Skip to content
League OneMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

Luton vs Bradford match centre

Luton badgeLutonHome · 16 in league
LLWDL
Momentum→ Steady28/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Bradford badgeBradfordAway · 1 in league
LLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Bobby Pointon4′
Kenilworth Road · LutonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 09:42 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 11:13 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.10Estimated chance 41.2%Pre-match estimate Draw3.25Estimated chance 25.4%Pre-match estimate Away win3.40Estimated chance 33.4%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 11:13 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LutonBradford
14Corner Kicks3
17Fouls14
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
481Total passes279
387Passes accurate180

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Luton 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Bradford 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 21:28 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Luton

4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Luton’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Bradford

6/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Bradford’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Luton at home with Bradford away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 10:34 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2026/27 · all league matches

LutonBradford
7Matches played7
8Points earned15
2Wins5
1.7Goals scored / match1.0
2.0Goals conceded / match0.6
1Clean sheets5
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Luton at home with Bradford away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Luton

3wins
0 draws

Bradford

1wins

Nov 2018 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Luton first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Luton

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1J. Wilshere
  1. 1J. SheaG
  2. 33H. AshbyD
  3. 2H. OdoffinD
  4. 5M. AndersenD
  5. 6G. JohnstonD
  6. 16Daniel GoreM
  7. 8L. WalshM
  8. 7J. RichardsM
  9. 45K. PalmerM
  10. 11Emilio LawrenceM
  11. 9C. MarshallF
Substitutes (7)

18 · J. Clark

10 · J. Donley

25 · I. Jones

24 · Joshua Keeley

30 · G. Kodua

3 · K. Naismith

21 · N. Wells

Bradford

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1G. Alexander
  1. 21J. McCrackenG
  2. 28M. PenningtonD
  3. 15A. BaldwinD
  4. 16George Christopher John PrattD
  5. 7J. NeufvilleM
  6. 23B. PointonM
  7. 6C. ConnollyM
  8. 3I. TourayM
  9. 19K. JacksonM
  10. 10A. SarcevicM
  11. 9J. BeesleyF
Substitutes (7)

25 · N. Powell

8 · A. Phillips

27 · C. O'Keeffe

22 · Kieran Morgan

11 · S. Humphrys

5 · M. Gillesphey

1 · C. Dawson

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Bradford

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
A. Sarcevic906.3000181
A. Baldwin847.4000251
J. Beesley626.400051
C. Connolly906.6001264
K. Jackson907.7011170
J. Neufville626.3000253
M. Pennington906.5000420
B. Pointon848.0101201
George Christopher John Pratt907.1000280
J. McCracken907.6000330
I. Touray906.7001363
C. Dawson00.000000
M. Gillesphey66.700000
S. Humphrys00.000000
Kieran Morgan286.600030
C. O'Keeffe67.100021
A. Phillips00.000000
N. Powell287.000150

Luton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Richards756.4000260
M. Andersen906.9001560
H. Ashby905.4002510
Daniel Gore756.4000442
G. Johnston906.1000681
C. Marshall906.2003140
H. Odoffin846.8000391
K. Palmer666.3003260
J. Shea906.8000320
L. Walsh906.5001800
J. Clark246.7001131
J. Donley156.4000100
I. Jones156.100080
Joshua Keeley00.000000
G. Kodua66.600121
K. Naismith00.000000
N. Wells156.000130
Emilio Lawrence756.5002260
2026/27 STANDINGS

League One table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League One. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bradford750274315
WWWLL
2Sheffield Wednesday7421136714
DDWWW
3Stockport County84131710713
WDLWL
4Plymouth84131411313
LWWWL
5Cambridge United83411311213
DDWDW
6Huddersfield7331116512
LDDWW
7Burton Albion83321312112
WDLDW
8AFC Wimbledon833268-212
DDWWL
9Reading7322169711
DWLWW
10Oxford United6321137611
DWWLW
11Leyton Orient7313139410
WLDWL
12Wycombe82421316-310
DWWDL
13Stevenage723211839
LWWDD
14Leicester7232911-29
DWLWD
15Blackpool7223131308
LDLLW
16Luton72231214-28
LLDWL
17Mansfield Town72231013-38
DDLLW
18Barnsley7223712-58
DLLWW
19Bromley7223818-108
WDLLL
20Notts County714279-27
LLDDW
21Doncaster713389-16
WLLDD
22Milton Keynes Dons7061810-26
DDDLD
23Peterborough8125413-95
LLDLD
24Wigan7115512-74
LDLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerLutonDrawBradford
William Hill2.103.403.10
Bet3652.103.253.40
Marathonbet2.073.483.28
BetVictor2.103.503.30
Pinnacle2.133.653.39

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:13 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →