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PremiershipMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

ST Mirren vs Motherwell match centre

ST Mirren badgeST MirrenHome · 5 in league
WLWWL
Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:3
UK time · Europe/London
Motherwell badgeMotherwellAway · 9 in league
DWDLL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
P. Nsio39′
D. John44′
S. Ramos45′
T. Maswanhise2′
R. Charles-Cook24′
J. Kanga90′
The SMISA Stadium · PaisleySeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ST MirrenMotherwell
7Corner Kicks7
14Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves6
422Total passes514
353Passes accurate465

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

ST Mirren 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Motherwell 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

ST Mirren

7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect ST Mirren’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Motherwell

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Motherwell’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare ST Mirren at home with Motherwell away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:00 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premiership · 2026/27 · all league matches

ST MirrenMotherwell
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares ST Mirren at home with Motherwell away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

ST Mirren

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Craig McLeish
  1. 1J. ChapmanG
  2. 47C. RamsayD
  3. 13A. GogicD
  4. 53H. FieldsonD
  5. 3D. JohnD
  6. 8R. CarrM
  7. 48P. NsioM
  8. 10S. RamosM
  9. 23C. R. MochrieM
  10. 19I. KabiaM
  11. 25N. AgrafiotisF
Substitutes (9)

31 · R. Mullen

2 · J. Richardson

5 · R. King

6 · L. Jackson

30 · F. Taylor

37 · C. McEvoy

20 · J. Young

9 · E. Sule

16 · L. Thomas

Motherwell

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Alfred Johansson
  1. 1A. PaulsenG
  2. 7T. SparrowD
  3. 4J. Knight-LebelD
  4. 5M. MoormannD
  5. 45E. LongeloD
  6. 71J. HodgeM
  7. 8L. FadingerM
  8. 18T. MaswanhiseM
  9. 11A. LowryM
  10. 19I. SaidM
  11. 17R. Charles-CookF
Substitutes (9)

21 · Matty Connelly

20 · D. Williams

2 · S. O'Donnell

25 · O. Whyte

13 · J. Kanga

24 · L. Ross

77 · W. Vogt

15 · E. Bjorgolfsson

47 · S. Palmer-Houlden

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

ST Mirren

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jacob Chapman906.9—0—35—
Calvin Ramsay616.9—01231
Alexander Gogić907.0—1—571
Henry Fieldson907.0—01513
Declan John907.2101322
Ryan Carr907.2—0—516
Paul Nsio907.2101351
Samuel Ramos718.9121291
Chris Mochrie616.7—01203
Ismeal Kabia756.6—0217—
Nikolas Agrafiotis616.9—01201
Jayden Richardson296.0—0—11—
Fraser Taylor296.9—0222—
Eseosa Sule296.7—037—
Luke Thomas196.9—0—71
Jake Young157.2—015—
Ryan Mullen———————
Richard King———————
Louis Jackson———————
Carrick McEvoy———————

Motherwell

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alex Paulsen907.3—0—42—
Tom Sparrow456.2—0—114
Jamie Knight-Lebel907.0—0—81—
Martin Moormann906.2—0—721
Emmanuel Longelo906.7—03451
Joe Hodge716.9—0—501
Lukas Fadinger906.3—0—653
Tawanda Maswanhise587.0103102
Alex Lowry907.3—1448—
Ibrahim Said736.3—0—172
Regan Charles-Cook587.5101141
Stephen O'Donnell457.6—0—242
Jardell Kanga327.91028—
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden326.0—016—
Dylan Williams197.0—0—19—
Eythor Bjørgolfsson176.3—022—
Matty Connelly———————
Olly Whyte———————
Willy Vogt———————
Luca Ross———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Premiership table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Celtic76011441018
LWWWW
2Rangers751184416
WWWWW
3Heart Of Midlothian7412148613
DLWWW
4Dundee731397210
WLDLW
5ST Mirren731389-110
LLLWD
6ST Johnstone7223910-18
DLWDL
7Aberdeen722378-18
DWDLL
8Dundee Utd7223911-28
WDLWL
9Motherwell7223911-28
LLLWD
10Hibernian7214811-37
DLLLW
11Falkirk713369-36
DWDLL
12Kilmarnock7124615-95
DWDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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