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Coppa ItaliaRound of 64THE MATCH CENTRE

Palermo vs Lecce match centre

Palermo badgePalermoHome
WDDWL
Momentum→ Steady49/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Lecce badgeLecceAway
WLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Vavassori15′
J. Pohjanpalo42′
Stadio Renzo Barbera · PalermoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PalermoLecce
2Corner Kicks8
12Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
360Total passes413
290Passes accurate348

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Palermo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Lecce 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Palermo

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Palermo’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Lecce

6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Lecce’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Palermo at home with Lecce away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Coppa Italia · 2026/27 · all league matches

PalermoLecce
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Palermo at home with Lecce away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Palermo

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Filippo Inzaghi
  1. 66J. JoronenG
  2. 27N. PierozziD
  3. 29P. PedaD
  4. 32P. CeccaroniD
  5. 3T. AugelloD
  6. 8J. SegreM
  7. 10F. RanocchiaM
  8. 9D. VavassoriM
  9. 5A. PalumboM
  10. 17D. JohnsenM
  11. 20J. PohjanpaloF
Substitutes (11)

12 · M. Nespola

14 · M. Fortin

13 · M. Bani

84 · T. Cassandro

93 · F. Barba

33 · A. Bozzolan

24 · N. Estevez

23 · Hernani

7 · G. Strefezza

78 · F. Balsamo

21 · J. Le Douaron

Lecce

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Eusebio Di Francesco
  1. 30W. FalconeG
  2. 17D. VeigaD
  3. 4K. GasparD
  4. 44Tiago GabrielD
  5. 25A. GalloD
  6. 14Y. MalehM
  7. 79O. NgomM
  8. 50S. PierottiM
  9. 29L. CoulibalyM
  10. 11K. NdriM
  11. 69W. GeubbelsF
Substitutes (11)

33 · P. Penev

12 · C. Lupo

8 · S. Fofana

3 · C. Ndaba

18 · G. Jean

16 · O. Gandelman

28 · O. Gorter

77 · M. Kaba

34 · H. Laerke

9 · N. Stulic

22 · P. Esteban

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Palermo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jesse Joronen5——0—1—
Niccolò Pierozzi907.2—01121
Patryk Peda909.7—1—321
Pietro Ceccaroni907.3—01562
Tommaso Augello907.7—0—433
Jacopo Segre906.6—0134—
Filippo Ranocchia777.5—01402
Dominic Vavassori907.310113—
Antonio Palumbo456.5—0—122
Dennis Johnsen627.2—12182
Joel Pohjanpalo457.31029—
Mattia Fortin858.6—0—51—
Hernani457.0—0—18—
Jérémy Le Douaron456.3—0—8—
Gabriel Strefezza286.9—0163
Nahuel Estévez136.9—0—73
Manfredi Nespola———————
Mattia Bani———————
Tommaso Cassandro———————
Federico Barba———————
Andrea Bozzolan———————
Francesco Balsamo———————

Lecce

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Wladimiro Falcone906.3—0—21—
Danilo Veiga906.5—01532
Kialonda Gaspar906.7—0—684
Tiago Gabriel906.7—0160—
Antonino Gallo906.5—0—24—
Youssef Maleh456.7—0—261
Oumar Ngom746.3—0—371
Santiago Pierotti746.5—0—31—
Lassana Coulibaly886.9—0—262
N'Dri Konan906.9—02192
Willem Geubbels845.9—0612—
Nikola Štulić456.6—02151
Olaf Gorter166.9—0—8—
Hjalte Lærke167.2—014—
Paco Esteban126.2—0—4—
Mohamed Kaba86.9—0—5—
Plamen Penev———————
Christian Lupo———————
Corrie Ndaba———————
Gaby Jean———————
Omri Gandelman———————
Sadik Fofana———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Coppa Italia table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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