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J1 LeagueMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTRE

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol match centre

Machida Zelvia badgeMachida ZelviaHome · 4 in league
WWDW
Momentum↘ Falling82/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:4
UK time · Europe/London
Kashiwa Reysol badgeKashiwa ReysolAway · 2 in league
LLWL
Momentum↗ Rising27/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Yuki Soma38′
Koki Ogawa90+2′
Yusuke Segawa53′
Keita Endo58′
Yoshio Koizumi65′
Yusuke Segawa88′
Machida GION Stadium · TokyoSeason 2027/28Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 04:34 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 07:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.45Our model 55.1%Market 38.0% Draw3.25Our model 24.1%Market 28.7% Away win2.80Our model 20.8%Market 33.3% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 07:01 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Machida ZelviaKashiwa Reysol
1Corner Kicks8
10Fouls14
0Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves0
350Total passes624
273Passes accurate555

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Machida Zelvia 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Kashiwa Reysol 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 06:20 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Machida Zelvia

8/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Machida Zelvia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Kashiwa Reysol

6/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Kashiwa Reysol’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Machida Zelvia at home with Kashiwa Reysol away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:25 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

J1 League · 2027/28 · all league matches

Machida ZelviaKashiwa Reysol
7Matches played7
17Points earned15
5Wins5
2.7Goals scored / match1.9
0.9Goals conceded / match1.4
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Machida Zelvia at home with Kashiwa Reysol away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Machida Zelvia

3wins
0 draws

Kashiwa Reysol

1wins

May 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Machida Zelvia

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1G. Kuroda
  1. 1K. TaniG
  2. 3G. ShōjiD
  3. 50D. OkamuraD
  4. 5I. DreševićD
  5. 6H. MochizukiM
  6. 23R. ShirasakiM
  7. 16H. MaeM
  8. 88H. NakamuraM
  9. 9Koki OgawaM
  10. 7Y. SomaM
  11. 99T. YengiF
Substitutes (9)

15 · M. Duke

4 · R. Kikuchi

14 · Y. Matsuo

13 · T. Morita

20 · T. Nishimura

2 · T. Ouwejan

8 · K. Sento

18 · H. Shimoda

34 · Futa Tokumura

Kashiwa Reysol

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ricardo Rodríguez
  1. 77T. WakaharaG
  2. 88S. BabaD
  3. 4T. KogaD
  4. 26D. SugiokaD
  5. 24T. KuboM
  6. 27K. KumasakaM
  7. 39N. NakagawaM
  8. 5K. EndoM
  9. 8Y. KoizumiM
  10. 87H. YamauchiM
  11. 15S. FujioF
Substitutes (9)

44 · K. Yuba

32 · Y. Yamanouchi

11 · Masa

20 · Y. Segawa

29 · K. Nagai

2 · H. Mitsumaru

21 · Y. Konishi

9 · M. Hosoya

40 · R. Harakawa

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Kashiwa Reysol

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
S. Fujio456.6002120
S. Baba906.0000780
T. Koga906.6000791
D. Sugioka906.9002850
T. Kubo906.5000510
K. Kumasaka826.7002530
N. Nakagawa907.2005733
K. Endo827.8105400
Y. Koizumi909.0111702
H. Yamauchi456.2002250
T. Wakahara906.0000220
R. Harakawa85.800090
M. Hosoya00.000000
Y. Konishi00.000000
H. Mitsumaru86.100070
K. Nagai00.000000
Y. Segawa459.0214140
Masa457.0020401
Y. Yamanouchi00.000000
K. Yuba00.000000

Machida Zelvia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
T. Yengi727.0012150
G. Shōji906.0000461
D. Okamura906.6010550
I. Drešević826.0000270
H. Mochizuki726.1000152
R. Shirasaki596.4000240
H. Mae906.3000390
H. Nakamura905.9001262
Koki Ogawa907.4102152
Y. Soma907.6102310
K. Tani906.6000350
M. Duke00.000000
R. Kikuchi00.000000
Y. Matsuo185.900090
T. Morita00.000000
T. Nishimura186.300090
T. Ouwejan85.9000100
K. Sento00.000000
H. Shimoda35.100000
Futa Tokumura00.000000
2027/28 STANDINGS

J1 League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · J-League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vissel Kobe8611125719
WWWWW
2Kashiwa Reysol86021712518
WWLLW
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima85212061417
WWLWD
4Machida Zelvia852121101117
LDWWD
5FC Tokyo8521148617
WWWDW
6Yokohama F. Marinos8422139414
WDWDL
7Kawasaki Frontale83411612413
DWWLW
8Kashima84131716113
DLLLW
9Fagiano Okayama84131110113
LWWWL
10Urawa84041618-212
WLWWW
11Cerezo Osaka8323712-511
DLDWL
12Shimizu S-pulse831468-210
WWLDL
13Mito Hollyhock8233111109
LLDWD
14Kyoto Sanga82241115-48
WLLDW
15V-varen Nagasaki82241015-58
DWLDL
16Gamba Osaka8134814-66
LLLDD
17Nagoya Grampus8206714-76
LLLLW
18Avispa Fukuoka8116912-34
LLDLL
19Tokyo Verdy8044412-84
LDDLL
20JEF United Chiba8116718-114
LDWLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMachida ZelviaDrawKashiwa Reysol
William Hill2.403.202.75
Bet3652.453.252.80
Marathonbet2.423.322.77
Betfair2.403.402.75
BetVictor2.453.402.80

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 07:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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