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League OneMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons match centre

AFC Wimbledon badgeAFC WimbledonHome · 8 in league
LWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising66/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Milton Keynes Dons badgeMilton Keynes DonsAway · 22 in league
DDLDD
Momentum→ Steady26/100OlderLatest
Plough Lane · WimbledonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 17 Sep 15:50 UK.

Odds updated 17 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.75Our model 32.0%Market 33.9% Draw3.25Our model 26.2%Market 28.7% Away win2.50Our model 41.8%Market 37.3% Bet365 · Updated 17 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
5Corner Kicks6
5Fouls17
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
278Total passes372
177Passes accurate280

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AFC Wimbledon 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Milton Keynes Dons 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 17 Sep, 08:40 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AFC Wimbledon

3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect AFC Wimbledon’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AFC Wimbledon at home with Milton Keynes Dons away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2026/27 · all league matches

AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
7Matches played7
11Points earned6
3Wins0
0.7Goals scored / match1.1
1.0Goals conceded / match1.4
5Clean sheets2
3Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AFC Wimbledon at home with Milton Keynes Dons away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

AFC Wimbledon

3wins
1 draw

Milton Keynes Dons

0wins

Mar 2024 – Jan 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with AFC Wimbledon first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AFC Wimbledon

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1J. Jackson
  1. 39J. BursikG
  2. 33I. OgundereD
  3. 26D. SweeneyD
  4. 6R. JohnsonD
  5. 2S. SessegnonM
  6. 5O. HarrisonM
  7. 12A. SmithM
  8. 3S. SeddonM
  9. 8C. MaycockM
  10. 21M. HippolyteM
  11. 9J. StockleyF
Substitutes (7)

15 · F. Simmonds

17 · A. Yiadom

20 · J. McDonnell

10 · Z. Nelson

19 · Donnell McNeilly

31 · D. Richards

29 · A. Sasu

Milton Keynes Dons

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2P. Warne
  1. 23W. DennisG
  2. 5C. GoodeD
  3. 35C. NelsonD
  4. 20Elijah Xavier CampbellD
  5. 24R. WintleM
  6. 13C. PatersonM
  7. 7D. CrowleyM
  8. 8A. GilbeyM
  9. 15C. BramallM
  10. 9S. NombeF
  11. 10A. CollinsF
Substitutes (7)

22 · I. Fullah

21 · M. Ekpiteta

4 · D. Barlaser

29 · R. Hepburn-Murphy

2 · G. Jones

1 · C. MacGillivray

26 · B. Wiles

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AFC Wimbledon

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
F. Simmonds00.000000
A. Sasu00.000000
D. Richards187.200040
Donnell McNeilly00.000000
Z. Nelson186.600051
J. McDonnell00.000000
A. Yiadom00.000000
J. Bursik906.6000360
I. Ogundere906.3000251
D. Sweeney906.2001222
R. Johnson905.9000302
S. Sessegnon906.1001271
O. Harrison726.3000251
A. Smith906.4001183
M. Hippolyte907.2000311
S. Seddon906.1002220
C. Maycock726.3001171
J. Stockley906.5005220

Milton Keynes Dons

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
B. Wiles116.500050
C. MacGillivray00.000000
G. Jones00.000000
R. Hepburn-Murphy00.000000
I. Fullah116.500040
M. Ekpiteta00.000000
D. Barlaser00.000000
W. Dennis906.7000250
C. Goode906.1000361
C. Nelson906.7000550
Elijah Xavier Campbell906.3001550
R. Wintle906.6000530
D. Crowley797.2001390
A. Collins796.2002160
A. Gilbey906.9001283
C. Bramall906.8001320
S. Nombe906.0003130
C. Paterson906.2002160
2026/27 STANDINGS

League One table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League One. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bradford750274315
WWWLL
2Sheffield Wednesday7421136714
DDWWW
3Stockport County84131710713
WDLWL
4Plymouth84131411313
LWWWL
5Cambridge United83411311213
DDWDW
6Huddersfield7331116512
LDDWW
7Burton Albion83321312112
WDLDW
8AFC Wimbledon833268-212
DDWWL
9Reading7322169711
DWLWW
10Oxford United6321137611
DWWLW
11Leyton Orient7313139410
WLDWL
12Wycombe82421316-310
DWWDL
13Stevenage723211839
LWWDD
14Leicester7232911-29
DWLWD
15Blackpool7223131308
LDLLW
16Luton72231214-28
LLDWL
17Mansfield Town72231013-38
DDLLW
18Barnsley7223712-58
DLLWW
19Bromley7223818-108
WDLLL
20Notts County714279-27
LLDDW
21Doncaster713389-16
WLLDD
22Milton Keynes Dons7061810-26
DDDLD
23Peterborough8125413-95
LLDLD
24Wigan7115512-74
LDLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawMilton Keynes Dons
William Hill2.623.302.50
Bet3652.753.252.50
Marathonbet2.683.342.48
Betfair2.753.402.50
BetVictor2.703.402.50

Snapshot from 17 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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