Lucas FassonInactive
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTRELokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Nikolay Komlichenko53′
Amar Rahmanović67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 18:18 UK.
Odds updated 16 Sep 17:50 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 4 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LokomotivKrylia Sovetov
—Expected goals · API-Football—
1Shots on target6
9Total Shots17
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks1
18Fouls18
5Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
493Total passes383
391Passes accurate286
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lokomotiv 2 reported
G. NyamsiInactive
Doubtful
Krylia Sovetov 2 reported
M. BanjacInactive
Reported out
A. RahmanovicInactive
Reported outFetched 16 Sep, 18:36 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lokomotiv
1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lokomotiv’s resultsKrylia Sovetov
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Krylia Sovetov’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lokomotiv
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Krylia Sovetov
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rodina MoskvaHome · Premier League2–1FC KrasnodarHome · Premier League2–2BaltikaAway · Cup0–0AkhmatAway · Premier League3–3AkronAway · Premier League3–0ZenitHome · Cup0–0Dinamo MakhachkalaHome · Premier League1–4BaltikaHome · Premier League0–2Dinamo MakhachkalaAway · Cup2–1CSKA MoscowAway · Premier League1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lokomotiv at home with Krylia Sovetov away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
LokomotivKrylia Sovetov
8Matches played8
6Points earned10
1Wins2
0.9Goals scored / match1.6
1.3Goals conceded / match1.7
2Clean sheets2
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lokomotiv at home with Krylia Sovetov away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Lokomotiv
0wins4MEETINGS
Krylia Sovetov
2winsMar 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Lokomotiv first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lokomotiv
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Galaktionov
- 1
A. MitryushkinG - 24
M. NenakhovD - 85
E. MorozovD - 45
A. SiljanovD - 74
D. ChevardinD - 75
I. EremeevM - 6
S. BabkinM - 18
N. TitkovM - 19
A. RudenkoM - 77
A. MostovoyM - 27
N. KomlichenkoF
Substitutes (10)
7 · Z. Bakaev
16 · D. Veselov
88 · M. Shchetinin
11 · V. Rakov
9 · S. Pinyaev
99 · R. Myalkovskiy
22 · I. Lantratov
63 · V. Golubev
47 · D. Godyaev
60 · Gleb Belotelov
Krylia Sovetov
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1S. Bulatov
- 80
N. KokarevG - 15
N. RasskazovD - 23
N. ChernovD - 47
S. BozhinD - 2
K. PecheninD - 22
Fernando CostanzaM - 4
Y. GorshkovM - 17
I. ChesnokovM - 8
M. VityugovM - 10
M. KramaričM - 73
V. ShitovF
Substitutes (12)
20 · K. Stolbov
97 · I. Akhmetov
7 · M. Banjac
72 · Dani Fernández
39 · E. Frolov
3 · T. Galdames
18 · I. Lepskiy
77 · D. Makarov
67 · Kazbek Mukailov
5 · D. Oroz
11 · A. Rahmanović
14 · N. Saltykov
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Krylia Sovetov
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Kokarev | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| M. Vityugov | 70 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| V. Shitov | 45 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| N. Rasskazov | 86 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
| K. Pechenin | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 2 |
| M. Kramarič | 80 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Y. Gorshkov | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 1 |
| Fernando Costanza | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 50 | 3 |
| I. Chesnokov | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
| N. Chernov | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 0 |
| S. Bozhin | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 1 |
| K. Stolbov | 20 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| I. Akhmetov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Banjac | 10 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Dani Fernández | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Frolov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Galdames | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Lepskiy | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Makarov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kazbek Mukailov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Oroz | 4 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| A. Rahmanović | 45 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| N. Saltykov | 45 | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
Lokomotiv
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mitryushkin | 90 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| N. Titkov | 71 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 |
| A. Siljanov | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 1 |
| A. Rudenko | 86 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| M. Nenakhov | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 1 |
| A. Mostovoy | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| E. Morozov | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 2 |
| N. Komlichenko | 86 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| I. Eremeev | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 5 |
| D. Chevardin | 66 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| S. Babkin | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 1 |
| Z. Bakaev | 19 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| D. Veselov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Shchetinin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Rakov | 24 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| S. Pinyaev | 4 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| R. Myalkovskiy | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Lantratov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Golubev | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Godyaev | 4 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Gleb Belotelov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 21 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Dynamo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 19 | WWLDW |
| 5 |  Zenit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Rubin | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 | DDDWD |
| 7 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 | LLWLL |
| 8 |  Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 | LDLWD |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | DWDDW |
| 10 |  Akhmat | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 11 |  FC Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 | DLDDD |
| 12 |  FC Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 13 |  Akron | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | WDDDL |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | DLWLL |
| 15 |  Rodina Moskva | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 16 |  Fakel | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LDLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Lokomotiv | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.68 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 3.66 | 3.75 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.22 | 3.42 |
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.78 | 3.88 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 17:50 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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