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Hull City vs Aston Villa match centre

Hull City badgeHull CityHome · 8 in league
LDWDW
Momentum↗ Rising59/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Aston Villa badgeAston VillaAway · 16 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
MKM Stadium · HullSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Hull CityAston Villa
3Corner Kicks4
10Fouls5
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
229Total passes694
167Passes accurate624

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Hull City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Aston Villa 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Hull City

6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Hull City’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Aston Villa

3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Aston Villa’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hull City at home with Aston Villa away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:23 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches

Hull CityAston Villa
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hull City at home with Aston Villa away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Hull City

Confirmed formation5-4-1Sergej Jakirovic
  1. 19K. TzolakisG
  2. 2L. CoyleD
  3. 6S. AjayiD
  4. 15J. EganD
  5. 32N. MendyD
  6. 3R. GilesD
  7. 10M. BelloumiM
  8. 27R. SlaterM
  9. 29L. Gourna-DouathM
  10. 21E. StroudM
  11. 9O. McBurnieF
Substitutes (9)

12 · D. Phillips

18 · B. Norton-Cuffy

23 · M. Targett

22 · L. Herrington

36 · C. Mouzakitis

14 · J. Hjerto-Dahl

7 · S. Thomas

47 · R. Vaz

50 · M. Cho

Aston Villa

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Unai Emery
  1. 1Z. SuzukiG
  2. 2M. CashD
  3. 3V. LindelofD
  4. 5T. MingsD
  5. 22I. MaatsenD
  6. 8B. KamaraM
  7. 6R. BarkleyM
  8. 7J. McGinnM
  9. 10E. BuendiaM
  10. 53G. HemmingsM
  11. 11N. JacksonF
Substitutes (9)

40 · M. Bizot

14 · P. Torres

29 · A. Wan-Bissaka

13 · M. Ruggeri

26 · L. Bogarde

17 · A. Garnacho

47 · Alysson

18 · T. Abraham

19 · I. Mbaye

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Hull City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Konstantinos Tzolakis907.2—0—34—
Lewie Coyle646.6—0—8—
Semi Ajayi906.9—0—251
John Egan907.2—0—183
Nobel Mendy717.0—02243
Ryan Giles907.2—0—181
Mohamed Belloumi827.0—02133
Regan Slater906.9—02241
Lucas Gourna-Douath826.9—0—231
Elliot Stroud636.5—019—
Oli McBurnie907.2—03152
Sorba Thomas276.6—0—7—
Brooke Norton-Cuffy266.6—0—3—
Lucas Herrington196.6—0—51
Jens Hjertø-Dahl86.7—0—2—
Mohamed Ali Cho86.5—011—
Dillon Phillips———————
Matt Targett———————
Christos Mouzakitis———————
Robinio Vaz———————

Aston Villa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Zion Suzuki907.9—0—38—
Matty Cash856.3—0—66—
Victor Lindelöf907.9—0—110—
Tyrone Mings907.5—01801
Ian Maatsen757.2—0—401
Boubacar Kamara907.0—0—971
Ross Barkley906.9—02103—
John McGinn906.3—01362
Emiliano Buendía756.0—0234—
George Hemmings756.3—01191
Nicolas Jackson856.7—0120—
Matteo Ruggeri156.9—0—20—
Alysson156.5—0—11—
Alejandro Garnacho156.5—0—9—
Aaron Wan-Bissaka96.6—0—9—
Tammy Abraham96.3—0—21
Marco Bizot———————
Pau Torres———————
Lamare Bogarde———————
Ibrahim Mbaye———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Manchester City5500135815
WWWWW
2Arsenal540184412
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3Brighton53111651110
WWDLW
4Brentford523010469
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5Leeds52307349
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6Liverpool52307439
WDWDD
7Everton52306339
WDDDW
8Hull City52216428
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9Newcastle52219908
WLDWD
10Chelsea52121012-27
LDLWW
11Ipswich5203711-46
LWLLW
12Manchester United51228805
DLDWL
13Nottingham Forest512245-15
LWDDL
14Sunderland5113610-44
LLDWL
15Crystal Palace5113611-54
DLWLL
16Aston Villa511349-54
WLDLL
17Bournemouth503268-23
LDDDL
18Coventry5104110-93
WLLLL
19Fulham502358-32
DDLLL
20Tottenham502328-62
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THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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