyushu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 16 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 17 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 | DLDDD |
| 18 |  Kochi United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 5 | LDLLW |
| 19 |  Fukushima United | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 4 | LLWDL |
| 20 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Biwako Shiga | Draw | Roasso Kumamoto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 3.12 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73 | 3.16 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Snapshot from 2 Oct 2026, 01:34 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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