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Czech LigaMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTRE

Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno match centre

Mlada Boleslav badgeMlada BoleslavHome · 3 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Zbrojovka Brno badgeZbrojovka BrnoAway · 6 in league
WWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising80/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Subert7′
J. Klima50′
Lokotrans Arena · Mlada BoleslavSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 08:08 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 11:02 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.20Our model 53.7%Market 41.7% Draw3.30Our model 22.9%Market 27.8% Away win3.00Our model 23.4%Market 30.6% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 11:02 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Mlada BoleslavZbrojovka Brno
8Corner Kicks4
6Fouls10
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves4
443Total passes332
363Passes accurate265

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mlada Boleslav 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Zbrojovka Brno 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 21:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Mlada Boleslav

7/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Mlada Boleslav’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Zbrojovka Brno

7/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Zbrojovka Brno’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mlada Boleslav at home with Zbrojovka Brno away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Czech Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Mlada BoleslavZbrojovka Brno
7Matches played8
14Points earned16
4Wins5
2.2Goals scored / match1.5
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
2Clean sheets2
1Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mlada Boleslav at home with Zbrojovka Brno away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Mlada Boleslav

1wins
2 draws

Zbrojovka Brno

1wins

Jan 2021 – Jan 2023 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with Mlada Boleslav first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mlada Boleslav

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ales Majer
  1. 59J. FloderG
  2. 32F. MatousekD
  3. 44O. KarafiatD
  4. 3M. KralikD
  5. 11M. HybsD
  6. 17F. SpatenkaM
  7. 76J. Zika
  8. 20S. JohnM
  9. 28D. LanghamerM
  10. 21M. SubertM
  11. 23J. KlimaF
Substitutes (11)

47 · M. Obdrzalek

42 · V. Vorel

13 · D. Donat

26 · M. Zachoval

5 · J. Harustak

77 · D. Pech

14 · S. Grygar

49 · J. Kolarik

18 · M. Havran

9 · L. Letenay

70 · J. Buryan

Zbrojovka Brno

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Martin Svedik
  1. 1A. HrdinaG
  2. 39J. KlimaD
  3. 26F. VedralD
  4. 3KakaD
  5. 44A. DanteD
  6. 68J. JanetzkyM
  7. 8P. CavosM
  8. 14T. VachousekM
  9. 7S. LangerM
  10. 10A. VanicekM
  11. 15D. VasulinF
Substitutes (11)

78 · O. Prodelal

25 · T. Brecka

18 · D. Granecny

4 · E. Hunal

17 · J. Zmrhal

79 · A. Soliu

23 · P. Sevcik

11 · M. Rymarenko

9 · O. Velich

19 · B. Kanakimana

77 · L. Ezeh

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Mlada Boleslav

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jiří Floder908.5—0—28—
Filip Matoušek746.3—1—24—
Ondrej Karafiat907.7—0—651
Martin Králik907.5—0—802
Matěj Hybš907.5—0—61—
Filip Špatenka906.6—01331
Jan Zíka907.9—01463
Solomon John827.0—0325—
Daniel Langhamer886.9—0150—
Martin Šubert887.9101283
Jiří Klíma737.51029—
Josef Kolářík176.5—0—5—
Denis Donát167.2—0—81
Marek Havran86.7—0——1
Matěj Zachoval2——0—41
Jan Buryan2——0——1
Marek Obdržálek———————
Vojtěch Vorel———————
Harustak Jan———————
David Pech———————
Samuel Grygar———————
Lukáš Letenay———————

Zbrojovka Brno

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Adam Hrdina907.3—0—39—
Jakub Klíma906.2—0—432
Filip Vedral906.3—02443
Kauan Carneiro Kaka906.3—0—441
Amadou Dante906.7—0—432
Jakub Janetzký746.3—0—411
Patrik Čavoš596.5—0—162
Tadeáš Vachoušek747.2—0117—
Štěpán Langer596.3—0272
Antonin Vanicek906.5—03221
Daniel Vašulín646.0—026—
Petr Ševčík316.7—0—26—
Lucky Ezeh316.7—027—
Soliu Afolabi266.9—0111—
Jaromír Zmrhal166.9—0112—
Martin Rymarenko166.3—0—91
Ondrej Prodelal———————
Eric Hunal———————
Tomáš Břečka———————
Bienvenue Kanakimana———————
Denis Granečný———————
Oliver Velich———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Czech Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Czech Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Slavia Praha97202561923
WWWWD
2Slovan Liberec9621134920
DWWWW
3Mlada Boleslav8521179817
WLWWD
4Sigma Olomouc95131613316
LWWLW
5Teplice95131715216
WLWWL
6Zbrojovka Brno95131212016
LWLWW
7Sparta Praha95041812615
WWLLW
8FK Jablonec9423119214
DLWLD
9Hradec Králové942389-114
LWDWL
10Plzen92431717010
LLDWD
11Baník Ostrava9315717-1010
DLLLW
12Bohemians 19058233911-29
LWLDD
13Pardubice9225914-58
WWDLL
14Artis9126718-115
DLLWL
15Slovácko9045716-94
DLDDL
16Zlin9018819-111
DLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMlada BoleslavDrawZbrojovka Brno
William Hill2.253.302.90
Bet3652.203.303.00
Marathonbet2.183.482.94
BetVictor2.203.503.00
Pinnacle2.253.663.02

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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