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League TwoMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Colchester vs Rochdale match centre

Colchester badgeColchesterHome · 15 in league
LLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising33/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Rochdale badgeRochdaleAway · 16 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Williams87′
Colchester Community Stadium · ColchesterSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ColchesterRochdale
5Corner Kicks3
10Fouls15
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves4
374Total passes397
289Passes accurate298

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Colchester 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Rochdale 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Colchester

3/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Colchester’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Rochdale

1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Rochdale’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Colchester at home with Rochdale away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Two · 2026/27 · all league matches

ColchesterRochdale
7Matches played7
9Points earned7
2Wins2
1.1Goals scored / match1.0
1.4Goals conceded / match1.4
1Clean sheets3
1Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Colchester at home with Rochdale away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Colchester

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Danny Cowley
  1. 22T. Lo-TutalaG
  2. 30K. Vincent-YoungD
  3. 5J. TuckerD
  4. 20S. RaggettD
  5. 3E. IandoloD
  6. 12M. SesayM
  7. 2R. HuntM
  8. 27O. ThornM
  9. 10J. PayneM
  10. 7H. AndersonM
  11. 9B. IhionvienF
Substitutes (7)

1 · T. Smith

24 · F. Terry

6 · P. Digby

44 · S. Kuffour

17 · J. Williams

11 · L. Chiwome

39 · K. Connolly

Rochdale

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ian Watson
  1. 1N. RammingG
  2. 22D. MossD
  3. 26S. SherringD
  4. 6E. Ebanks-LandellD
  5. 3K. WilsonD
  6. 17B. AdeekoM
  7. 8H. GilmourM
  8. 21K. TaylorM
  9. 4R. EastM
  10. 11Z. Silcott-DuberryM
  11. 39D. BrownF
Substitutes (7)

20 · S. Waller

13 · T. Adebayo-Rowling

14 · E. Francis

19 · L. Hannant

40 · I. Henderson

9 · E. Dieseruvwe

18 · J. Smith

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Colchester

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thimothee Lo-Tutala907.3—0—39—
Kane Vincent-Young907.3—1—31—
Jack Tucker906.9—0147—
Sean Raggett907.2—0—47—
Ellis Iandolo907.5—0—39—
Moses Sesay747.3—0—242
Rob Hunt856.6—0—35—
Oscar Thorn576.3—0—6—
Jack Payne906.9—02481
Harry Anderson907.2—01182
Bradley Ihionvien576.3—017—
Leon Chiwome336.5—0—92
Jaden Williams337.910110—
Frankie Terry166.9—0—10—
Kien Connolly116.7—0—4—
Tom Smith———————
Samuel Kuffour———————
Paul Digby———————

Rochdale

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nils Ramming907.3—0—46—
Daniel Moss907.0—01303
Sam Sherring906.5—01581
Ethan Ebanks-Landell907.5—0—615
Kaiden Wilson906.2—0—431
Babajide Adeeko906.3—0—46—
Harvey Gilmour796.9—01302
Kane Taylor796.3—0217—
Ryan East886.6—0—191
Zain Silcott-Duberry696.2—0—131
Dajaune Brown906.2—0114—
Luke Hanannt216.5—0341
Jonny Smith116.2—0—7—
Edward Francis116.5—0—6—
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe86.3—0—3—
Sam Waller———————
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling———————
Ian Henderson———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

League Two table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League Two. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barnet74301710715
WWDDD
2Cheltenham84311612415
WDWDW
3Bristol Rovers85031311215
WLLWW
4York84221610614
WLWDL
5Walsall8350115614
DWDDD
6Grimsby8341128413
LWWDD
7Salford City84131210213
WWDWW
8Gillingham8332119212
LWWWD
9Crewe826086212
DDDDD
10Tranmere8251108211
DDLWD
11Chesterfield83231110111
LWWDD
12Swindon Town8323912-311
DLLWW
13Rotherham82421111010
DWDLD
14Fleetwood Town824299010
LLDWD
15Colchester82421012-210
DDDLL
16Rochdale8314911-210
WWDLW
17Newport County8233121209
WDDLL
18Shrewsbury8224713-68
DDWLL
19Accrington ST81431114-37
DDLWD
20Oldham8215913-47
LLLLD
21Exeter City813446-26
LDLDD
22Northampton713336-36
LLWDD
23Port Vale712439-65
LWLLD
24Crawley Town7115613-74
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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