Nottingham Forest
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nottingham Forest’s results
Premier LeagueMatchweek 1THE MATCH CENTRENottingham Forest vs Leeds match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Stach88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Nottingham ForestLeeds
0.660Expected goals · API-Football0.470
2Shots on target3
12Total Shots11
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks2
15Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
411Total passes326
321Passes accurate232
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nottingham Forest 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Leeds 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Leeds
6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Leeds’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nottingham Forest
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Stade Brestois 29Home · Friendlies Clubs2–0Bayer LeverkusenHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1BarcelonaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1UdineseAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1Sporting CPAway · Friendlies Clubs1–4PortimonenseAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Vitória SCAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1BlackburnHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0Notts CountyAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0BournemouthHome · Premier League1–1
Leeds
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC AugsburgHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0Manchester UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1RB LeipzigHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0LiverpoolAway · Premier League - Summer Series4–2SunderlandAway · Premier League - Summer Series1–0WrexhamAway · Premier League - Summer Series2–3West HamAway · Premier League0–3BrightonHome · Premier League1–0TottenhamAway · Premier League1–1BurnleyHome · Premier League3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nottingham Forest at home with Leeds away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:32 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Nottingham ForestLeeds
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nottingham Forest at home with Leeds away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nottingham Forest
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Oliver Glasner
- 26
M. SelsG - 23
CunhaD - 31
N. MilenkovicD - 5
MurilloD - 34
O. AinaM - 24
J. McAteeM - 6
I. SangareM - 3
N. WilliamsM - 14
D. NdoyeF - 10
M. Gibbs-WhiteF - 11
Igor JesusF
Substitutes (9)
12 · John Victor
25 · L. Netz
2 · O. Diomande
44 · Z. Abbott
21 · X. Schlager
7 · C. Hudson-Odoi
8 · N. Dominguez
9 · C. Wood
15 · A. Kalimuendo
Leeds
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Daniel Farke
- 1
J. TraffordG - 6
J. RodonD - 15
J. BijolD - 5
T. MuharemovicD - 2
J. BogleM - 18
A. StachM - 4
E. AmpaduM - 24
J. JustinM - 10
H. WilsonF - 11
B. AaronsonF - 9
D. Calvert-LewinF
Substitutes (9)
23 · Lucas Perri
30 · N. Elvedi
50 · A. Cresswell
65 · J. Lienou
7 · D. James
8 · S. Longstaff
22 · A. Tanaka
19 · N. Okafor
14 · L. Nmecha
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matz Sels | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Jair | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Nikola Milenković | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 45 | — |
| Murillo | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 2 |
| Ola Aina | 74 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| James McAtee | 74 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | — |
| Neco Williams | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 3 |
| Dan Ndoye | 62 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 38 | — |
| Igor Jesus | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | — |
| Chris Wood | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Luca Netz | 16 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Xaver Schlager | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Arnaud Kalimuendo | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| John Victor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diomande | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Abbott | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Domínguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Hudson Odoi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leeds
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Joe Rodon | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Jaka Bijol | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 1 |
| Tarik Muharemović | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Jayden Bogle | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Anton Stach | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 3 |
| Ethan Ampadu | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 2 |
| James Justin | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 6 |
| Harry Wilson | 66 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 2 |
| Brenden Aaronson | 82 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Noah Okafor | 24 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 2 |
| Sean Longstaff | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Lucas Perri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Lienou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Elvedi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfie Cresswell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel James | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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