I. PozoYellow Cards
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTRERodina Moskva vs Rubin match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Deiver Machado79′
Anderson Arroyo82′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 16:29 UK.
Odds updated 16 Sep 13:48 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 4 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Rodina MoskvaRubin
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target4
13Total Shots8
56%Ball Possession44%
10Corner Kicks4
13Fouls17
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
426Total passes310
310Passes accurate208
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Rodina Moskva 1 reported
Rubin 1 reported
D. ShabanhaxhajInactive
Reported outFetched 16 Sep, 13:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Rodina Moskva
2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Rodina Moskva’s resultsRubin
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Rubin’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Rodina Moskva
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game2.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Krylia SovetovAway · Premier League1–2Dinamo MakhachkalaAway · Premier League0–2Spartak MoscowAway · Cup1–3BaltikaHome · Premier League0–3DynamoAway · Premier League1–3FC OrenburgHome · Cup1–4AkronHome · Premier League3–3ZenitAway · Premier League2–1RubinHome · Cup5–0FC RostovHome · Premier League2–4
Rubin
10 matchesResults2 wins · 7 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CSKA MoscowAway · Premier League1–1AkhmatHome · Premier League1–1FC OrenburgAway · Cup1–1Dinamo MakhachkalaHome · Premier League3–1BaltikaAway · Premier League1–1Spartak MoscowHome · Cup1–1FC RostovAway · Premier League1–1FC OrenburgHome · Premier League1–1Rodina MoskvaAway · Cup0–5AkronAway · Premier League2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rodina Moskva at home with Rubin away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:33 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Rodina MoskvaRubin
8Matches played8
4Points earned11
1Wins2
1.1Goals scored / match1.4
2.6Goals conceded / match1.3
0Clean sheets0
3Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rodina Moskva at home with Rubin away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Rodina Moskva
2wins4MEETINGS
Rubin
1winsJul 2022 – Aug 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Rodina Moskva first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Rodina Moskva
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Juan Díaz
- 13
S. VolkovG - 80
S. BessmertnyD - 50
Rodrigo BecãoD - 75
M. NadéD - 26
A. MeshchaninovD - 38
L. MusaevM - 20
D. MachadoM - 11
B. MansillaM - 10
Y. ReynaM - 5
A. EgorychevM - 7
G. OnugkhaF
Substitutes (12)
1 · S. Aydarov
18 · M. Abdusalamov
95 · K. Cissoko
49 · I. Dyatlov
6 · R. Fishchenko
77 · A. Gharibyan
55 · M. Križan
9 · A. Maksimenko
88 · A. Sokol
19 · D. Tananeev
99 · I. Timoshenko
23 · K. Ushatov
Rubin
Confirmed formation5-4-1Franc Artiga
- 38
E. StaverG - 71
I. SamoshnikovD - 3
D. MaldonadoD - 5
I. VujačićD - 13
J. UrozovD - 51
I. RozhkovD - 12
A. ArroyoM - 22
V. HodžaM - 6
U. IwuM - 8
B. JočićM - 43
J. SiweF
Substitutes (12)
2 · E. Teslenko
14 · I. Saavedra
4 · K. Nizhegorodov
25 · A. Nigmatullin
59 · D. N. Motorin
98 · N. Lobov
44 · D. Kuznetsov
86 · N. Korets
18 · M. Ignatjev
11 · N. Gripshi
7 · U. Babaev
23 · R. Bezrukov
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Rubin
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bezrukov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Arroyo | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 4 |
| V. Hodža | 65 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 |
| U. Iwu | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 |
| B. Jočić | 65 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| D. Maldonado | 80 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 2 |
| I. Rozhkov | 72 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| I. Samoshnikov | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| J. Siwe | 64 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| J. Urozov | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1 |
| I. Vujačić | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 2 |
| U. Babaev | 10 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Staver | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
| N. Gripshi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Ignatjev | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Korets | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Kuznetsov | 26 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| N. Lobov | 25 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| D. N. Motorin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Nigmatullin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Nizhegorodov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Saavedra | 25 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| E. Teslenko | 18 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Rodina Moskva
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Aydarov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Bessmertny | 80 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 2 |
| A. Egorychev | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 2 |
| D. Machado | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 1 |
| B. Mansilla | 57 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| A. Meshchaninov | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 4 |
| L. Musaev | 81 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| M. Nadé | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 3 |
| G. Onugkha | 72 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 2 |
| Y. Reyna | 58 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| Rodrigo Becão | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| M. Abdusalamov | 33 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| S. Volkov | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 |
| K. Cissoko | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Dyatlov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Fishchenko | 9 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| A. Gharibyan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Križan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Maksimenko | 32 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| A. Sokol | 10 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| D. Tananeev | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Timoshenko | 18 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| K. Ushatov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 21 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Dynamo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 19 | WWLDW |
| 5 |  Zenit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 | WWLWL |
| 6 | Rubin | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 | DDDWD |
| 7 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 | LLWLL |
| 8 |  Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 | LDLWD |
| 9 |  Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | DWDDW |
| 10 |  Akhmat | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 11 |  FC Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 | DLDDD |
| 12 |  FC Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 13 |  Akron | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | DLWLL |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 16 |  Fakel | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LDLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Rodina Moskva | Draw | Rubin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 3.38 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69 | 3.36 | 2.15 |
| SBO | 2.69 | 2.96 | 2.28 |
| 1xBet | 3.71 | 3.46 | 2.18 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 13:48 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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