Hibernian
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Hibernian’s results
PremiershipMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREHibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian match centre
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Mayor51′
J. Wilson13′
L. Mendy43′
J. McPake66′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
HibernianHeart Of Midlothian
1.700Expected goals · API-Football0.820
4Shots on target5
17Total Shots12
50%Ball Possession50%
7Corner Kicks8
16Fouls9
3Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
376Total passes377
300Passes accurate301
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Hibernian 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Heart Of Midlothian 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Heart Of Midlothian
4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Heart Of Midlothian’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Hibernian
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
DundeeAway · Premiership2–1GentHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–3GentAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0PartickHome · League Cup1–0ShkendijaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0RangersAway · Premiership2–1ShkendijaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–1MotherwellHome · Premiership1–2MalishevaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League4–1MalishevaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–2
Heart Of Midlothian
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ST JohnstoneHome · Premiership2–1Rapid ViennaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Rapid ViennaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–2Inverness CTHome · League Cup6–2BenficaHome · UEFA Europa League1–1Dundee UtdHome · Premiership4–0BenficaAway · UEFA Europa League1–6AberdeenAway · Premiership1–2Sturm GrazHome · UEFA Champions League0–2Raith RoversAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hibernian at home with Heart Of Midlothian away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premiership · 2026/27 · all league matches
HibernianHeart Of Midlothian
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hibernian at home with Heart Of Midlothian away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Hibernian
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1David Gray
- 1
R. SallingerG - 6
J. KerrD - 4
G. HanleyD - 21
J. ObitaD - 25
F. PasslackM - 8
J. MulliganM - 24
J. DevaneyM - 17
J. McGrathM - 10
M. BoyleF - 23
C. WrightF - 9
N. LoweF
Substitutes (9)
13 · J. Smith
15 · J. Iredale
27 · K. Megwa
11 · J. Newell
47 · A. Abdulai
14 · M. Chaiwa
18 · T. Klidje
22 · A. Suto
3 · A. Mayor
Heart Of Midlothian
Confirmed formation4-4-2Wouter Vrancken
- 1
B. ReusG - 23
J. AltenaD - 6
O. McEnteeD - 17
S. FindlayD - 5
J. McCartD - 7
C. MillerM - 78
L. MendyM - 16
B. SpittalM - 15
J. McPakeM - 21
J. WilsonF - 10
C. BragaF
Substitutes (9)
30 · R. Fulton
18 · H. Milne
22 · T. Magnusson
29 · S. Kerjota
9 · J. Williams
11 · P. Kabore
77 · A. Ba-Sy
19 · S. Guendouz
74 · R. Mato
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Hibernian
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Jason Kerr | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 4 |
| Grant Hanley | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Jordan Obita | 29 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Felix Passlack | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Josh Mulligan | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 3 |
| Jacob Devaney | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2 |
| Jamie McGrath | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Martin Boyle | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 2 |
| Callum Wright | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Nathan Lowe | 83 | 5.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 17 | — |
| Jack Iredale | 33 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 4 |
| Adam Mayor | 45 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Ante Šuto | 17 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Thibault Klidjé | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Jordan Smith | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Azeem Abdulai | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kanayochukwu Megwa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Newell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Reus | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Jordi Altena | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 5 |
| Oisin McEntee | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Stuart Findlay | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Jamie McCart | 87 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Calvin Miller | 88 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Laurent Mendy | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 2 |
| Blair Spittal | 71 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Josh McPake | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
| James Wilson | 72 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Cláudio Braga | 78 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 15 | — |
| Tomas Magnusson | 19 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Jerome Williams | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Sabah Kerjota | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Harry Milne | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Severin Sabri Guendouz | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Ryan Fulton | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogers Mato | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Ba-Sy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premiership table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DLWDL |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | DWDLL |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | DWDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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