R. LitvinovInactive
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTRESpartak Moscow vs Fakel match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Manfred Ugalde90+1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 16:29 UK.
Odds updated 16 Sep 13:48 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 4 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Spartak MoscowFakel
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target1
24Total Shots2
75%Ball Possession25%
11Corner Kicks2
7Fouls23
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
579Total passes194
472Passes accurate105
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Spartak Moscow 4 reported
C. WoohYellow Cards
Reported out
D. ZorinAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported out
C. MartinsInactive
Doubtful
Fakel 1 reported
I. AlshinInjury
Reported outFetched 16 Sep, 13:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Spartak Moscow
6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Spartak Moscow’s resultsFakel
0/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Fakel’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Spartak Moscow
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Fakel
10 matchesResults0 wins · 4 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Spartak Moscow at home with Fakel away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Spartak MoscowFakel
8Matches played8
16Points earned3
5Wins0
1.9Goals scored / match0.8
0.9Goals conceded / match1.5
3Clean sheets2
0Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Spartak Moscow at home with Fakel away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Spartak Moscow
1wins4MEETINGS
Fakel
2winsOct 2023 – May 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Spartak Moscow first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Spartak Moscow
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Carcedo
- 98
A. MaksimenkoG - 97
D. DenisovD - 4
A. DjikuD - 6
S. BabićD - 19
M. DakuD - 18
N. UmyarovM - 47
R. ZobninM - 7
P. SolariM - 83
Gedson FernandesM - 10
MarquinhosM - 9
M. UgaldeF
Substitutes (10)
62 · P. Polekh
5 · E. Barco
25 · D. Prutsev
1 · I. Pomazun
27 · I. Dmitriev
56 · A. Dovbnya
24 · Nikita Massalyga
17 · V. Saus
40 · I. Sorokin
33 · Víctor Parada
Fakel
Confirmed formation3-4-3Oleg Vasilenko
- 1
D. FrolkinG - 5
A. GabaraevD - 40
ClaytonD - 53
M. BardachevD - 55
D. TodorovićM - 52
R. NetfullinM - 97
B. MagomedovM - 17
A. KovalevM - 7
M. TurishchevF - 90
A. KoksharovF - 23
V. YakimovF
Substitutes (11)
8 · A. Bagamaev
35 · V. Dorovskikh
22 · H. El Mahasni
99 · N. Giorgobiani
9 · A. Gnapi Dable
96 · I. Obukhov
19 · B. Pusi
11 · A. Sutormin
20 · I. Yurganov
44 · Y. Zhuravlev
10 · I. Alshin
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Spartak Moscow
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Babić | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0 |
| A. Maksimenko | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| I. Sorokin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Saus | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Prutsev | 15 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| I. Pomazun | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Polekh | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Víctor Parada | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikita Massalyga | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Dovbnya | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Dmitriev | 29 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| R. Zobnin | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 0 |
| N. Umyarov | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 65 | 0 |
| M. Ugalde | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
| P. Solari | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 42 | 2 |
| Marquinhos | 61 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 0 |
| Gedson Fernandes | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 62 | 1 |
| A. Djiku | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 99 | 1 |
| D. Denisov | 75 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| M. Daku | 61 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| E. Barco | 29 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
Fakel
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Alshin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Bagamaev | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Dorovskikh | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H. El Mahasni | 51 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| N. Giorgobiani | 26 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| A. Gnapi Dable | 11 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| I. Obukhov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Pusi | 26 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| A. Sutormin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Yurganov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Zhuravlev | 11 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Yakimov | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1 |
| M. Turishchev | 39 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| D. Todorović | 79 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 |
| R. Netfullin | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| B. Magomedov | 79 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 |
| A. Kovalev | 64 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| A. Koksharov | 64 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| A. Gabaraev | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 |
| Clayton | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| M. Bardachev | 66 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 |
| D. Frolkin | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 21 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Dynamo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 | WDWDW |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 19 | WWLDW |
| 5 |  Zenit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Rubin | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 | DDDWD |
| 7 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 | LLWLL |
| 8 |  Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 | LDLWD |
| 9 |  Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | DWDDW |
| 10 |  Akhmat | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 11 |  FC Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 | DLDDD |
| 12 |  FC Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 13 |  Akron | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | DLWLL |
| 15 |  Rodina Moskva | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Fakel | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LDLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Spartak Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 5.15 | 8.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36 | 5.22 | 9.04 |
| SBO | 1.26 | 4.70 | 7.53 |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 5.28 | 9.10 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 13:48 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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