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League TwoMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRE

Port Vale vs Exeter City match centre

Port Vale badgePort ValeHome · 23 in league
LDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling12/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Exeter City badgeExeter CityAway · 21 in league
WLDDW
Momentum↗ Rising54/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
George Byers70′ (pen)
Vale Park · Stoke-On-TrentSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Port ValeExeter City
6Corner Kicks4
14Fouls9
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
364Total passes336
268Passes accurate232

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Port Vale 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Exeter City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Port Vale

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Port Vale’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Exeter City

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Exeter City’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Port Vale at home with Exeter City away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:46 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Two · 2026/27 · all league matches

Port ValeExeter City
7Matches played7
5Points earned6
1Wins1
0.4Goals scored / match0.6
1.3Goals conceded / match0.7
2Clean sheets3
4Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Port Vale at home with Exeter City away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Port Vale

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1J. Brady
  1. 1J. SmithG
  2. 2K. JohnD
  3. 22L. MontsmaD
  4. 5C. HallD
  5. 6J. Lawrence-GabrielM
  6. 10K. DempseyM
  7. 8B. GarrityM
  8. 3J. HeadleyM
  9. 7G. ByersM
  10. 19B. WaineM
  11. 14O. LynchF
Substitutes (7)

24 · K. Figueroa

33 · G. Hall

11 · O. Hernández

25 · C. Humphreys

20 · M. Maroši

17 · T. Simpson

38 · R. Walters

Exeter City

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2M. Taylor
  1. 1J. BycroftG
  2. 40E. JamesD
  3. 5J. FitzwaterD
  4. 3L. WoodhouseD
  5. 7G. EdwardsM
  6. 31J. Doyle-HayesM
  7. 16C. CumminsM
  8. 24V. HarperM
  9. 12R. ColeM
  10. 10J. GordonF
  11. 32D. RoseF
Substitutes (7)

23 · Ethan Sutherland

2 · L. Samuel

22 · Frankie Phillips

8 · T. Perry

15 · Ajay Matthews

20 · George Birch

6 · J. Taylor

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Port Vale

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Smith906.1000330
K. John906.3000440
L. Montsma866.8000434
C. Hall906.7001431
J. Lawrence-Gabriel906.4003342
K. Dempsey907.2002314
B. Garrity906.4004240
J. Headley906.3001412
R. Walters00.000000
T. Simpson46.600020
M. Maroši00.000000
C. Humphreys46.500030
O. Hernández46.500110
G. Hall146.000040
K. Figueroa00.000000
G. Byers866.8101410
O. Lynch866.3001130
B. Waine766.100170

Exeter City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Taylor276.4000121
Ethan Sutherland116.400031
L. Samuel116.6000111
Frankie Phillips00.000000
T. Perry196.1000100
Ajay Matthews00.000000
George Birch196.300040
J. Bycroft906.2000370
G. Edwards636.6000171
E. James797.2001270
J. Fitzwater907.2000402
L. Woodhouse906.4001332
V. Harper796.7000202
R. Cole905.9004260
J. Doyle-Hayes716.1001381
C. Cummins906.0001263
D. Rose716.8000161
J. Gordon906.2002131
2026/27 STANDINGS

League Two table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League Two. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barnet74301710715
WWDDD
2Cheltenham84311612415
WDWDW
3Bristol Rovers85031311215
WLLWW
4York84221610614
WLWDL
5Walsall8350115614
DWDDD
6Grimsby8341128413
LWWDD
7Salford City84131210213
WWDWW
8Gillingham8332119212
LWWWD
9Crewe826086212
DDDDD
10Tranmere8251108211
DDLWD
11Chesterfield83231110111
LWWDD
12Swindon Town8323912-311
DLLWW
13Rotherham82421111010
DWDLD
14Fleetwood Town824299010
LLDWD
15Colchester82421012-210
DDDLL
16Rochdale8314911-210
WWDLW
17Newport County8233121209
WDDLL
18Shrewsbury8224713-68
DDWLL
19Accrington ST81431114-37
DDLWD
20Oldham8215913-47
LLLLD
21Exeter City813446-26
LDLDD
22Northampton713336-36
LLWDD
23Port Vale712439-65
LWLLD
24Crawley Town7115613-74
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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