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PremiershipMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd match centre

Kilmarnock badgeKilmarnockHome · 12 in league
WDLLW
Momentum→ Steady46/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:4
UK time · Europe/London
Dundee Utd badgeDundee UtdAway · 8 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Agyei12′
Z. Sapsford36′ (pen)
W. Ferry41′
J. Randall77′
Rugby Park · KilmarnockSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
KilmarnockDundee Utd
3Corner Kicks5
11Fouls12
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
435Total passes419
344Passes accurate353

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Kilmarnock 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Dundee Utd 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Kilmarnock

6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Kilmarnock’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Dundee Utd

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Dundee Utd’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Kilmarnock at home with Dundee Utd away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premiership · 2026/27 · all league matches

KilmarnockDundee Utd
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Kilmarnock at home with Dundee Utd away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Kilmarnock

Confirmed formation4-4-2Neil McCann
  1. 1M. StryjekG
  2. 19J. MeierD
  3. 4C. McCarthyD
  4. 6R. DeasD
  5. 21M. Schjonning-LarsenD
  6. 20N. ClescencoM
  7. 5M. O'HaraM
  8. 18T. LoweryM
  9. 11G. KiltieM
  10. 9J. HugillF
  11. 10T. John-JulesF
Substitutes (9)

12 · C. Ferrie

14 · G. Stanger

2 · J. Brandon

39 · E. Bowie

37 · C. Burke

15 · J. Yfeko

49 · B. Rice

7 · R. McKenzie

29 · D. Daniels

Dundee Utd

Confirmed formation4-3-3Jim Goodwin
  1. 1J. WaltonG
  2. 23J. RawlinsD
  3. 3B. EsselinkD
  4. 18M. ForbesD
  5. 11W. FerryD
  6. 26A. YoroM
  7. 12E. AgyeiM
  8. 8P. CamaraM
  9. 7M. MerghemF
  10. 9Z. SapsfordF
  11. 77D. BennieF
Substitutes (9)

30 · J. Amissah

6 · R. Graham

4 · I. Iovu

22 · D. Naamo

19 · K. Ciubotaru

20 · N. Farrugia

21 · J. Randall

15 · L. Rose

93 · I. Metsoko

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Kilmarnock

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Max Stryjek907.2—0—29—
Jonathan Meier455.6—0—17—
Cathal McCarthy906.3—0—67—
Robbie Deas196.0—0—15—
Michael Schjønning-Larsen905.9—0141—
Nicky Cleșcenco457.0—0—102
Mark O'Hara646.2—0—17—
Tom Lowery906.7—0—622
Greg Kiltie906.9—01422
Joe Hugill905.9—0416—
Tyreece John-Jules646.7—0211—
George Stanger716.9—0—442
Jamie Brandon456.3—0—28—
Djenairo Daniels456.0—0—12—
Cole Burke266.9—0—81
Bailey Rice266.2—0—16—
Calum Ferrie———————
Euan Bowie———————
Johnly Yfeko———————
Rory McKenzie———————

Dundee Utd

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jack James Walton907.9—0—27—
Joshua Rawlins907.2—0—37—
Bert Esselink908.6—01572
Michael Forbes908.2—01401
William Ferry908.9112432
Abdoulaye Yoro636.7—01211
Emmanuel Agyei908.9101427
Panutche Camará907.0—0—441
Mehdi Merghem637.5—23361
Zachary Sapsford746.910228—
Daniel Bennie796.9—04241
Jesse Randall278.21018—
Lachlan Rose277.2—014—
Neil Farrugia166.6—0—6—
Dario Naamo116.3—0—2—
Jordan Amissah———————
Iurie Iovu———————
Kevin Ciubotaru———————
Ross Graham———————
Idjessi Metsoko———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Premiership table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Celtic76011441018
LWWWW
2Rangers751184416
WWWWW
3Heart Of Midlothian7412148613
DLWWW
4Dundee731397210
WLDLW
5ST Mirren731389-110
LLLWD
6ST Johnstone7223910-18
DLWDL
7Aberdeen722378-18
DWDLL
8Dundee Utd7223911-28
WDLWL
9Motherwell7223911-28
LLLWD
10Hibernian7214811-37
DLLLW
11Falkirk713369-36
DWDLL
12Kilmarnock7124615-95
DWDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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