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ChampionshipMatchweek 2THE MATCH CENTRE

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough match centre

Blackburn badgeBlackburnHome · 16 in league
LWDWD
Momentum↗ Rising55/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Middlesbrough badgeMiddlesbroughAway · 3 in league
DLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising60/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Gudjohnsen49′
T. Cantwell55′
J. Sarmiento12′
Ewood Park · BlackburnSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BlackburnMiddlesbrough
2Corner Kicks10
10Fouls10
4Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
272Total passes647
202Passes accurate584

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Blackburn 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Middlesbrough 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Blackburn

4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Blackburn’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Middlesbrough

4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Middlesbrough’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Blackburn at home with Middlesbrough away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:34 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches

BlackburnMiddlesbrough
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Blackburn at home with Middlesbrough away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Blackburn

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tony Mowbray
  1. 22B. TothG
  2. 2R. AlebiosuD
  3. 6T. AtchesonD
  4. 15S. McLoughlinD
  5. 3H. PickeringD
  6. 8S. MorsyM
  7. 31K. MontgomeryM
  8. 25R. MorishitaM
  9. 10T. CantwellM
  10. 21O. AfolayanM
  11. 9A. GudjohnsenF
Substitutes (9)

1 · A. Pears

4 · Y. Ribeiro

17 · H. Carter

28 · A. Forshaw

30 · J. Garrett

5 · S. Tavares

11 · J. Fevrier

29 · M. Jorgensen

23 · Y. Ohashi

Middlesbrough

Confirmed formation4-4-2Kim Hellberg
  1. 1R. VitekG
  2. 2C. BrittainD
  3. 12L. AylingD
  4. 29A. MalandaD
  5. 17M. ArfstenD
  6. 6S. BerhalterM
  7. 14M. Peart-HarrisM
  8. 10A. MorrisM
  9. 16J. SarmientoM
  10. 11M. WhittakerF
  11. 7W. LankshearF
Substitutes (9)

31 · S. Brynn

30 · Neto Borges

5 · A. Jones

46 · F. Cartwright

42 · A. Kante

44 · C. Ibeh

8 · R. McGree

19 · L. Castledine

22 · K. Joseph

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Blackburn

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Balázs Tóth908.2—0—36—
Ryan Alebiosu906.3—0116—
Tom Atcheson906.9—0—181
Sean McLoughlin906.9—0—36—
Harry Pickering907.2—1—29—
Sam Morsy696.6—0—251
Kristi Montgomery906.9—01291
Ryoya Morishita616.3—0214—
Todd Cantwell807.7101206
Oladapo Afolayan616.3—0—16—
Andri Guðjohnsen697.9101142
Jayden Fevrier296.7—0—6—
Mathias Jørgensen296.3—0—21
Adam Forshaw216.6—0—11
Yuki Ohashi216.7—0—8—
Hayden Carter106.6—0—2—
Aynsley Pears———————
Yuri Ribeiro———————
Sidnei Tavares———————
Jake Garrett———————

Middlesbrough

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Radek Vitek906.5—0—10—
Callum Brittain906.5—02541
Luke Ayling908.0—0—1141
Adilson Malanda906.3—01951
Maximilian Arfsten776.3—0—482
Sebastian Berhalter776.9—01411
Myles Peart-Harris606.9—0135—
Aidan Morris907.3—0—1163
Jeremy Sarmiento607.6102252
Morgan Whittaker907.6—11323
Will Lankshear906.2—0—20—
Riley McGree306.3—0114—
Kyle Joseph306.3—0—13—
Neto Borges136.6—0—20—
Leo Castledine136.5—0110—
Solomon Brynn———————
Alfie Jones———————
Abdoulaye Kanté———————
Finlay Cartwright———————
Cruz Ibeh———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Championship table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Swansea8521136717
WWLDW
2West Ham843122111115
DWWWW
3Middlesbrough84311612415
DDWWD
4Wolves74211510514
WWDLW
5West Brom8422108214
LDWWD
6QPR8341107313
DDDLW
7Stoke City84131312113
WWDWW
8Bristol City84131112-113
WLLWW
9Charlton8332710-312
LDDLD
10Birmingham82511211111
DWLDD
11Millwall83231515011
DDLWL
12Lincoln832378-111
LWWDD
13Southampton84221910910
LWWDD
14Wrexham8242912-310
WLDDW
15Bolton83141115-410
WWLLL
16Blackburn8233121209
DWLLD
17Norwich83051617-19
LLWWL
18Sheffield Utd8233911-29
LLWLW
19Portsmouth7223910-18
DDWLL
20Watford8224710-38
LLWLL
21Cardiff81431012-27
WLDLL
22Derby8125714-75
DLLLW
23Preston8116815-74
DLLWL
24Burnley8044917-84
DLDLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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