N. CollinsInjury
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREBrentford vs Chelsea match centre
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Jaidon Anthony61′
Igor Thiago83′
Fabio Carvalho90+4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 16:24 UK.
Odds updated 18 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
BrentfordChelsea
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target2
13Total Shots12
41%Ball Possession59%
4Corner Kicks11
10Fouls7
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
340Total passes489
271Passes accurate424
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Brentford 5 reported
J. DasilvaInjury
Reported out
K. FuroSurgery
Reported out
M. JensenMuscle Injury
Reported out
S. van den BergInjury
Reported out
Chelsea 5 reported
Joao PedroInjury
Reported out
M. CaicedoInjury
Doubtful
E. EmeghaInjury
DoubtfulJ. HendersonWrist Injury
Doubtful
M. PalestraInjury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 17:14 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Brentford
5/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Brentford’s resultsChelsea
6/10Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Chelsea’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Brentford
10 matchesResults5 wins · 5 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.9
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ReadingAway · League Cup2–1BournemouthAway · Premier League2–2SunderlandHome · Premier League1–1LeedsAway · Premier League1–1BirminghamAway · League Cup6–1TottenhamHome · Premier League3–0Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Friendlies Clubs7–0RennesAway · Friendlies Clubs4–2LiverpoolAway · Premier League1–1Crystal PalaceHome · Premier League2–2
Chelsea
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Hull CityHome · Premier League2–2LeedsHome · League Cup6–3ArsenalAway · Premier League1–2BrightonHome · Premier League4–3LutonHome · League Cup2–0FulhamAway · Premier League3–2Real SociedadHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1Johor Darul Takzim FCAway · Friendlies Clubs3–3AC MilanHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0JuventusHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Brentford at home with Chelsea away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:56 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
BrentfordChelsea
4Matches played4
6Points earned7
1Wins2
1.8Goals scored / match2.5
1.0Goals conceded / match2.3
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Brentford at home with Chelsea away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Brentford
0wins4MEETINGS
Chelsea
2winsDec 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Brentford first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Brentford
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Keith Andrews
- 1
C. KelleherG - 33
M. KayodeD - 44
Jannik SchusterD - 20
K. AjerD - 23
K. Lewis-PotterD - 6
Y. YarmolyukM - 27
V. JaneltM - 19
J. AnthonyM - 24
M. DamsgaardM - 7
K. SchadeM - 9
ThiagoF
Substitutes (9)
31 · E. Balcombe
14 · Fábio Carvalho
25 · E. Diouf
48 · B. Fredrick
3 · R. Henry
2 · A. Hickey
11 · D. Ouattara
18 · M. Sangaré
13 · C. Wilson
Chelsea
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Xabi Alonso
- 1
E. MartínezG - 3
W. FofanaD - 5
M. LacroixD - 6
L. ColwillD - 7
Pedro NetoM - 14
J. HendersonM - 4
V. BarcoM - 29
Pep ChavarríaM - 10
C. PalmerM - 17
M. RogersM - 18
D. WelbeckF
Substitutes (9)
23 · Geovany Tcherno Quenda
39 · M. Penders
32 · M. Nicoll-Jazuli
45 · R. Lavia
21 · J. Hato
27 · M. Gusto
11 · J. Bynoe-Gittens
41 · Estêvão
34 · Joshua Kofi Acheampong
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Chelsea
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Welbeck | 71 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
| V. Barco | 87 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 3 |
| Pep Chavarría | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 3 |
| L. Colwill | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 0 |
| W. Fofana | 71 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 |
| J. Henderson | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 1 |
| M. Lacroix | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| Pedro Neto | 87 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 3 |
| C. Palmer | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 3 |
| M. Rogers | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 0 |
| E. Martínez | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
| Joshua Kofi Acheampong | 19 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 |
| Estêvão | 3 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| J. Bynoe-Gittens | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Gusto | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Hato | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Lavia | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Nicoll-Jazuli | 3 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
| M. Penders | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Geovany Tcherno Quenda | 19 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Brentford
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Yarmolyuk | 69 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| K. Ajer | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 |
| J. Anthony | 81 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| M. Damsgaard | 87 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 3 |
| V. Janelt | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 3 |
| M. Kayode | 69 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 |
| K. Lewis-Potter | 81 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 1 |
| K. Schade | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 |
| Jannik Schuster | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| Thiago | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1 |
| C. Kelleher | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| E. Balcombe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fábio Carvalho | 3 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| E. Diouf | 9 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| B. Fredrick | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Henry | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Hickey | 21 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| D. Ouattara | 9 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| M. Sangaré | 21 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| C. Wilson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.71 | 3.65 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.70 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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