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ChampionshipMatchweek 2THE MATCH CENTRE

Birmingham vs Bristol City match centre

Birmingham badgeBirminghamHome · 10 in league
WWDWD
Momentum→ Steady69/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Bristol City badgeBristol CityAway · 8 in league
WDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling27/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Tickle42′ (og)
D. Gray90′ (pen)
S. Twine33′
D. Ballard85′
St. Andrew's Stadium · BirminghamSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BirminghamBristol City
7Corner Kicks3
13Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
468Total passes257
355Passes accurate163

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Birmingham 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Bristol City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Birmingham

7/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Birmingham’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Bristol City

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Bristol City’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Birmingham at home with Bristol City away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:34 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches

BirminghamBristol City
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Birmingham at home with Bristol City away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Birmingham

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Chris Davies
  1. 1J. BeadleG
  2. 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
  3. 5P. NeumannD
  4. 4C. KlarerD
  5. 20A. CochraneD
  6. 24T. IwataM
  7. 14J. E. Solis RomeroM
  8. 7C. VicenteM
  9. 8Paik Seung-HoM
  10. 28J. StansfieldM
  11. 9A. PriskeF
Substitutes (9)

21 · R. Allsop

25 · K. Lund

23 · D. Fry

2 · E. Laird

27 · K. Fujimoto

10 · D. Gray

33 · M. Ducksch

16 · P. Roberts

32 · L. Vazquez

Bristol City

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Roy Hodgson
  1. 1S. TickleG
  2. 19G. TannerD
  3. 16R. DickieD
  4. 2L. EissatD
  5. 21R. CardinesD
  6. 12J. KnightM
  7. 8J. WilliamsM
  8. 17J. WallaceM
  9. 10S. TwineM
  10. 7Y. HirakawaM
  11. 9L. TolajF
Substitutes (9)

40 · B. Collins

38 · N. Eile

5 · R. Atkinson

20 · S. Greenwood

14 · T. Horvat

27 · G. Yah

23 · D. Ballard

18 · E. Riis

11 · S. Bell

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Birmingham

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
James Beadle907.6—0—34—
Bright Osayi-Samuel456.0—0126—
Phil Neumann907.3—0—671
Christoph Klarer906.7—0—691
Alex Cochrane906.9—0—54—
Tomoki Iwata906.9—01572
Jhon Solís906.3—0155—
Carlos Vicente626.2—0119—
Seung Ho Paik626.5—0—24—
Jay Stansfield846.5—0—182
August Priske796.5—0113—
Ethan Laird456.5—0—131
Patrick Roberts286.2—0—2—
Demarai Gray287.710114—
Luis Vázquez116.7—0—1—
Marvin Ducksch126.7—012—
Ryan Allsop———————
Kristoffer Lund———————
Dael Fry———————
Kanya Fujimoto———————

Bristol City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Sam Tickle906.9—0—34—
George Tanner906.6—0—251
Rob Dickie906.9—0140—
Lisav Naif Eissat906.5—01311
Rio Cardines907.3—1—242
Jason Knight906.9—0—21—
Joe Williams716.3—0124—
Jed Wallace656.7—01112
Scott Twine717.9103102
Yu Hirakawa896.9—0—103
Lorent Tolaj655.9—029—
Tomi Horvat256.7—017—
Dominic Ballard257.310151
Gibson Yah196.3—0—3—
Sam Greenwood196.2—013—
Robert Atkinson1——0———
Brad Collins———————
Noah Eile———————
Sam Bell———————
Emil Riis Jacobsen———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Championship table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Swansea8521136717
WWLDW
2West Ham843122111115
DWWWW
3Middlesbrough84311612415
DDWWD
4Wolves74211510514
WWDLW
5West Brom8422108214
LDWWD
6QPR8341107313
DDDLW
7Stoke City84131312113
WWDWW
8Bristol City84131112-113
WLLWW
9Charlton8332710-312
LDDLD
10Birmingham82511211111
DWLDD
11Millwall83231515011
DDLWL
12Lincoln832378-111
LWWDD
13Southampton84221910910
LWWDD
14Wrexham8242912-310
WLDDW
15Bolton83141115-410
WWLLL
16Blackburn8233121209
DWLLD
17Norwich83051617-19
LLWWL
18Sheffield Utd8233911-29
LLWLW
19Portsmouth7223910-18
DDWLL
20Watford8224710-38
LLWLL
21Cardiff81431012-27
WLDLL
22Derby8125714-75
DLLLW
23Preston8116815-74
DLLWL
24Burnley8044917-84
DLDLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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