M. CleworthMuscle Injury
Reported out
ChampionshipMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTREWrexham vs Southampton match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Kieffer Moore35′
Keven Schlotterbeck89′ (og)
James Ward-Prowse50′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 09:44 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 11:11 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
WrexhamSouthampton
0.540Expected goals · API-Football2.080
4Shots on target7
8Total Shots19
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks3
8Fouls6
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
314Total passes657
251Passes accurate595
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Wrexham 5 reported
S. RevanHamstring Injury
Reported out
G. ThomasonThigh Injury
Reported out
L. CacaceCalf Injury
Doubtful
O. RathboneAnkle Injury
Doubtful
Southampton 1 reported
C. JanderLacking Match Fitness
Reported outFetched 18 Sep, 21:28 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Wrexham
1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Wrexham’s resultsSouthampton
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Southampton’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Wrexham
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
West HamAway · Championship0–6BurnleyHome · Championship1–1SwanseaAway · Championship0–0MillwallAway · Championship3–0BirminghamHome · Championship1–2WatfordHome · Championship1–1CardiffAway · Championship1–1MiddlesbroughAway · League Cup0–1SunderlandHome · Premier League - Summer Series0–1LiverpoolAway · Premier League - Summer Series0–1
Southampton
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bristol CityHome · Championship4–1SwanseaHome · Championship3–1LincolnAway · Championship1–1BirminghamAway · Championship1–1MillwallHome · Championship5–1West HamHome · League Cup1–4Stoke CityHome · Championship3–1WatfordAway · Championship1–2ColchesterAway · League Cup2–0Preußen MünsterAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Wrexham at home with Southampton away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:06 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches
WrexhamSouthampton
7Matches played7
7Points earned14
1Wins4
1.0Goals scored / match2.6
1.6Goals conceded / match1.1
2Clean sheets0
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Wrexham at home with Southampton away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
2 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Wrexham
0wins2MEETINGS
Southampton
2winsAug 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Wrexham first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Wrexham
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1P. Parkinson
- 22
A. PattersonG - 26
Z. VynerD - 5
D. HyamD - 2
C. DoyleD - 12
I. KaboréM - 18
B. SheafM - 8
B. WhitemanM - 3
J. EkomiéM - 10
J. WindassM - 17
C. O'HareM - 19
K. MooreF
Substitutes (9)
6 · J. Worrall
21 · D. Ward
28 · S. Smith
27 · L. O'Brien
47 · R. Longman
37 · M. James
34 · A. James
15 · G. Dobson
11 · B. Cadamarteri
Southampton
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tonda Eckert
- 1
Daniel PeretzG - 14
J. BreeD - 15
N. Wood-GordonD - 13
K. SchlotterbeckD - 3
R. ManningD - 4
F. DownesM - 30
J. Ward-ProwseM - 27
K. MatsukiM - 10
F. AzazM - 7
Léo ScienzaM - 9
C. LarinF
Substitutes (9)
34 · Welington
5 · J. Stephens
28 · D. Mubama
25 · G. Long
18 · T. Fellows
23 · S. Edozie
11 · L. Dobbin
26 · Cameron Bragg
6 · Z. Abbott
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Southampton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 0 |
| N. Wood-Gordon | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 106 | 2 |
| J. Ward-Prowse | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 70 | 2 |
| Léo Scienza | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 1 |
| K. Schlotterbeck | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 103 | 2 |
| K. Matsuki | 76 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 2 |
| R. Manning | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 61 | 0 |
| C. Larin | 86 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
| F. Downes | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 2 |
| J. Bree | 89 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 0 |
| F. Azaz | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 0 |
| Welington | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Stephens | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Mubama | 4 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Long | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Fellows | 14 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| S. Edozie | 45 | 5.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| L. Dobbin | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cameron Bragg | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Z. Abbott | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wrexham
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 |
| J. Windass | 87 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 0 |
| B. Whiteman | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 0 |
| Z. Vyner | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 3 |
| B. Sheaf | 65 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| C. O'Hare | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2 |
| K. Moore | 72 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| I. Kaboré | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| D. Hyam | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 |
| J. Ekomié | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 |
| C. Doyle | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 |
| J. Worrall | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Ward | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Smith | 18 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| L. O'Brien | 3 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| R. Longman | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. James | 25 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| A. James | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Dobson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Cadamarteri | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Championship table
Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 22 |  Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Wrexham | Draw | Southampton |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.71 | 3.45 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77 | 3.69 | 2.50 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:11 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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