V-varen Nagasaki
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect V-varen Nagasaki’s results
J1 LeagueMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREV-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo match centre
Full time
0:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Nagakura37′
S. Homma45′
Marcelo Ryan55′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
V-varen NagasakiFC Tokyo
0.170Expected goals · API-Football1.640
1Shots on target6
5Total Shots13
51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks3
6Fouls11
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
554Total passes543
458Passes accurate472
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
V-varen Nagasaki 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Tokyo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Tokyo
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Tokyo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
V-varen Nagasaki
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Ehime FCHome · Emperor Cup3–2Kashiwa ReysolAway · J1 League2–4Fagiano OkayamaAway · J1 League0–1Kyoto SangaHome · J1 League2–1UtrechtAway · Friendlies Clubs2–3NEC NijmegenAway · Friendlies Clubs1–3Mito HollyhockAway · J1 League1–0Kyoto SangaAway · J1 League0–1Vissel KobeHome · J1 League2–2Cerezo OsakaAway · J1 League2–3
FC Tokyo
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Parceiro NaganoHome · Emperor Cup6–0JEF United ChibaHome · J1 League2–0Vissel KobeAway · J1 League2–2Machida ZelviaHome · J1 League1–5Borussia DortmundHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1Nagoya GrampusHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Cerezo OsakaHome · J1 League1–3KashimaAway · J1 League0–1UrawaAway · J1 League0–0Tokyo VerdyHome · J1 League2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare V-varen Nagasaki at home with FC Tokyo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:45 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
J1 League · 2027/28 · all league matches
V-varen NagasakiFC Tokyo
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares V-varen Nagasaki at home with FC Tokyo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
V-varen Nagasaki
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Takuya Takagi
- 1
M. GotoG - 50
R. ShindoD - 29
I. AraiD - 6
Y. EgawaD - 22
H. OnagaM - 5
H. YamaguchiM - 24
R. YamadaM - 23
S. YonedaM - 41
M. HasegawaF - 8
Y. IwasakiF - 9
ThiagoF
Substitutes (9)
13 · G. Hatano
17 · K. Takahata
21 · Diego Pituca
10 · Matheus Jesus
3 · M. Sekiguchi
7 · K. Yasuda
19 · T. Sawada
11 · N. Campbell
39 · R. Kou
FC Tokyo
Confirmed formation4-4-2Rikizo Matsuhashi
- 81
Kim Seung-GyuG - 2
S. MuroyaD - 24
A. ScholzD - 4
H. InamuraD - 6
K. BangnagandeD - 10
K. SatoM - 18
K. HashimotoM - 8
T. KoM - 19
S. HommaM - 26
M. NagakuraF - 9
Marcelo RyanF
Substitutes (9)
1 · H. Tanaka
3 · M. Morishige
22 · H. Ishihara
42 · K. Hashimoto
27 · K. Tokiwa
7 · S. Anzai
71 · F. Yamada
39 · T. Nakagawa
25 · T. Kominato
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
V-varen Nagasaki
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goto Masaaki | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Shindo Ryosuke | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Arai Ikki | 20 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Yusei Egawa | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 4 |
| Onaga Hijiri | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 79 | 1 |
| Yamaguchi Hotaru | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Riku Yamada | 70 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Yoneda Shunya | 77 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 74 | 1 |
| Iwasaki Yuto | 58 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Thiago Santana | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Masahiro Sekiguchi | 70 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Norman Campbell | 32 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Diego Pituca | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Reijin Kou | 20 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Matheus Jesus | 13 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Hatano Go | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keita Takahata | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sawada Takashi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Tokyo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Seung-gyu | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Sei Muroya | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 4 |
| Alexander Scholz | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 86 | 2 |
| Hayato Inamura | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 85 | 3 |
| Kashif Bangnagande | 60 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Kein Sato | 83 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 3 |
| Kento Hashimoto | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 80 | 2 |
| Takahiro Ko | 79 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 60 | 5 |
| Shion Homma | 60 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2 |
| Motoki Nagakura | 67 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 60 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | — |
| Kento Hashimoto | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Soma Anzai | 30 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Fuki Yamada | 30 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 23 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Kyota Tokiwa | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Hirokazu Ishihara | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 2 |
| Hayate Tanaka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Masato Morishige | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tsuna Kominato | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2027/28 STANDINGS
League centre ↗J1 League table
Current standings · J-League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 18 | WWLLW |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 17 | WWLWD |
| 4 |  Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 17 | LDWWD |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 6 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Kashima | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 | DLLLW |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 10 |  Urawa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 11 |  Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 12 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 10 | WWLDL |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 | LLDWD |
| 14 |  Kyoto Sanga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 | WLLDW |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 16 |  Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 18 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 | LDDLL |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 | LDWLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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