Newcastle
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Newcastle’s results
Premier LeagueMatchweek 1THE MATCH CENTRENewcastle vs Liverpool match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Elanga5′
J. Willock57′
C. Gakpo55′
D. Szoboszlai90′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NewcastleLiverpool
1.580Expected goals · API-Football2.980
4Shots on target7
13Total Shots27
39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks6
16Fouls15
5Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves3
296Total passes445
224Passes accurate375
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Newcastle 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Liverpool 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Liverpool
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Liverpool’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Newcastle
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
StrasbourgHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2EvertonHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3ValenciaAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Bristol CityAway · Friendlies Clubs1–4GatesheadAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1Darlington 1883Home · Friendlies Clubs3–0FulhamAway · Premier League0–2West HamHome · Premier League3–1Nottingham ForestAway · Premier League1–1
Liverpool
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ComoHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0MonacoHome · Friendlies Clubs2–3LeedsHome · Premier League - Summer Series2–4WrexhamHome · Premier League - Summer Series1–0SunderlandHome · Premier League - Summer Series4–2BrentfordHome · Premier League1–1ChelseaHome · Premier League1–1Manchester UnitedAway · Premier League2–3Crystal PalaceHome · Premier League3–1EvertonAway · Premier League2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Newcastle at home with Liverpool away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
NewcastleLiverpool
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Newcastle at home with Liverpool away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Newcastle
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Matthias Jaissle
- 21
L. HornicekG - 37
A. DedicD - 12
M. ThiawD - 4
S. BotmanD - 3
L. HallD - 14
S. SteurM - 67
L. MileyM - 19
A. ElangaM - 9
Y. WissaM - 11
H. BarnesM - 10
W. OsulaF
Substitutes (9)
24 · E. Jaouen
51 · L. Shahar
5 · F. Schar
28 · J. Willock
41 · J. Ramsey
8 · A. Bamba
17 · B. Toure
23 · J. Murphy
27 · N. Woltemade
Liverpool
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Andoni Iraola
- 1
AlissonG - 30
J. FrimpongD - 5
J. JacquetD - 4
V. van DijkD - 6
M. KerkezD - 8
D. SzoboszlaiM - 38
R. GravenberchM - 73
R. NgumohaM - 7
F. WirtzM - 18
C. GakpoM - 9
A. IsakF
Substitutes (9)
25 · G. Mamardashvili
21 · K. Tsimikas
33 · R. Araujo
10 · A. Mac Allister
3 · W. Endo
53 · J. McConnell
42 · T. Nyoni
67 · L. Koumas
23 · V. Munoz
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Newcastle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Horníček | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Amar Dedić | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Malick Thiaw | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Sven Botman | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Lewis Hall | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 5 |
| Sean Steur | 56 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Lewis Miley | 76 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Anthony Elanga | 76 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Yoane Wissa | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
| Harvey Barnes | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| William Osula | 56 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Willock | 34 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| Jacob Ramsey | 34 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| Aladji Bamba | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Jacob Murphy | 14 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Fabian Schär | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Ewen Jaouen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Shahar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bazoumana Touré | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Woltemade | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Liverpool
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisson | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Jérémy Jacquet | 70 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Virgil van Dijk | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | 2 |
| Miloš Kerkez | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 41 | 3 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 78 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Rio Ngumoha | 63 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Florian Wirtz | 63 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Cody Gakpo | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 3 |
| Alexander Isak | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Alexis Mac Allister | 27 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Víctor Muñoz | 27 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Ronald Araújo | 20 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Lewis Koumas | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Giorgi Mamardashvili | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kostas Tsimikas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wataru Endo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Nyoni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James McConnell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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