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BundesligaMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz match centre

Rapid Vienna badgeRapid ViennaHome · 1 in league
WWWDD
Momentum↘ Falling67/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazAway · 4 in league
LWLWD
Momentum↗ Rising48/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Y. Demir7′ (pen)
M. Tilio17′
P. Dahl86′
B. Beganovic10′
Allianz Stadion · ViennaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Rapid ViennaSturm Graz
6Corner Kicks4
5Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
444Total passes360
361Passes accurate275

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rapid Vienna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Sturm Graz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rapid Vienna

8/10Wins
3.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Rapid Vienna’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sturm Graz

6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sturm Graz’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Rapid Vienna

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Sturm Graz

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rapid Vienna at home with Sturm Graz away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Rapid ViennaSturm Graz
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rapid Vienna at home with Sturm Graz away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rapid Vienna

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Johannes Thorup
  1. 1N. HedlG
  2. 77B. BollaD
  3. 55N. CvetkovicD
  4. 6S. Raux-YaoD
  5. 38J. HornD
  6. 29R. AmaneM
  7. 30N. BajliczM
  8. 7M. TilioM
  9. 22Y. DemirM
  10. 43M. HaidaraM
  11. 8T. AdamsenF
Substitutes (9)

25 · P. Gartler

61 · F. Demir

2 · E. Roka

47 · A. Groller

21 · L. Schaub

18 · M. Seidl

15 · N. Wurmbrand

10 · P. Dahl

9 · E. Kara

Sturm Graz

Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Fabio Ingolitsch
  1. 22A. HelacG
  2. 28J. HeilD
  3. 5A. VallciD
  4. 30P. KollerD
  5. 18E. SogloD
  6. 39L. WeinhandlM
  7. 4J. Gorenc StankovicM
  8. 19S. SeidlM
  9. 43J. HodlM
  10. 20S. JattaF
  11. 26B. BeganovicF
Substitutes (9)

41 · E. Lorenz

21 · P. Petrovic

2 · J. Quarshie

27 · L. Balbo

23 · A. Malic

15 · G. Mamageishvili

78 · V. Matoshi

44 · N. Weiper

11 · A. Kayombo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Rapid Vienna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Niklas Hedl906.9—0—51—
Bendegúz Bolla906.3—0149—
Nenad Cvetković906.9—0—382
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao906.6—0—47—
Jannes Horn456.5—0—24—
Romeo Amane736.7—01372
Nicolas Bajlicz906.7—0—554
Marco Tilio617.0102123
Yusuf Demir907.911244—
Moulaye Haïdara846.9—0218—
Tonni Adamsen736.9—1124—
Eaden Roka457.2—0—19—
Petter Nosakhare Dahl297.910372
Matthias Seidl176.9—0—161
Ercan Kara176.3—0131
Nikolaus Wurmbrand126.5—0———
Paul Gartler———————
Furkan Demir———————
Amin Gröller———————
Louis Schaub———————

Sturm Graz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ammar Helac906.3—0—38—
Jurgen Heil905.7—01381
Albert Vallci906.3—01523
Paul Koller816.7—01451
Emran Soglo456.5—0—171
Luca Weinhandl906.2—01272
Jon Gorenc Stanković906.3—02483
Simon Seidl756.7—1223—
Jacob Hödl455.3—0—12—
Seedy Jatta906.6—0—151
Belmin Beganović597.210310—
Luís Balbo456.6—0—11—
Gizo Mamageishvili456.9—0191
Nelson Weiper316.0—025—
Valmir Matoshi156.2—0———
Joshua Quarshie96.2—0—10—
Elias Lorenz———————
Petar Petrović———————
Arjan Malić———————
Axel Kayombo———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Rapid Vienna76012171418
WWLWW
2Red Bull Salzburg75201841417
WDWWW
3Lask Linz75111971216
DLWWW
4Sturm Graz732289-111
LWLDW
5Ried72231112-18
WDLWL
6TSV Hartberg72231013-38
DDWWL
7WSG Wattens7223912-38
LDWWL
8Austria Lustenau7223811-38
WLLDW
9Grazer AK7223616-108
DWDLL
10Austria Vienna7214713-67
DWLLW
11Wolfsberger AC7124713-65
LLLDL
12SCR Altach7106512-73
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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