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J1 LeagueMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse match centre

Cerezo Osaka badgeCerezo OsakaHome · 11 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Shimizu S-pulse badgeShimizu S-pulseAway · 12 in league
WWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling51/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Thiago Andrade62′
Yodoko Sakura Stadium · OsakaSeason 2027/28Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse
7Corner Kicks6
10Fouls13
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
482Total passes343
370Passes accurate242

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cerezo Osaka 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Shimizu S-pulse 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Cerezo Osaka

7/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cerezo Osaka’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Shimizu S-pulse

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Shimizu S-pulse’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cerezo Osaka at home with Shimizu S-pulse away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:40 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

J1 League · 2027/28 · all league matches

Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cerezo Osaka at home with Shimizu S-pulse away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cerezo Osaka

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Pablo Machin
  1. 23K. NakamuraG
  2. 27D. CoolsD
  3. 44S. HatanakaD
  4. 4R. InoueD
  5. 2T. NakamuraM
  6. 36J. IrvineM
  7. 10S. TanakaM
  8. 66A. OhataM
  9. 8S. KagawaF
  10. 14Y. YokoyamaF
  11. 9S. SakuragawaF
Substitutes (9)

31 · K. Abe

6 · K. Noborizato

97 · T. Takahashi

16 · H. Okuda

77 · L. Fernandes

41 · Y. Komi

28 · K. Okazawa

19 · P. Sabbag

11 · Thiago Andrade

Shimizu S-pulse

Confirmed formation4-3-3Takayuki Yoshida
  1. 16T. UmedaG
  2. 24H. SugaiD
  3. 14Park Seung-WookD
  4. 15Y. HondaD
  5. 25M. BrunettiD
  6. 47Y. ShimamotoM
  7. 17M. YumibaM
  8. 13R. GermainM
  9. 49K. KitagawaF
  10. 9Oh Se-HunF
  11. 50T. FujiiF
Substitutes (9)

1 · Y. Oki

28 · Y. Yoshida

4 · S. Hasukawa

70 · S. Takagi

37 · K. Koizumi

2 · Diego

21 · K. Matsuzaki

19 · K. Kinoshita

7 · Capixaba

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Cerezo Osaka

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kosuke Nakamura908.0—0—32—
Dion Cools907.3—01691
Shinnosuke Hatanaka907.3—0—521
Rikito Inoue908.2—0159—
Takumi Nakamura907.3—0—532
Jackson Irvine907.9—11564
Shunta Tanaka907.2—0—472
Ayumu Ohata897.0—01302
Shinji Kagawa456.6—0128—
Yumeki Yokoyama586.7—0—10—
Solomon Sakuragawa776.2—0119—
Yota Komi446.3—0110—
Thiago Andrade327.91018—
Lucas Fernandes136.3—017—
Kyohei Noborizato1——0———
Pablo Sabbag1——0—2—
Koto Abe———————
Hayato Okuda———————
Travis Takahashi———————
Kosei Okazawa———————

Shimizu S-pulse

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Togo Umeda906.3—0—31—
Hidehiro Sugai906.3—0—36—
Seung-wook Park766.9—0—381
Yuki Honda906.3—0—46—
Mateus Brunetti907.2—0—49—
Yudai Shimamoto576.7—0113—
Masaki Yumiba666.9—0—30—
Ryo Germain906.5—01131
Koya Kitagawa906.2—0114—
Oh Se-Hun666.7—04141
Tomoya Fujii666.5—0—14—
Kei Koizumi336.7—0—83
Capixaba246.7—0—51
Dieguinho246.7—0—201
Kinoshita Kosuke246.5—0—4—
Sodai Hasukawa147.0—0—8—
Yuya Oki———————
Yutaka Yoshida———————
Sen Takagi———————
Kai Matsuzaki———————
2027/28 STANDINGS

J1 League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · J-League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vissel Kobe8611125719
WWWWW
2Kashiwa Reysol86021712518
WWLLW
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima85212061417
WWLWD
4Machida Zelvia852121101117
LDWWD
5FC Tokyo8521148617
WWWDW
6Yokohama F. Marinos8422139414
WDWDL
7Kawasaki Frontale83411612413
DWWLW
8Kashima84131716113
DLLLW
9Fagiano Okayama84131110113
LWWWL
10Urawa84041618-212
WLWWW
11Cerezo Osaka8323712-511
DLDWL
12Shimizu S-pulse831468-210
WWLDL
13Mito Hollyhock8233111109
LLDWD
14Kyoto Sanga82241115-48
WLLDW
15V-varen Nagasaki82241015-58
DWLDL
16Gamba Osaka8134814-66
LLLDD
17Nagoya Grampus8206714-76
LLLLW
18Avispa Fukuoka8116912-34
LLDLL
19Tokyo Verdy8044412-84
LDDLL
20JEF United Chiba8116718-114
LDWLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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